31 August 2026, 16:00 UTC

Gnistan vs Turku PS Veikkausliiga prediction & result

Markku.fi Areena, Helsinki
Full time1 – 1

Final score: Gnistan 1-1 Turku PS.

Before kick-off the model made it 49% Gnistan, 27% draw, 24% Turku PS — fair odds of 2.04, 3.70 and 4.17. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Gnistan at 49% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1122 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Form going into Gnistan vs Turku PS

Gnistan

  • W3-2away to HJK Helsinki23 August 2026
  • W3-2Ilves17 August 2026

Turku PS

  • D0-0Inter Turku23 August 2026
  • W3-1away to VPS14 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Veikkausliiga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
4Gnistan2210663629+736
8Turku PS228772823+531

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Gnistan vs Turku PS

  • 24 April 2026Turku PS 1–1 GnistanVeikkausliiga
  • 14 February 2026Turku PS 0–2 GnistanLeague Cup
  • 16 March 2024Turku PS 2–0 GnistanFriendlies Clubs
  • 17 September 2023Gnistan 2–0 Turku PSYkkönen
  • 23 July 2023Gnistan 0–3 Turku PSYkkönen
  • 13 May 2023Turku PS 0–2 GnistanYkkönen

Leading scorers: Gnistan and Turku PS

Gnistan

  • A. Akinyemi3 goals

Turku PS

  • A. Muzaci3 goals

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.