26 September 2026, 18:45 UTC

Slovakia vs Moldova UEFA Nations League prediction & result

Štadión Tatran, Prešov
Referee: Juxhin Xhaja
Full time2 – 0

Final score: Slovakia 2-0 Moldova.

Before kick-off the model made it 57% Slovakia, 24% draw, 19% Moldova — fair odds of 1.75, 4.17 and 5.26.

Most likely scoreline: 2-0.

The model called the exact scoreline.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Slovakia at 57%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Slovakia99%Draw1%Moldova0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

20'
Oleg Reabciuk
Ondrej Duda
28'
⚽Ivan Schranzassist: Tomas Suslov
32'
⚽Ondrej Duda (pen)
40'
55'
🔁Nicky Clescencoout: Ştefan Bodişteanu
55'
🔁Victor Stinaout: Vlad Raileanu
🔁Ivan Schranzout: Martin Valjent
63'
🔁Adrian Kapralikout: Leo Sauer
63'
66'
🔁Vadim Rațăout: Cristian Dros
🔁Dávid Hanckoout: Denis Vavro
72'
🔁David Strelecout: Erik Prekop
72'
Tomas Suslov
72'
74'
🔁Danila Forovout: S. Țurcan
74'
🔁Vladyslav Babogloout: Mihail Stefan
🔁Lukáš Haraslínout: Tomas Rigo
82'

Match stats — Slovakia vs Moldova

68%Possession32%
17Shots8
3On target1
7Corners3

Line-ups

Slovakia 4-3-3
  • 12D. GreifG
  • 18I. SchranzD
  • 14M. ŠkriniarD
  • 21A. ObertD
  • 16D. HanckoD
  • 10T. SuslovM
  • 22S. LobotkaM
  • 8O. DudaM
  • 13A. KaprálikF
  • 15D. StrelecF
  • 17L. HaraslínF
Substitutes
  • 7L. SauerF
  • 5Ľ. ŠatkaD
  • 19T. RigoM
  • 11E. PrekopF
  • 6P. PokornýM
  • 2M. FaškoF
  • 20D. ĎurišF
  • 1M. DúbravkaG
  • 9R. BoženíkF
Coach: V. Weiss
Moldova 3-5-1-1
  • 12D. CeleadnicG
  • 18I. IovuD
  • 4V. BabogloD
  • 6M. GherasimencovD
  • 16D. ForovM
  • 7N. MoțpanM
  • 22V. RaţăM
  • 11V. StînăM
  • 2O. ReabciukM
  • 20N. CleșcencoM
  • 15Petru PopescuF
Substitutes
  • 8C. DrosM
  • 19D. DumbrăvanuD
  • 10Ș. BodișteanuM
  • 13S. CojocariM
  • 5C. CucoșD
  • 17O. DavidM
  • 14V. RăileanuF
  • 23A. KozhukharG
  • 21D. MandrîcencoM
Coach: L. Popescu

UEFA Nations League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
1Slovakia5320114+711
2Moldova521259-47

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Leading scorers: Slovakia and Moldova

Slovakia

No player in UEFA Nations League's leading scorers — 11 league goals as a side.

Moldova

GoalsAssists

  • Petru Popescu30

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Slovakia beat Moldova 2–0. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Slovakia at 57%. The goals: Ivan Schranz 32' for Slovakia, Ondrej Duda (penalty) 40' for Slovakia.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.