VPS vs Lahti Veikkausliiga prediction & result
Final score: VPS 0-1 Lahti.
Before kick-off the model made it 34% VPS, 30% draw, 36% Lahti — fair odds of 2.94, 3.33 and 2.78. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Lahti at 36% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1767 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into VPS vs Lahti
VPS
- W1-0away to Ilves22 August 2026
- L1-3Turku PS14 August 2026
Lahti
- W2-1away to SJK21 August 2026
- L1-2KuPS16 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Veikkausliiga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | VPS | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 22 | +7 | 33 |
| 7 | Lahti | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 26 | 19 | +7 | 32 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: VPS vs Lahti
- 18 May 2026Lahti 1–1 VPSVeikkausliiga
- 25 August 2024Lahti 0–0 VPSVeikkausliiga
- 3 May 2024VPS 3–0 LahtiVeikkausliiga
- 18 August 2023Lahti 0–2 VPSVeikkausliiga
- 5 April 2023VPS 0–0 LahtiVeikkausliiga
- 28 September 2022Lahti 0–2 VPSVeikkausliiga
Leading scorers: VPS and Lahti
VPS
- L. Smyth5 goals
Lahti
- Martim Ferreira3 goals1 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.