8 October 2026, 19:00 UTC

MC Oran vs ES Setif Ligue 1 prediction & result

Full time0 – 0

Final score: MC Oran 0-0 ES Setif.

Before kick-off the model made it 45% MC Oran, 27% draw, 28% ES Setif — fair odds of 2.22, 3.70 and 3.57.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

MC Oran at 45%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

MC Oran6%Draw92%ES Setif2%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

I. Saadi
4'
17'
R. Boumechra
23'
L. Tabti
53'
M. Belkhir
63'
🔁Z. Benchaaout: R. Benayad
🔁E. Matoutiout: Y. Aliane
69'
🔁B. Traoreout: M. Abdelkader
69'
🔁A. Bourdimout: C. Aoudjane
69'
79'
🔁M. Hamekout: I. Bouchagoura
🔁I. Saadiout: A. Ghenam
83'
🔁J. Aguiebout: O. Coumbassa
84'
85'
H. Al Hourani
88'
🔁M. Salifuout: S. Bouteldja
88'
🔁M. Belkhirout: A. Naim

Algeria Ligue 1 table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
5MC Oran843152+315
10ES Setif8233108+29

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: MC Oran vs ES Setif

  • 17 April 2026ES Setif 3–0 MC OranLigue 1
  • 20 November 2025MC Oran 0–0 ES SetifLigue 1
  • 18 April 2025ES Setif 1–0 MC OranLigue 1
  • 7 November 2024MC Oran 1–0 ES SetifLigue 1
  • 17 May 2024MC Oran 4–1 ES SetifLigue 1
  • 29 December 2023ES Setif 1–0 MC OranLigue 1

The result against the call

MC Oran and ES Setif drew 0–0. The model had leaned towards a win for MC Oran at 45% and given a draw 27%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. Sent off: H. Al Hourani (ES Setif) 85'.

How the call on MC Oran v ES Setif has moved

First published on 6 Oct at 42% / 29% / 29% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 1 update, it read 45% / 27% / 28%: the biggest move is MC Oran's chance of winning, up 3 points.

  1. MC Oran win45%▲ +3
  2. Draw27%▼ −2
  3. ES Setif win28%▼ −1

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.