Skalica vs Slovan Bratislava Super Liga prediction & result
Final score: Skalica 1-1 Slovan Bratislava.
Before kick-off the model made it 20% Skalica, 25% draw, 55% Slovan Bratislava — fair odds of 5.00, 4.00 and 1.82.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Slovak Super Liga predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Slovan Bratislava at 55%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Line-ups
- 39M. Junas
- 13S. Sula
- 6P. Karhan
- 26P. Guinari
- 3M. Cernek
- 9A. Morong
- 27D. Baris
- 23E. Daniel
- 10L. Nonikashvili
- 30A. Abdullahi
- 91R. Potocny
- 1R. Ludha
- 20O. Podhorin
- 8L. Simko
- 5M. Ryzek
- 4M. Macorig
- 21A. Ravas
- 19M. Masik
- 11A. Krizan
- 34E. Eshele
- 71D. Takac
- 88D. Matsuoka
- 12K. Bajric
- 15S. Markovic
- 2S. Kozlovsky
- 77D. Ignatenko
- 29A. Maros
- 11T. Barseghyan
- 20A. Mustafic
- 10N. Marcelli
- 99A. Sporar
- 1A. Popovic
- 6K. Wimmer
- 3P. Pokorny
- 8A. Gajdos
- 7L. Hofstadter
- 13R. Cerepkai
- 21S. Camara
- 14A. Yirajang
- 19M. Kianga
Form going into Skalica vs Slovan Bratislava
Skalica
No earlier matches on record this season.
Slovan Bratislava
All competitions we cover
- L1-6away to Paris Saint Germain9 September 2026
- W2-1away to Celje26 August 2026
- D1-1Celje19 August 2026
- W2-0Mjallby AIF11 August 2026
- W2-1away to Mjallby AIF4 August 2026
What these results say
- Slovan Bratislava scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Slovan Bratislava conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Both sides scored in 4 of these 5 matches for Slovan Bratislava.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Slovakia Super Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Skalica | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 28 | -13 | 10 |
| 2 | Slovan Bratislava | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 32 | 15 | +17 | 28 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Skalica vs Slovan Bratislava
- 22 November 2025Skalica 0–1 Slovan BratislavaSuper Liga
- 16 August 2025Slovan Bratislava 1–0 SkalicaSuper Liga
- 9 November 2024Slovan Bratislava 3–1 SkalicaSuper Liga
- 30 October 2024Skalica 2–3 Slovan BratislavaSuper Liga
- 12 November 2023Slovan Bratislava 1–0 SkalicaSuper Liga
- 12 August 2023Skalica 1–2 Slovan BratislavaSuper Liga
Leading scorers: Skalica and Slovan Bratislava
Skalica
GoalsAssists
- Philip Onyedika31
Slovan Bratislava
GoalsAssists
- T. Barseghyan42
- Tag Eldin Ibrahim40
- Manasse Kianga22
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Skalica and Slovan Bratislava drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Slovan Bratislava at 55% and given a draw 25%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: E. Daniel 54' for Skalica, T. Barseghyan 59' for Slovan Bratislava.
What this result changed
Before kick-off the season simulation gave Skalica a 35.3% chance to finish in the bottom three: 22.6% after a win, 33.3% after a draw, 40.2% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 33.3%, 2 points lower than before the match.
For Slovan Bratislava the question was the chance to finish top of the regular season, 19.6% going in: 23.0% after a win, 15.5% after a draw, 12.1% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 15.5%, 4.1 points lower than before the match.
Read from our Super Liga season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.
How the call on Skalica v Slovan Bratislava has moved
First published on 2 Oct at 23% / 28% / 49% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 1 update, it read 20% / 25% / 55%: the biggest move is Slovan Bratislava's chance of winning, up 6 points.
- Skalica win20%▼ −3
- Draw25%▼ −3
- Slovan Bratislava win55%▲ +6
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often Skalica's most recent league matches and Slovan Bratislava's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.