9 August 2026, 10:15 UTC

Sparta Rotterdam vs Feyenoord Eredivisie prediction & result

Sparta Stadion Het Kasteel, Rotterdam

Full time0 – 1

Final score: Sparta Rotterdam 0-1 Feyenoord.

Before kick-off the model made it 34% Sparta Rotterdam, 24% draw, 42% Feyenoord — fair odds of 2.94, 4.17 and 2.38. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model called the result correctly.

Published 29 August 2026 · updated 17 September 2026

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Feyenoord at 42% here. Across 2488 settled matches, 1123 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Sparta Rotterdam0%Draw5%Feyenoord95%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

35'

⚽L. Valenteassist: G. Zechiel

C. Terho

39'

🔁C. Terhoout: R. van Cruijsen

57'

58'

C. Vanhoutte

🔁N. Thorissonout: M. Zonneveld

62'

🔁J. Toornstraout: A. Roaldsoy

62'

71'

🔁A. Uedaout: Nacho

71'

🔁G. Diarraout: J. Zinhagel

72'

🔁T. Kraaijeveldout: T. Wessels

🔁S. Mitoout: J. Ideho

77'

🔁A. Santosout: M. van Bergen

77'

82'

🔁A. Hadj Moussaout: S. van Persie

85'

🔁C. Vanhoutteout: O. Targhalline

M. van Bergen

90+8'

Match stats — Sparta Rotterdam vs Feyenoord

41%Possession59%

10Shots22

0On target6

5Corners10

1.01xG3.53

Goals against chances

Sparta Rotterdam0 from 1.01 xGless than the chances were worth

Feyenoord1 from 3.53 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Sparta Rotterdam 4-2-3-1

1Filip BednarekG
2Lushendry Edward MartesD
3Nick VerschurenD
4Bruno Martins IndiD
5Bas KuipersD
6Marvin YoungM
8Jens ToornstraM
7Casper TerhoM
10Shunsuke MitoM
11Ayoni SantosM
9Nökkvi ÞórissonF

Substitutes

18Robin van CruijsenM
16Alwande RoaldsoyM
19Milan ZonneveldF
17Mitchell Van BergenF
22Joel IdehoF
20Rik SuurG
14Teo QuinteroD
12Boyd ReithD
15Giannino VianelloD

Coach: Rogier Meijer

Feyenoord 4-2-3-1

1Tjark ErnstG
26Givairo ReadD
6Jeremiah St JusteD
24Thijs KraaijeveldD
35Mika MármolD
8Gjivai ZechiëlM
34Charles VanhoutteM
23Anis Hadj MoussaM
10Luciano ValenteM
27Gaoussou DiarraM
9Ayase UedaF

Substitutes

36Jivayno ZinhagelF
19Nacho FerriF
32Tijme WesselsD
49Shaqueel van PersieF
28Oussama TarghallineM
39Liam BossinG
47Neraysho KasanwirjoD
30Jordan LotombaD
20Mats DeijlD

Coach: Giovanni van Bronckhorst

Eredivisie table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
12	Sparta Rotterdam	6	1	2	3	10	13	-3	5
3	Feyenoord	6	4	2	0	20	7	+13	14

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Sparta Rotterdam vs Feyenoord

9 August 2026Sparta Rotterdam 0–1 FeyenoordEredivisie
18 January 2026Feyenoord 3–4 Sparta RotterdamEredivisie
31 August 2025Sparta Rotterdam 0–4 FeyenoordEredivisie
8 February 2025Feyenoord 3–0 Sparta RotterdamEredivisie
25 August 2024Sparta Rotterdam 1–1 FeyenoordEredivisie
11 February 2024Feyenoord 2–0 Sparta RotterdamEredivisie

Leading scorers: Sparta Rotterdam and Feyenoord