Rodez vs Grenoble Ligue 2 prediction & result
Final score: Rodez 0-1 Grenoble.
Before kick-off the model made it 39% Rodez, 29% draw, 32% Grenoble — fair odds of 2.56, 3.45 and 3.13.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Rodez at 39%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Rodez vs Grenoble
Line-ups
- 16L. MargueronG
- 13C. RoubiouD
- 24L. QuenabioD
- 4M. MagninD
- 3R. LipinskiD
- 20R. PontiD
- 6J. MendesM
- 8D. PavlovićM
- 29Antonin CartillierM
- 7K. NageraF
- 21K. NsonaF
- 10M. SakaM
- 11M. TouhoF
- 17L. Vungele VangiD
- 30E. CrombezG
- 27M. Essimi AtebaF
- 15E. Jean-LambertD
- 22O. JolyM
- 28S. Luyambula BiwaD
- 9N. NsingiF
- 1A. OllieroG
- 19N. ZahuiD
- 43A. PelonD
- 5C. VidalD
- 27M. XantippeD
- 6Y. MagninM
- 92J. Akpa AkproM
- 30S. DibaM
- 8L. BernadouM
- 10B. MouazanM
- 12U. BonnetF
- 23D. HoogewerfF
- 14M. CorbozM
- 2M. DjittéF
- 47K. FofanaF
- 21Owen KouassiD
- 97Y. MaçonD
- 46J. MoutonD
- 16B. AllainG
- 48S. NiakatéD
Form going into Rodez vs Grenoble
Rodez
All competitions we cover
- L1-4away to Metz5 September 2026
- D2-2PAU28 August 2026
- W5-2away to Nantes22 August 2026
- L0-2away to Annecy14 August 2026
- W3-1Laval8 August 2026
Grenoble
All competitions we cover
- L1-2Annecy4 September 2026
- W3-0away to Laval28 August 2026
- L0-4away to Saint Etienne22 August 2026
- D0-0Metz14 August 2026
- L2-4away to Dunkerque8 August 2026
What these results say
- Rodez conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Rodez scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Rodez had three goals or more.
- Grenoble failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Grenoble had three goals or more.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Ligue 2 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Rodez | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 13 |
| 17 | Grenoble | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 11 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Rodez vs Grenoble
- 6 March 2026Rodez 1–0 GrenobleLigue 2
- 7 November 2025Grenoble 2–1 RodezLigue 2
- 25 July 2025Grenoble 1–0 RodezFriendlies Clubs
- 31 January 2025Grenoble 2–1 RodezLigue 2
- 4 October 2024Rodez 2–1 GrenobleLigue 2
- 19 July 2024Rodez 0–0 GrenobleFriendlies Clubs
Leading scorers: Rodez and Grenoble
Rodez
GoalsAssists
- I. Baldé50
Grenoble
No player in Ligue 2's leading scorers — 13 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Grenoble won 1–0 at Rodez. The model had leaned towards a win for Rodez at 39% and given a win for Grenoble 32%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goal: Matthéo Xantippe 11' for Grenoble.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.