Cukaricki vs Novi Pazar Super Liga prediction & result
Final score: Cukaricki 1-1 Novi Pazar.
Before kick-off the model made it 36% Cukaricki, 27% draw, 37% Novi Pazar — fair odds of 2.78, 3.70 and 2.70. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Novi Pazar at 37% here. Across 2477 settled matches, 1764 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Cukaricki vs Novi Pazar
Line-ups
- 81V. ČarapićG
- 24N. StankovićD
- 23I. MaigaD
- 26M. ĐokovićD
- 3Z. ŠehovićD
- 14S. SissokoM
- 5M. DocićM
- 51Remy Rees-DottinM
- 18karel mustmaaM
- 9Luka ĐorđevićM
- 99Đ. JovanovićF
- 20A. CisseM
- 73N. MiletićD
- 27A. NanqueF
- 1Đ. NikolićG
- 72U. NikolićM
- 50M. PavkovF
- 87Mateja ProkopijevićM
- 16S. AndjelicD
- 6V. ZuricD
- 1Bogdan MatijaševićG
- 2A. MiljkovićD
- 4Allan De LeónD
- 23J. MarinkovićD
- 50T. DadićD
- 6P. GadioM
- 8Skima TogbeM
- 10D. SadiM
- 24I. DavidovićM
- 20K. DixonM
- 99F. MulićF
- 18H. KadrićF
- 7JonnyF
- 5S. MelentijevićD
- 21M. PetrovićM
- 12M. PrekovićG
- 11Nikola SkrobonjaM
- 14N. StankovicM
- 26D. Johnson AgwomF
- 70D. JankovićM
Form going into Cukaricki vs Novi Pazar
Cukaricki
- L1-3away to Radnik Surdulica5 September 2026
- L0-5Vojvodina29 August 2026
- L0-4away to FK Crvena Zvezda23 August 2026
- W2-0OFK Beograd15 August 2026
Novi Pazar
- W2-0Železničar Pančevo4 September 2026
- D1-1Macva29 August 2026
- L0-1away to Radnik Surdulica23 August 2026
- W2-0Vojvodina17 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Super Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Cukaricki | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 11 |
| 7 | Novi Pazar | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 12 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Cukaricki vs Novi Pazar
- 12 September 2026Cukaricki 1–1 Novi PazarSuper Liga
- 26 April 2026Novi Pazar 2–2 CukarickiSuper Liga
- 15 March 2026Novi Pazar 1–1 CukarickiSuper Liga
- 19 October 2025Cukaricki 1–1 Novi PazarSuper Liga
- 17 February 2025Cukaricki 1–1 Novi PazarSuper Liga
- 15 September 2024Novi Pazar 2–2 CukarickiSuper Liga
Leading scorers: Cukaricki and Novi Pazar
Cukaricki
- U. Miladinović4 goals2 assists
Novi Pazar
- K. Dixon2 goals2 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.