9 August 2026, 12:45 UTC

Slask Wroclaw vs Cracovia Krakow Ekstraklasa prediction & result

Tarczynski Arena
Full time0 – 0

Final score: Slask Wroclaw 0-0 Cracovia Krakow.

Before kick-off the model made it 41% Slask Wroclaw, 26% draw, 33% Cracovia Krakow — fair odds of 2.44, 3.85 and 3.03. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Slask Wroclaw at 41% here. Across 2488 settled matches, 1123 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Slask Wroclaw3%Draw92%Cracovia Krakow5%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

45+2'
Mateusz Klich
46'
🔁O. Kakabadzeout: D. Pila
🔁J. Yriarteout: M. Mokrzycki
60'
🔁L. Marjanacout: P. M. Dembele
60'
🔁M. Rosiakout: A. Timossi
60'
🔁out: E. Shabani
71'
76'
🔁M. Minchevout: M. Praszelik
76'
🔁M. Perkovicout: V. Burlet
•Lamine Ba
79'
Lamine Ba
82'
🔁P. Banaszakout: M. Malec
83'
87'
🔁K. Zahiroleslamout: K. Smiglewski
90+3'
Gustav Henriksson
90+1'
Dijon Kameri

Match stats — Slask Wroclaw vs Cracovia Krakow

44%Possession56%
11Shots17
1On target5
4Corners6
0.71xG1.51

Goals against chances

Slask Wroclaw0 from 0.71 xGless than the chances were worth
Cracovia Krakow0 from 1.51 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Slask Wroclaw 5-3-2
  • 1K. NiemczyckiG
  • 27M. RosiakD
  • 33Y. MatsenkoD
  • 5L. BaD
  • 3I. Christodoulou
  • 8M. LlinaresD
  • 7P. Samiec-TalarM
  • 15J. YriarteM
  • 20G. TomasiewiczM
  • 19P. BanaszakF
  • 11L. MarjanacF
Substitutes
  • 25M. SzromnikG
  • 14M. MokrzyckiM
  • 10P. M. DembeleF
  • 2D. SzalaD
  • 38D. MarkowskiM
  • 44M. MalecD
  • 21A. TimossiD
  • 4M. DijakovicD
  • 77E. ShabaniM
Coach: Ante Simundza
Cracovia Krakow 4-3-3
  • 13S. MadejskiG
  • 25O. KakabadzeD
  • 4G. HenrikssonD
  • 61B. TraoreD
  • 39M. PerkovicD
  • 43M. KlichM
  • 6A. Al AmmariM
  • 70D. KameriM
  • 14A. HasicF
  • 18K. ZahiroleslamF
  • 17M. MinchevF
Substitutes
  • 23H. RavasG
  • 33K. CymerysG
  • 7M. PraszelikM
  • 79D. PilaD
  • 5B. Selan
  • 28V. BurletD
  • 92M. SkoczylasM
  • 15K. GlikD
  • 21K. SmiglewskiF
Coach: Bartosz Grzelak

Form going into Slask Wroclaw vs Cracovia Krakow

Slask Wroclaw

  • W2-1Raków Częstochowa2 August 2026
  • L1-2away to Gornik Zabrze25 July 2026

Cracovia Krakow

  • L0-2Pogon Szczecin3 August 2026
  • D0-0away to Lech Poznan25 July 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Ekstraklasa table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
15Slask Wroclaw81341013-36
12Cracovia Krakow8224711-48

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Slask Wroclaw vs Cracovia Krakow

  • 9 August 2026Slask Wroclaw 0–0 Cracovia KrakowEkstraklasa
  • 12 April 2025Cracovia Krakow 2–4 Slask WroclawEkstraklasa
  • 6 October 2024Slask Wroclaw 2–4 Cracovia KrakowEkstraklasa
  • 10 May 2024Slask Wroclaw 4–0 Cracovia KrakowEkstraklasa
  • 10 November 2023Cracovia Krakow 0–1 Slask WroclawEkstraklasa
  • 5 March 2023Cracovia Krakow 1–1 Slask WroclawEkstraklasa

Leading scorers: Slask Wroclaw and Cracovia Krakow

Slask Wroclaw

  • P. Samiec-Talar4 goals3 assists

Cracovia Krakow

  • A. Hasić3 goals1 assists

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.