Oviedo vs Sporting Gijon Segunda División prediction & result
Final score: Oviedo 2-0 Sporting Gijon.
Before kick-off the model made it 42% Oviedo, 30% draw, 28% Sporting Gijon — fair odds of 2.38, 3.33 and 3.57.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All Segunda División predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Oviedo at 42%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Oviedo vs Sporting Gijon
Line-ups
- 13Aarón EscandellG
- 21David JiménezD
- 12Dani CalvoD
- 23Carlos DomínguezD
- 15S. RodriguezD
- 5Y. DidiM
- 6Dani VillahermosaM
- 20Pablo SáenzM
- 8Mikel GotiM
- 11Jacobo GonzálezM
- 9Chris RamosF
- 4David CostasD
- 16Aritz AldasoroM
- 2AisarM
- 30Marco EstebanD
- 18V. MingoF
- 28D. MenendezM
- 32Enzo PerezF
- 10Alberto ReinaM
- 1Miguel NarváezG
- 1Rubén YáñezG
- 2Guille RosasD
- 24Aimar DuñabeitiaD
- 15Pablo VázquezD
- 44Andrés CuencaD
- 10César GelabertM
- 8M. RodriguezM
- 14Álex CorrederaM
- 20N. IosifovM
- 19J. OteroF
- 17Antonio CasasF
- 13AranaG
- 35C. FerreresM
- 3Pablo GarcíaD
- 4E. GularteD
- 5Diego SánchezD
- 23Jorge SáenzD
- 16A. SarcoF
- 27Enol PrendesF
- 26Iker MartínezD
Form going into Oviedo vs Sporting Gijon
Oviedo
All competitions we cover
- L1-3away to Sabadell20 September 2026
- W3-0away to Valladolid13 September 2026
- D0-0Burgos6 September 2026
- W1-0away to Albacete29 August 2026
- L0-1Leganes22 August 2026
Sporting Gijon
All competitions we cover
- W3-1away to FC Andorra19 September 2026
- L0-1Eldense13 September 2026
- L0-2Girona5 September 2026
- W1-0away to Tenerife28 August 2026
- W1-0Burgos23 August 2026
What these results say
- 4 of these 5 matches for Sporting Gijon had two goals or fewer.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Segunda División table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Oviedo | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 18 | +2 | 21 |
| 8 | Sporting Gijon | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 23 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Oviedo vs Sporting Gijon
- 11 January 2025Oviedo 1–1 Sporting GijonSegunda División
- 7 September 2024Sporting Gijon 3–1 OviedoSegunda División
- 10 February 2024Sporting Gijon 1–0 OviedoSegunda División
- 9 September 2023Oviedo 0–0 Sporting GijonSegunda División
- 13 May 2023Sporting Gijon 1–1 OviedoSegunda División
Leading scorers: Oviedo and Sporting Gijon
Oviedo
GoalsAssists
- Carlos Domínguez50
Sporting Gijon
No player in Segunda División's leading scorers — 16 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Oviedo beat Sporting Gijon 2–0. The model had made a win for Oviedo its most likely outcome, at 42%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Chris Ramos 8' for Oviedo, Enzo Pérez Miranda 82' for Oviedo. Sent off: César Gelabert (Sporting Gijon) 76'.
How the call on Oviedo v Sporting Gijon has moved
First published on 13 Sep at 48% / 28% / 24% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 9 updates, it read 42% / 30% / 28%: the biggest move is Oviedo's chance of winning, down 6 points.
- Oviedo win42%▼ −6
- Draw30%▲ +2
- Sporting Gijon win28%▲ +4
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.