Panetolikos vs PAOK Super League 1 prediction & result
Final score: Panetolikos 1-3 PAOK.
Before kick-off the model made it 34% Panetolikos, 29% draw, 37% PAOK — fair odds of 2.94, 3.45 and 2.70.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
PAOK at 37%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Panetolikos vs PAOK
Line-ups
- 99Y. KucherenkoG
- 35C. MavriasD
- 2G. GranathD
- 8K. ThymianisD
- 65A. ApostolopoulosD
- 6M. NakambaM
- 28L. KojićM
- 90K. OpokuM
- 44N. ErakovićM
- 12M. DjenepoM
- 20Youssouph BadjiF
- 23V. XenopoulosG
- 49N. StajićD
- 11S. SoumahF
- 5A. ProdromitisD
- 4E. OlssonD
- 14K. AleksićF
- 19A. BregouM
- 22Diego EstebanM
- 45David GaliatsosD
- 1J. PavlenkaG
- 3J. KennyD
- 6ElustondoD
- 5G. MichailidisD
- 21A. BabaD
- 20C. ZafeirisM
- 18K. JakićM
- 14A. ŽivkovićM
- 10D. PelkasM
- 22T. AliM
- 27C. NdiayeF
- 2M. CamaraM
- 97D. BataoulasD
- 52D. ChatsidisF
- 78G. KosidisD
- 41D. MonastirlisG
- 56A. MythouF
- 7B. SantamaríaM
- 47S. ShoretireF
- 32G. TaylorD
Form going into Panetolikos vs PAOK
Panetolikos
All competitions we cover
- L0-3away to Panathinaikos13 September 2026
- W2-0away to Levadiakos6 September 2026
- W2-0Kalamata29 August 2026
- W3-1Asteras Tripolis23 August 2026
PAOK
All competitions we cover
- W2-0Aris Thessalonikis13 September 2026
- L1-3away to Panathinaikos6 September 2026
- W2-1away to Atromitos30 August 2026
- L2-3away to Brann27 August 2026
- W4-0Levadiakos23 August 2026
What these results say
- Panetolikos won 3 of these 4 matches.
- Panetolikos scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
- PAOK scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for PAOK had three goals or more.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Super League 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Panetolikos | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 9 |
| 4 | PAOK | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 13 | +6 | 19 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Panetolikos vs PAOK
- 10 January 2026Panetolikos 0–3 PAOKSuper League 1
- 20 September 2025PAOK 0–0 PanetolikosSuper League 1
- 15 December 2024Panetolikos 0–1 PAOKSuper League 1
- 25 August 2024PAOK 2–0 PanetolikosSuper League 1
- 25 February 2024Panetolikos 1–3 PAOKSuper League 1
Leading scorers: Panetolikos and PAOK
Panetolikos
No player in Super League 1's leading scorers — 8 league goals as a side.
PAOK
GoalsAssists
- C. Ndiaye40
- A. Živković35
- D. Pelkas30
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
PAOK won 3–1 at Panetolikos. The model had made a win for PAOK its most likely outcome, at 37%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Taha Ali 33' for PAOK, Cherif Ndiaye 39' for PAOK, Diego Esteban 51' for Panetolikos, Shola Shoretire 90+8' for PAOK.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.