Radnik Surdulica vs FK Crvena Zvezda Super Liga prediction & result
Final score: Radnik Surdulica 0-0 FK Crvena Zvezda.
Before kick-off the model made it 25% Radnik Surdulica, 27% draw, 48% FK Crvena Zvezda — fair odds of 4.00, 3.70 and 2.08.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
FK Crvena Zvezda at 48%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Radnik Surdulica vs FK Crvena Zvezda
Line-ups
- 23Lazar RadojicicG
- 22U. LazićD
- 37S. AbubakarD
- 6David StojanovićD
- 21U. FilipovicD
- 30M. NovakovićM
- 28A. PejovićM
- 47Emmanuel QuarshieM
- 7D. StojanovićM
- 55M. DzangarovskiM
- 9V. BogdanovićF
- 3Luka ŽorićD
- 1F. SamurovićG
- 5M. PopovićM
- 10Ryonosuke OhoriM
- 49D. MarkočevićF
- 25Teo LakićF
- 88Đ. JovanovićF
- 14Uroš IlićD
- 2Tijan SohnaD
- 1MatheusG
- 3Y. NakayamaD
- 13M. VeljkovićD
- 32D. LuckassenD
- 21T. ElšnikM
- 20Tomás HändelM
- 15M. Abu FaniM
- 75L. LoizouM
- 60M. GashtarovM
- 8K. BalovM
- 10A. KataiF
- 14O. BukariF
- 30F. Tebo UchennaD
- 70M. ChamM
- 9B. DiengF
- 45S. GudeljD
- 4M. IvanićM
- 19Kim Ye-geonM
- 37V. LučićM
- 27M. StrikaD
Form going into Radnik Surdulica vs FK Crvena Zvezda
Radnik Surdulica
All competitions we cover
- W3-1Cukaricki5 September 2026
- L1-5away to Železničar Pančevo29 August 2026
- W1-0Novi Pazar23 August 2026
- W2-1Macva15 August 2026
- L1-2away to Vojvodina9 August 2026
FK Crvena Zvezda
All competitions we cover
- W2-1FK Partizan6 September 2026
- W2-0away to Zemun30 August 2026
- L1-5away to Plzen27 August 2026
- W4-0Cukaricki23 August 2026
- W3-0Plzen20 August 2026
What these results say
- Radnik Surdulica scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Radnik Surdulica conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Radnik Surdulica had three goals or more.
- FK Crvena Zvezda scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- FK Crvena Zvezda won 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for FK Crvena Zvezda had three goals or more.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Serbia Super Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Radnik Surdulica | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 18 | +2 | 23 |
| 1 | FK Crvena Zvezda | 15 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 38 | 6 | +32 | 43 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Radnik Surdulica vs FK Crvena Zvezda
- 17 May 2026Radnik Surdulica 0–0 FK Crvena ZvezdaSuper Liga
- 5 April 2026Radnik Surdulica 1–2 FK Crvena ZvezdaSuper Liga
- 2 November 2025FK Crvena Zvezda 1–1 Radnik SurdulicaSuper Liga
- 7 April 2024Radnik Surdulica 0–2 FK Crvena ZvezdaSuper Liga
- 4 November 2023FK Crvena Zvezda 3–1 Radnik SurdulicaSuper Liga
- 13 November 2022Radnik Surdulica 1–2 FK Crvena ZvezdaSuper Liga
Leading scorers: Radnik Surdulica and FK Crvena Zvezda
Radnik Surdulica
GoalsAssists
- V. Bogdanović61
- M. Novaković33
FK Crvena Zvezda
GoalsAssists
- B. Dieng50
- V. Kostov43
- A. Katai34
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Radnik Surdulica and FK Crvena Zvezda drew 0–0. The model had leaned towards a win for FK Crvena Zvezda at 48% and given a draw 27%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one.
How the call on Radnik Surdulica v FK Crvena Zvezda has moved
First published on 4 Sep at 28% / 27% / 45% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 4 updates, it read 25% / 27% / 48%: the biggest move is Radnik Surdulica's chance of winning, down 3 points.
- Radnik Surdulica win25%▼ −3
- Draw27%=
- FK Crvena Zvezda win48%▲ +3
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.