Pumas UNAM vs Atletico San Luis Liga MX prediction & result
Final score: Pumas UNAM 2-3 Atletico San Luis.
Before kick-off the model made it 50% Pumas UNAM, 26% draw, 24% Atletico San Luis — fair odds of 2.00, 3.85 and 4.17.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Pumas UNAM at 50%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Pumas UNAM vs Atletico San Luis
Line-ups
- 1K. NavasG
- 7R. LópezD
- 6Nathan SilvaD
- 34Á. AzuajeD
- 2P. BennevendoD
- 21U. AntunaM
- 18V. ArteagaM
- 15I. LunaM
- 10C. HuertaM
- 14L. HerreraF
- 23JuninhoF
- 35P. LaraG
- 202Julio Cesar Dominguez CastillejosD
- 24T. LeoneD
- 199K. CarranzaD
- 30Santiago López LópezF
- 22A. MedinaF
- 26Á. RicoM
- 19J. RivasD
- 184Manuel Sánchez ValdézM
- 25G. LajudG
- 30B. GalindoD
- 31E. ÁguilaD
- 18A. CruzD
- 2R. TorresM
- 21Ó. MacíasM
- 10S. Salles-LamongeM
- 17A. DuarteM
- 11D. RodríguezM
- 22Rafa LlorenteM
- 99F. MoraF
- 13J. CaicedoM
- 16Lucas EstevesD
- 20L. FloresF
- 7B. GaldamesM
- 5R. MerazM
- 19S. MuñózF
- 8L. NájeraM
- 26S. Pérez BouquetM
- 6JuanpeD
Form going into Pumas UNAM vs Atletico San Luis
Pumas UNAM
All competitions we cover
- D1-1away to Atlas19 September 2026
- L0-3away to Guadalajara Chivas14 September 2026
- W3-1Leon11 September 2026
- L0-2away to Club Tijuana29 August 2026
- D1-1Necaxa24 August 2026
Atletico San Luis
All competitions we cover
- W3-1Necaxa19 September 2026
- L0-2away to Leon15 September 2026
- L0-3Guadalajara Chivas5 September 2026
- W3-1away to Monterrey31 August 2026
- D1-1CF Pachuca23 August 2026
What these results say
- Pumas UNAM conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Pumas UNAM failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Atletico San Luis conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Liga MX table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Pumas UNAM | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 21 |
| 14 | Atletico San Luis | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 19 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Pumas UNAM vs Atletico San Luis
- 18 April 2026Atletico San Luis 0–2 Pumas UNAMLiga MX
- 23 October 2025Pumas UNAM 0–1 Atletico San LuisLiga MX
- 3 February 2025Atletico San Luis 2–3 Pumas UNAMLiga MX
- 20 October 2024Pumas UNAM 3–0 Atletico San LuisLiga MX
- 20 January 2024Atletico San Luis 3–1 Pumas UNAMLiga MX
Leading scorers: Pumas UNAM and Atletico San Luis
Pumas UNAM
GoalsAssists
- Juninho91
- R. Morales54
Atletico San Luis
No player in Liga MX's leading scorers — 19 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Atletico San Luis won 3–2 at Pumas UNAM. The model had leaned towards a win for Pumas UNAM at 50% and given a win for Atletico San Luis 24%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: Sebastien Salles-lamonge (penalty) 23' for Atletico San Luis, Rodrigo López 52' for Pumas UNAM, David Rodriguez 55' for Atletico San Luis, Sebastien Salles-lamonge (penalty) 79' for Atletico San Luis, Olávio Vieira dos Santos Júnio (penalty) 90' for Pumas UNAM.
How the call on Pumas UNAM v Atletico San Luis has moved
First published on 13 Sep at 37% / 30% / 33% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 5 updates, it read 50% / 26% / 24%: the biggest move is Pumas UNAM's chance of winning, up 13 points.
- Pumas UNAM win50%▲ +13
- Draw26%▼ −4
- Atletico San Luis win24%▼ −9
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.