31 August 2026, 16:00 UTC

Mariehamn vs FF Jaro Veikkausliiga prediction & result

Mariehamn
Full time2 – 0

Final score: Mariehamn 2-0 FF Jaro.

Before kick-off the model made it 44% Mariehamn, 30% draw, 26% FF Jaro — fair odds of 2.27, 3.33 and 3.85. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Mariehamn at 44% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1122 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Form going into Mariehamn vs FF Jaro

Mariehamn

  • W4-2away to KuPS23 August 2026
  • W2-0SJK15 August 2026

FF Jaro

  • L0-1AC Oulu22 August 2026
  • L0-3away to HJK Helsinki16 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Veikkausliiga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
12Mariehamn2235141743-2614
11FF Jaro2236131844-2615

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Mariehamn vs FF Jaro

  • 23 May 2026FF Jaro 3–0 MariehamnVeikkausliiga
  • 28 September 2025FF Jaro 2–3 MariehamnVeikkausliiga
  • 6 July 2025FF Jaro 1–1 MariehamnVeikkausliiga
  • 5 April 2025Mariehamn 0–2 FF JaroVeikkausliiga
  • 17 September 2015FF Jaro 0–0 MariehamnVeikkausliiga
  • 19 July 2015Mariehamn 4–3 FF JaroVeikkausliiga

Leading scorers: Mariehamn and FF Jaro

Mariehamn

No player in Veikkausliiga's leading scorers — 17 league goals as a side.

FF Jaro

  • H. Sjögrell5 goals1 assists

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.