26 September 2026, 18:45 UTC

North Macedonia vs Switzerland UEFA Nations League prediction & result

Nacional Arena Todor Proeski, Skopje
Referee: Daniel Schlager
Full time0 – 3

Final score: North Macedonia 0-3 Switzerland.

Before kick-off the model made it 12% North Macedonia, 22% draw, 66% Switzerland — fair odds of 8.33, 4.55 and 1.52.

Most likely scoreline: 0-2.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Switzerland at 66%: of 505 settled 65–100% forecasts, 68.3% came in (average 72.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

North Macedonia0%Draw1%Switzerland99%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

22'
⚽Remo Freulerassist: Zeki Amdouni
Bojan Ilievski
36'
41'
⚽Zeki Amdouni
Enis Bardhi
43'
🔁Tihomir Kostadinovout: Dimitar Mitrovski
45'
🔁Elmin Rastoderout: Agon Elezi
45'
•Matej Gashtarov
48'
Matej Gashtarov
49'
🔁Gjoko Zajkovout: Anes Meljichi
56'
🔁Bojan Miovskiout: Azer·Omeragic
56'
63'
🔁Ricardo Rodríguezout: Sascha Britschgi
63'
🔁Johan Manzambiout: Djibril Sow
74'
⚽Zeki Amdouniassist: Zachary Athekame
🔁Bojan Ilievskiout: Andrej Stojchevski
75'
75'
🔁Dan Ndoyeout: Michel Aebischer
75'
🔁Fabian Riederout: Alvyn Sanches
Azer·Omeragic
78'
86'
🔁Zeki Amdouniout: Winsley Boteli Mokango

Match stats — North Macedonia vs Switzerland

42%Possession58%
2Shots23
0On target11
0Corners5

Line-ups

North Macedonia 4-4-2
  • 23S. DimitrievskiG
  • 2Bojan IlievskiD
  • 5G. ZajkovD
  • 6V. MusliuD
  • 3S. HerreraD
  • 18T. KostadinovM
  • 16M. GashtarovM
  • 10E. BardhiM
  • 7E. ElmasM
  • 9B. MiovskiF
  • 11E. RastoderF
Substitutes
  • 15A. EleziM
  • 21J. AtanasovM
  • 19L. DorievF
  • 22H. MaleskiF
  • 20D. MitrovskiM
  • 14M. MladenovskiD
  • 17A. OmeragikjF
  • 8E. AlioskiD
  • 12D. ShishkovskiG
Coach: G. Sedloski
Switzerland 4-2-3-1
  • 1G. KobelG
  • 16Z. AthekameD
  • 4N. ElvediD
  • 5M. AkanjiD
  • 13R. RodríguezD
  • 14A. JashariM
  • 8R. FreulerM
  • 22F. RiederM
  • 9J. ManzambiM
  • 11D. NdoyeM
  • 10Z. AmdouniF
Substitutes
  • 2S. BritschgiD
  • 19Winsley Boteli MokangoF
  • 17C. IttenF
  • 21M. KellerG
  • 7Joël MonteiroF
  • 12Y. MvogoG
  • 23A. SanchesM
  • 6V. SierroM
  • 15D. SowM
Coach: M. Yakin

UEFA Nations League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
4North Macedonia5005112-110
1Switzerland5410111+1013

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Leading scorers: North Macedonia and Switzerland

North Macedonia

No player in UEFA Nations League's leading scorers — 1 league goals as a side.

Switzerland

GoalsAssists

  • Z. Amdouni31

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Switzerland won 3–0 at North Macedonia. The model had made a win for Switzerland its most likely outcome, at 66%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–0. The goals: Remo Freuler 22' for Switzerland, Zeki Amdouni 41' for Switzerland, Zeki Amdouni 74' for Switzerland.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.