Olympic El Qanah vs El Geish Premier League prediction & result
Final score: Olympic El Qanah 1-1 El Geish.
Before kick-off the model made it 42% Olympic El Qanah, 28% draw, 30% El Geish — fair odds of 2.38, 3.57 and 3.33.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Egyptian Premier League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Olympic El Qanah at 42%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Olympic El Qanah vs El Geish
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 16M. ShaabanG
- 30O. FathyD
- 5I. SamyD
- 2M. MahdyD
- 6M. RadyD
- 20H. IbrahimM
- 15M. SamyM
- 18M. WayoM
- 25M. HamadaM
- 10M. Hany
- 9H. A. Sattar
- 1M. MahmoudG
- 19M. El Shebiny
- 3A. ElfilD
- 98H. El ShazlyD
- 8M. HarshaM
- 33M. SadekM
- 14M. El Kout
- 11M. HamdiF
- 22M. AntarF
- 18E. El SayedG
- 8A. ZolaD
- 6K. SotohiD
- 4M. CamachoD
- 19H. El GabryD
- 30M. AtefM
- 32Y. MostafaM
- 22M. El KhawagaM
- 11K. Tarek
- 28I. Ouro-AgoroF
- 12I. Mohareb
- 77M. Magdy
- 24El Zoughbi
- 3A. TarekD
- 15M. ShabanaD
- 21Khaled Ramadan
- 13K. KomlaviF
- 9F. HatemF
- 10M. HanyF
- 25A. TarekM
Form going into Olympic El Qanah vs El Geish
Olympic El Qanah
All competitions we cover
- D0-0away to Wadi Degla1 September 2026
El Geish
All competitions we cover
- L0-1Masr1 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Egypt Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Olympic El Qanah | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 8 |
| 14 | El Geish | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 8 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Olympic El Qanah and El Geish
Olympic El Qanah
GoalsAssists
- M. Wayo30
- Hazem Abou Sena21
El Geish
GoalsAssists
- Islam Mohareb21
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Olympic El Qanah and El Geish drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Olympic El Qanah at 42% and given a draw 28%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: M. Wayo 45' for Olympic El Qanah, I. Mohareb 67' for El Geish. On expected goals it finished 0.54–1.18.
How the call on Olympic El Qanah v El Geish has moved
First published on 1 Sep at 41% / 30% / 29% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 1 update, it read 42% / 28% / 30%: the biggest move is the draw, down 2 points.
- Olympic El Qanah win42%▲ +1
- Draw28%▼ −2
- El Geish win30%▲ +1
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.