31 August 2026, 16:00 UTC

Gnistan vs Turku PS Finnish Premier League prediction & result

Markku.fi Areena, Helsinki
Full time1 – 1

Final score: Gnistan 1-1 Turku PS.

Before kick-off the model made it 49% Gnistan, 27% draw, 24% Turku PS — fair odds of 2.04, 3.70 and 4.17.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Gnistan at 49%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Gnistan0%Draw6%Turku PS94%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Bogdan Milovanov
51'
59'
Abdoulie Tamba
65'
Pau Juvanteny
🔁S. Ylatupaout: A. Atarah
66'
🔁R. Eremenkoout: J. Latonen
71'
76'
🔁A. Tambaout: N. Talo
76'
🔁O. Haggstromout: M. Kauppila
🔁A. Akinyemiout: D. Perez
82'
82'
🔁P. Juvantenyout: L. Ikonen
82'
🔁E. Vauhkonenout: S. Anini
84'
⚽A. Muzaciassist: N. Veinbergs
⚽J. Latonen (pen)
90'

Line-ups

Gnistan 3-4-3
  • 1O. VirtanenG
  • 24R. GnanouD
  • 67A. ObileyeD
  • 3RuxiD
  • 23S. YlatupaM
  • 31A. JouhiM
  • 15G. EuropaeusM
  • 12E. Arko-MensahD
  • 26R. EremenkoF
  • 17A. AkinyemiF
  • 19B. MilovanovD
Substitutes
  • 13O. LyberopoulosG
  • 40J. OjalaD
  • 2B. DahlstromD
  • 25N. RossiD
  • 27O. HannulaM
  • 14S. EremenkoM
  • 10J. LatonenF
  • 7A. AtarahF
  • 11D. PerezF
Coach: Jussi Leppalahti
Turku PS 4-2-3-1
  • 1E. HenrikssonG
  • 2O. HaggstromD
  • 14M. HradeckyD
  • 25A. TambaD
  • 15C. AzongnitodeD
  • 6P. JuvantenyD
  • 22T. ZaalM
  • 10M. KonkkolaM
  • 29A. MuzaciM
  • 11E. VauhkonenM
  • 44N. VeinbergsF
Substitutes
  • 35D. LauriG
  • 24N. TaloD
  • 28T. VakipartaM
  • 17A. SihvonenD
  • 26L. IkonenM
  • 41S. AniniF
  • 9L. IvanovicF
  • 20M. KauppilaD
Coach: Ivan Pinol

Form going into Gnistan vs Turku PS

Gnistan

All competitions we cover

  • W3-2away to HJK Helsinki23 August 2026
  • W3-2Ilves17 August 2026
  • D2-2away to SJK7 August 2026

Turku PS

All competitions we cover

  • D0-0Inter Turku23 August 2026
  • W3-1away to VPS14 August 2026
  • D1-1away to KuPS9 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Head-to-head: Gnistan vs Turku PS

  • 24 April 2026Turku PS 1–1 GnistanFinnish Premier League
  • 14 February 2026Turku PS 0–2 GnistanLeague Cup
  • 16 March 2024Turku PS 2–0 GnistanFriendlies Clubs
  • 17 September 2023Gnistan 2–0 Turku PSYkkönen
  • 23 July 2023Gnistan 0–3 Turku PSYkkönen
  • 13 May 2023Turku PS 0–2 GnistanYkkönen

Leading scorers: Gnistan and Turku PS

Gnistan

GoalsAssists

  • A. Akinyemi50
  • A. Jouhi31

Turku PS

No leading scorers listed yet.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Gnistan and Turku PS drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Gnistan at 49% and given a draw 27%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: A. Muzaci 84' for Turku PS, J. Latonen (penalty) 90' for Gnistan.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.