Skalica
vs
Zemplín Michalovce
Super Liga prediction
Our model says: Skalica 1–0 Zemplín Michalovce
The model makes it 41% Skalica, 30% draw, 29% Zemplín Michalovce — fair odds of 2.44, 3.33 and 3.45.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
Expected goals: Skalica 1.32, Zemplín Michalovce 1.02.
Both teams to score: 48%. Over 2.5 goals: 42%, under 2.5: 58%.
Model confidence: Medium — calls at this level have come off 46% of the time, over 2,958 settled matches.
Evenly matched: once home advantage is counted, neither side has a clear edge. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 41%, 28% were drawn and the underdog won 31%.
Published
Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 15 November 2026. Skalica's rating is built from 46 Slovak Super Liga matches and Zemplín Michalovce's from 46, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most.
Key facts
- Skalica are 11th on 10 points from 14 games; Zemplín Michalovce are 8th on 14 points from 14 games — Super Liga.
- Skalica have not won in their last 5 games, most recently a 2-4 defeat at home to Žilina.
- Zemplín Michalovce have not won in their last 5 games, most recently a 0-2 defeat away to Komárno.
- Last 6 meetings: level at 3 wins each, 0 draws; the most recent, 22 August 2026, ended Zemplín Michalovce 2–0 Skalica.
More Slovak Super Liga predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Skalica vs Zemplín Michalovce
Has the model earned this number?
Skalica at 41%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into Skalica vs Zemplín Michalovce
Skalica
Super Liga
- L2-4Žilina7 November 2026
- L0-1away to Ružomberok1 November 2026
- D1-1Spartak Trnava24 October 2026
- L0-2AS Trencin17 October 2026
- D1-1Slovan Bratislava10 October 2026
Zemplín Michalovce
Super Liga
- L0-2away to Komárno8 November 2026
- L1-4away to Žilina31 October 2026
- L1-4Podbrezová24 October 2026
- D1-1FK Košice18 October 2026
- L0-3Dunajska Streda10 October 2026
What these results say
- Skalica did not win any of these 5 matches.
- Skalica conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Skalica had two goals or fewer.
- Zemplín Michalovce did not win any of these 5 matches.
- Zemplín Michalovce conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Slovakia Super Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Skalica | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 28 | -13 | 10 |
| 8 | Zemplín Michalovce | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 14 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: Skalica vs Zemplín Michalovce
- 22 August 2026Zemplín Michalovce 2–0 SkalicaSuper Liga
- 14 February 2026Skalica 2–1 Zemplín MichalovceSuper Liga
- 27 September 2025Zemplín Michalovce 2–0 SkalicaSuper Liga
- 3 May 2025Zemplín Michalovce 2–4 SkalicaSuper Liga
- 5 April 2025Skalica 1–0 Zemplín MichalovceSuper Liga
- 27 October 2024Zemplín Michalovce 2–1 SkalicaSuper Liga
Leading scorers: Skalica and Zemplín Michalovce
Skalica
GoalsAssists
- Philip Onyedika31
Zemplín Michalovce
No player in Super Liga's leading scorers — 12 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
Where the model differs from the table
The table and the model disagree here: the standings favour Zemplín Michalovce (8th, with Skalica 11th), while our numbers lean to Skalica. Skalica rate 0.45 in attack and 1.89 in defence, Zemplín Michalovce 0.45 and 1.80 (lower is better in defence): close enough that playing at home is what tips the call.
Team comparison
Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Skalica the highest probability at 41%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.32 expected goals for Skalica against 1.02 for Zemplín Michalovce. Skalica's attack/defence rating is 0.45/1.89 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.45/1.8 for Zemplín Michalovce.
How the model reaches 41% for Skalica to win
Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 36% for Skalica to win. Then home advantage adds 8 points, the level of the two sides takes away 2 points, Skalica's ratings change nothing and Zemplín Michalovce's ratings take away 1 point, which lands on the published 41%.
- Two average sides, neutral ground36%
- Home advantage44%+8
- Both sides at this match's level42%−2
- Skalica's ratings42%±0
- Zemplín Michalovce's ratings41%−1
Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.
Season stats
Skalica at home · Zemplín Michalovce away
League matches only, Super Liga, this season; per game, from API-Football. How to read this.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Super Liga matches this season: Skalica 14, Zemplín Michalovce 14.
League goals by 15-minute window, from API-Football. Context, not a prediction. How to read this.
The next 4 matches, by difficulty
Skalica
- at Dunajska Streda6 Dec · Super Ligawin 7%
- vs Komárno12 Dec · Super Ligawin 36%
- vs Dukla Banská Bystrica6 Feb · Super Ligawin 40%
- at Podbrezová13 Feb · Super Ligawin 19%
Zemplín Michalovce
- vs Slovan Bratislava5 Dec · Super Ligawin 21%
- at AS Trencin12 Dec · Super Ligawin 30%
- vs Ružomberok6 Feb · Super Ligawin 46%
- at Dukla Banská Bystrica13 Feb · Super Ligawin 27%
Each side's next matches after this one, coloured by the opponent's strength. How to read this.