Regular Season - 13 · 29 November 2026, 17:30 UTC

Standard Liege vs Club Brugge KV Jupiler Pro League prediction

Maurice Dufrasnestadion

Our model says: Standard Liege 1–2 Club Brugge KV

The model makes it 21% Standard Liege, 25% draw, 54% Club Brugge KV — fair odds of 4.76, 4.00 and 1.85.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

Expected goals: Standard Liege 1.03, Club Brugge KV 1.97.

Both teams to score: 56%. Over 2.5 goals: 58%, under 2.5: 42%.

Model confidence: High — calls at this level have come off 61% of the time, over 2,154 settled matches.

One-sided: Club Brugge KV are clearly the stronger team on the model's ratings. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 68%, 20% were drawn and the underdog won 12%.

Published 15 November 2026

Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 15 November 2026. Standard Liege's rating is built from 51 Jupiler Pro League matches and Club Brugge KV's from 51, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most. Goal level and home advantage are this competition's own, measured over 735 matches.

Key facts

Standard Liege are 8th on 15 points from 11 games; Club Brugge KV are 2nd on 28 points from 11 games — Jupiler Pro League.
Standard Liege have won 1 of their last 5 games, most recently a 3-0 win at home to SK Beveren.
Club Brugge KV are unbeaten in their last 5 games (4 won), most recently a 1-1 draw at home to Anderlecht.
Last 6 meetings: level at 3 wins each, 0 draws; the most recent, 8 February 2026, ended Club Brugge KV 3–0 Standard Liege.

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Live win probability

From kick-off

From kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.

Model insights: Standard Liege vs Club Brugge KV

56%

Both teams to score

58%

Over 2.5 goals

42%

Under 2.5 goals

Most likely scorelines

Standard Liege win Draw Club Brugge KV win

1–111%
1–210%
0–210%
0–19%
1–37%
0–36%
0–05%

Scores read Standard Liege first; the other scorelines share the remaining 41%. How to read this.

Has the model earned this number?

Club Brugge KV at 54%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

Form going into Standard Liege vs Club Brugge KV

Standard Liege

Jupiler Pro League

W3-0SK Beveren6 November 2026
D1-1Kortrijk31 October 2026
L1-2away to Genk25 October 2026
L0-1Charleroi11 October 2026
L1-2away to Gent18 September 2026

Club Brugge KV

Jupiler Pro League

D1-1Anderlecht8 November 2026
W4-2away to Zulte Waregem30 October 2026
W3-2St. Truiden25 October 2026
W4-1away to RAAL La Louvière10 October 2026
W3-0Genk20 September 2026

What these results say

Standard Liege failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
Standard Liege scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
Standard Liege conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Club Brugge KV went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
Club Brugge KV scored in every one of these 5 matches.
Club Brugge KV won 4 of these 5 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Jupiler Pro League table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
8	Standard Liege	11	4	3	4	18	16	+2	15
2	Club Brugge KV	11	9	1	1	27	9	+18	28

Where the two sides stand. Full table

Head-to-head: Standard Liege vs Club Brugge KV

8 February 2026Club Brugge KV 3–0 Standard LiegeJupiler Pro League
27 September 2025Standard Liege 1–2 Club Brugge KVJupiler Pro League
23 February 2025Club Brugge KV 1–2 Standard LiegeJupiler Pro League
4 August 2024Standard Liege 1–0 Club Brugge KVJupiler Pro League
3 December 2023Club Brugge KV 2–0 Standard LiegeJupiler Pro League
8 October 2023Standard Liege 2–1 Club Brugge KVJupiler Pro League

Leading scorers: Standard Liege and Club Brugge KV

Standard Liege

GoalsAssists

D. Eckert Ayensa71

Club Brugge KV

GoalsAssists

N. Tresoldi81
H. Vetlesen51

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The rest of the season

Across the rest of the season our simulation gives Standard Liege a 0% chance of the title and Club Brugge KV 51.2%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.

Team comparison

Standard Liege Club Brugge KV

0.81 Attack strength (vs league average) 1.52

1 Defence strength (vs league average, lower = stronger) 0.77

1.03 Model expected goals (this match) 1.97

Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.

Why the model favours this side

The model gives Club Brugge KV the highest probability at 54%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.03 expected goals for Standard Liege against 1.97 for Club Brugge KV. Standard Liege's attack/defence rating is 0.81/1 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 1.52/0.77 for Club Brugge KV.

Standard Liege carry a model rating of 6.75 against 7.19 for Club Brugge KV.

How the model reaches 54% for Club Brugge KV to win

Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 36% for Club Brugge KV to win. Then home advantage takes away 6 points, Standard Liege's ratings add 11 points and Club Brugge KV's ratings add 13 points, which lands on the published 54%.

Two average sides, neutral ground36%
Home advantage30%−6
Standard Liege's ratings41%+11
Club Brugge KV's ratings54%+13

Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.

Goal trends

Standard LiegeModelClub Brugge KV

Over 1.5 goals

80%

8 of 10 games

81%

model, this match

80%

8 of 10 games

Over 2.5 goals

60%

6 of 10 games

58%

model, this match

70%

7 of 10 games

Over 3.5 goals

20%

2 of 10 games

35%

model, this match

40%

4 of 10 games

Both teams score

60%

6 of 10 games

56%

model, this match

60%

6 of 10 games

Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.

Season stats

Standard LiegeClub Brugge KV

11Matches11

4W 3D 4LRecord9W 1D 1L

18 1.6 per gameGoals scored27 2.5 per game

16 1.5 per gameGoals conceded9 0.8 per game

3 of 11Clean sheets5 of 11

1 of 11Failed to score0 of 11

3 of 3Penalties scored3 of 3

14 1.3 per gameYellow cards18 1.6 per game

2Red cards1

4-3-3 7×Usual shape4-2-3-1 10×

Standard Liege at home · Club Brugge KV away

6Played5

3W 2D 1LRecord4W 0D 1L

9–4Goals for – against13–5

3 of 6Clean sheets2 of 5

League matches only, Jupiler Pro League, this season; per game, from API-Football. How to read this.

Position by match

Standard LiegeClub Brugge KV

Standard Liege are 8th after 11 Jupiler Pro League matches (between 3rd and 11th so far); Club Brugge KV are 2nd after 11 (between 1st and 3rd). How to read this.

Goals scored and conceded, by minute

All Jupiler Pro League matches this season: Standard Liege 11, Club Brugge KV 11.

Standard Liege scored 3121101

Club Brugge KV conceded 013312

Standard Liege score most often in the 61–75 minute window (10 goals); Club Brugge KV have let in 1 there.

Club Brugge KV scored 3210443

Standard Liege conceded 114217

Club Brugge KV score most often in the 31–45 minute window (10 goals); Standard Liege have let in 4 there.

League goals by 15-minute window, from API-Football. Context, not a prediction. How to read this.

The next 4 matches, by difficulty

Standard Liege

at Zulte Waregem12 Dec · Jupiler Pro Leaguewin 35%
vs Anderlecht20 Dec · Jupiler Pro Leaguewin 37%
vs Union St. Gilloise26 Dec · Jupiler Pro Leaguewin 22%
at St. Truiden17 Jan · Jupiler Pro Leaguewin 27%

Club Brugge KV

at Napoli8 Dec · UEFA Champions Leaguewin 33%
vs KVC Westerlo13 Dec · Jupiler Pro Leaguewin 78%
at Union St. Gilloise20 Dec · Jupiler Pro Leaguewin 32%

Each side's next matches after this one, coloured by the opponent's strength. How to read this.