31 August 2026, 16:00 UTC

Mariehamn vs FF Jaro Finnish Premier League prediction & result

Mariehamn
Full time2 – 0

Final score: Mariehamn 2-0 FF Jaro.

Before kick-off the model made it 44% Mariehamn, 30% draw, 26% FF Jaro — fair odds of 2.27, 3.33 and 3.85.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Mariehamn at 44%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Mariehamn99%Draw1%FF Jaro0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Adam Larsson
43'
49'
Kaius Hardén
52'
Jesper Svenungsen Skau
60'
🔁V. Vuorinenout: J. Remesaho
⚽A. Larsson
62'
69'
🔁K. Hardenout: A. Bjonback
🔁A. Larssonout: T. Jakobsen
73'
⚽T. Jakobsenassist: J. Svedberg
75'
76'
🔁O. Kass Kawoout: V. Lofs
76'
🔁A. Vidjeskogout: J. Vikstrom
Jonathan Svedberg
77'
77'
Valde Lofs
🔁V. Widlundout: M. Hyvonen
80'
🔁A. Bergvikout: A. Stroud
80'

Line-ups

Mariehamn 4-2-3-1
  • 1K. LundG
  • 27L. RichtnerD
  • 5T. KoivistoD
  • 53F. GyamfiD
  • 31S. NgulubeD
  • 8J. HeydenM
  • 20E. PatutM
  • 11J. SvedbergM
  • 14A. BergvikM
  • 23V. WidlundD
  • 7A. LarssonF
Substitutes
  • 32A. GustafssonG
  • 15O. MelanderM
  • 3A. SoiniemiD
  • 64M. HyvonenM
  • 18A. StroudM
  • 43L. AnderssonF
  • 26M. JanssonM
  • 19T. JakobsenM
  • 22A. OujlouqD
Coach: Roberth Bjorknesjo
FF Jaro 4-2-3-1
  • 1S. VitsG
  • 21J. MyrevikD
  • 7J. SkauD
  • 25G. KocsisM
  • 19F. O. NessD
  • 8O. Kass KawoM
  • 16A. VidjeskogM
  • 91V. VuorinenM
  • 22K. HardenM
  • 77A. SabriyeM
  • 9L. ZetterstromF
Substitutes
  • 12J. SnellmanG
  • 6J. BrunellD
  • 2F. KassD
  • 5A. BjonbackD
  • 20T. SoderstromD
  • 24V. LofsM
  • 42J. RemesahoM
  • 18E. HolmangF
  • 27J. VikstromF
Coach: Jens Karlsson

Form going into Mariehamn vs FF Jaro

Mariehamn

All competitions we cover

  • W4-2away to KuPS23 August 2026
  • W2-0SJK15 August 2026
  • L0-2away to Ilves9 August 2026

FF Jaro

All competitions we cover

  • L0-1AC Oulu22 August 2026
  • L0-3away to HJK Helsinki16 August 2026
  • L1-3VPS8 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Head-to-head: Mariehamn vs FF Jaro

  • 23 May 2026FF Jaro 3–0 MariehamnFinnish Premier League
  • 28 September 2025FF Jaro 2–3 MariehamnFinnish Premier League
  • 6 July 2025FF Jaro 1–1 MariehamnFinnish Premier League
  • 5 April 2025Mariehamn 0–2 FF JaroFinnish Premier League
  • 17 September 2015FF Jaro 0–0 MariehamnFinnish Premier League
  • 19 July 2015Mariehamn 4–3 FF JaroFinnish Premier League

The result against the call

Mariehamn beat FF Jaro 2–0. The model had made a win for Mariehamn its most likely outcome, at 44%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: A. Larsson 62' for Mariehamn, T. Jakobsen 75' for Mariehamn.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.