Ligue 1 (Algeria) predictions & fixtures

Wednesday 18 November — 2 matches

16:45 UTC CS Constantine vs Ben Aknoun — model 38% / 24% / 38%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.63 · 4.17 · 2.63. Tight game · draw in reach
16:45 UTC Témouchent vs JS El Biar — model 34% / 27% / 39%, most likely 1-2, fair odds 2.94 · 3.70 · 2.56. Edge: JS El Biar

Thursday 19 November — 3 matches

16:45 UTC MC Alger vs Olympique Akbou — model 52% / 28% / 20%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 1.92 · 3.57 · 5.00. Edge: MC Alger
16:45 UTC MB Rouisset vs CR Belouizdad — model 33% / 28% / 39%, most likely 0-1, fair odds 3.03 · 3.57 · 2.56. Edge: CR Belouizdad
19:00 UTC JS Kabylie vs USM Alger — model 49% / 27% / 24%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.04 · 3.70 · 4.17. Evenly matched

Friday 20 November — 3 matches

16:00 UTC ES Setif vs US Biskra — model 63% / 22% / 15%, most likely 2-0, fair odds 1.59 · 4.55 · 6.67. One-sided: ES Setif
16:00 UTC ASO Chlef vs Khenchela — model 41% / 28% / 31%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.44 · 3.57 · 3.23. Evenly matched
19:00 UTC MC Oran vs JS Saoura — model 42% / 34% / 24%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.38 · 2.94 · 4.17. Evenly matched

Monday 23 November — 3 matches

16:45 UTC CR Belouizdad vs Olympique Akbou — model 54% / 25% / 21%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 1.85 · 4.00 · 4.76. Edge: CR Belouizdad
16:45 UTC Ben Aknoun vs USM Alger — model 38% / 26% / 36%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.63 · 3.85 · 2.78. Tight game · draw in reach
18:00 UTC JS Kabylie vs MC Alger — model 39% / 30% / 31%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.56 · 3.33 · 3.23. Evenly matched

Saturday 28 November — 8 matches

16:00 UTC CR Belouizdad vs JS Kabylie — model 46% / 27% / 27%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.17 · 3.70 · 3.70. Evenly matched
16:00 UTC USM Alger vs ASO Chlef — model 59% / 24% / 17%, most likely 2-0, fair odds 1.69 · 4.17 · 5.88. Edge: USM Alger
16:00 UTC CS Constantine vs MC Oran — model 33% / 28% / 39%, most likely 0-1, fair odds 3.03 · 3.57 · 2.56. Edge: MC Oran
16:00 UTC JS Saoura vs Témouchent — model 46% / 31% / 23%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.17 · 3.23 · 4.35. Evenly matched
16:00 UTC Khenchela vs MB Rouisset — model 35% / 29% / 36%, most likely 0-1, fair odds 2.86 · 3.45 · 2.78. Tight game · draw in reach
16:00 UTC Olympique Akbou vs ES Setif — model 46% / 27% / 27%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.17 · 3.70 · 3.70. Evenly matched
16:00 UTC Ben Aknoun vs MC Alger — model 30% / 28% / 42%, most likely 0-1, fair odds 3.33 · 3.57 · 2.38. Edge: MC Alger
16:00 UTC JS El Biar vs US Biskra — model 68% / 19% / 13%, most likely 2-0, fair odds 1.47 · 5.26 · 7.69. One-sided: JS El Biar

Last round: the model's hits and misses

7–8 November: the model called the result of 2 of 7 matches, 1 of them to the exact score. Across all 45 settled predictions in this competition, it has called 49% of results.

Olympique Akbou 0–0 JS Kabylie — the model said 37% / 29% / 34%, most likely 1-0: result missed.
ES Setif 1–1 MB Rouisset — the model said 42% / 29% / 29%, most likely 1-0: result missed.
US Biskra 0–0 ASO Chlef — the model said 36% / 28% / 36%, most likely 1-0: result missed.
JS El Biar 1–0 MC Alger — the model said 31% / 27% / 42%, most likely 1-2: result missed.
Khenchela 1–1 Témouchent — the model said 45% / 29% / 26%, most likely 1-0: result missed.
Ben Aknoun 0–1 CR Belouizdad — the model said 34% / 25% / 41%, most likely 1-2: result correct.
JS Saoura 1–0 CS Constantine — the model said 50% / 27% / 23%, most likely 1-0: exact scoreline.

Ligue 1 (Algeria) so far

Top of the table

1. CR Belouizdad — 20 pts from 8 (6W 2D 0L, goals 13–7)
2. JS Kabylie — 17 pts from 8 (5W 2D 1L, goals 11–3)
3. MC Alger — 16 pts from 7 (5W 1D 1L, goals 9–2)
4. MB Rouisset — 15 pts from 9 (4W 3D 2L, goals 9–6)
5. MC Oran — 15 pts from 8 (4W 3D 1L, goals 5–2)

The model's chance of finishing first in the regular season, from 10,000 simulations of the 173 matches left: CR Belouizdad 42.6%, MC Alger 27.6%, JS Kabylie 17.3%.