Sloga Doboj
vs
Radnik Bijeljina
Premijer Liga prediction
Our model says: Sloga Doboj 0–1 Radnik Bijeljina
The model makes it 31% Sloga Doboj, 28% draw, 41% Radnik Bijeljina — fair odds of 3.23, 3.57 and 2.44.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
Expected goals: Sloga Doboj 1.19, Radnik Bijeljina 1.43.
Both teams to score: 54%. Over 2.5 goals: 49%, under 2.5: 51%.
Model confidence: Medium — calls at this level have come off 46% of the time, over 2,958 settled matches.
Edge to Radnik Bijeljina: the better side on the model's ratings, but not by much. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 54%, 26% were drawn and the underdog won 21%.
Published · updated
Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 15 November 2026. Sloga Doboj's rating is built from 49 Bosnian Premier League matches and Radnik Bijeljina's from 49, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most.
Key facts
- Sloga Doboj are bottom on 9 points from 13 games; Radnik Bijeljina are 9th on 11 points from 13 games — Premijer Liga.
- Sloga Doboj have not won in their last 5 games, most recently a 1-3 defeat at home to BSK Banja Luka.
- Radnik Bijeljina have won 2 of their last 5 games, most recently a 1-4 defeat away to Borac Banja Luka.
- Last 6 meetings: Sloga Doboj 3 wins to 0, 3 draws; the most recent, 5 September 2026, ended Radnik Bijeljina 1–2 Sloga Doboj.
More Bosnian Premier League predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Sloga Doboj vs Radnik Bijeljina
Has the model earned this number?
Radnik Bijeljina at 41%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into Sloga Doboj vs Radnik Bijeljina
Sloga Doboj
Premijer Liga
- L1-3BSK Banja Luka8 November 2026
- L0-1Velež1 November 2026
- L0-2away to Borac Banja Luka25 October 2026
- L0-1Siroki Brijeg16 October 2026
- L2-6Zrinjski11 October 2026
Radnik Bijeljina
Premijer Liga
- L1-4away to Borac Banja Luka8 November 2026
- W2-0Siroki Brijeg31 October 2026
- L0-1away to Zrinjski23 October 2026
- D1-1FK Sarajevo17 October 2026
- W3-1Zeljeznicar Sarajevo11 October 2026
What these results say
- Sloga Doboj did not win any of these 5 matches.
- Sloga Doboj conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Radnik Bijeljina scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Radnik Bijeljina conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Premijer Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Sloga Doboj | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 21 | -13 | 9 |
| 9 | Radnik Bijeljina | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 11 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
What's at stake
Sloga Doboj
Chance to finish in the bottom two · 89% today
Radnik Bijeljina
Chance to finish in the bottom two · 25% today
From our Premijer Liga season simulation: the rest of the season played out 10,000 times by the same model as the prediction above. How to read this.
Head-to-head: Sloga Doboj vs Radnik Bijeljina
- 5 September 2026Radnik Bijeljina 1–2 Sloga DobojPremijer Liga
- 16 May 2026Sloga Doboj 0–0 Radnik BijeljinaPremijer Liga
- 14 March 2026Radnik Bijeljina 0–0 Sloga DobojPremijer Liga
- 28 November 2025Sloga Doboj 2–1 Radnik BijeljinaPremijer Liga
- 12 September 2025Radnik Bijeljina 0–0 Sloga DobojPremijer Liga
- 29 March 2025Sloga Doboj 2–1 Radnik BijeljinaPremijer Liga
Leading scorers: Sloga Doboj and Radnik Bijeljina
Sloga Doboj
No player in Premijer Liga's leading scorers — 8 league goals as a side.
Radnik Bijeljina
GoalsAssists
- D. Teodorović21
- V. Bradonjić20
- M. Ghorzi11
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
Team comparison
Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Radnik Bijeljina the highest probability at 41%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.19 expected goals for Sloga Doboj against 1.43 for Radnik Bijeljina. Sloga Doboj's attack/defence rating is 0.3/2.38 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.5/2.44 for Radnik Bijeljina.
How the model reaches 41% for Radnik Bijeljina to win
Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 36% for Radnik Bijeljina to win. Then home advantage takes away 7 points, the level of the two sides takes away 1 point, Sloga Doboj's ratings add 6 points and Radnik Bijeljina's ratings add 7 points, which lands on the published 41%.
- Two average sides, neutral ground36%
- Home advantage29%−7
- Both sides at this match's level28%−1
- Sloga Doboj's ratings34%+6
- Radnik Bijeljina's ratings41%+7
Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.
Season stats
Sloga Doboj at home · Radnik Bijeljina away
League matches only, Premijer Liga, this season; per game, from API-Football. How to read this.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Premijer Liga matches this season: Sloga Doboj 13, Radnik Bijeljina 13.
League goals by 15-minute window, from API-Football. Context, not a prediction. How to read this.
The next 4 matches, by difficulty
Sloga Doboj
- at Zeljeznicar Sarajevo2 Dec · Premijer Ligawin 18%
- vs FK Sarajevo5 Dec · Premijer Ligawin 19%
- at Zrinjski12 Dec · Premijer Ligawin 5%
- at Siroki Brijeg6 Feb · Premijer Ligawin 18%
Radnik Bijeljina
- vs Čelik2 Dec · Premijer Ligawin 45%
- vs BSK Banja Luka5 Dec · Premijer Ligawin 42%
- at Zeljeznicar Sarajevo12 Dec · Premijer Ligawin 28%
- at FK Sarajevo6 Feb · Premijer Ligawin 16%
Each side's next matches after this one, coloured by the opponent's strength. How to read this.