Regular Season - 12 · 21 November 2026, 16:00 UTC

Témouchent vs USM Alger Ligue 1 postponed match

PostponedNot played

This fixture has been postponed and is not being played on this date. A replayed tie is listed by our data provider as a new fixture, with its own page, so the call below has no result to be judged against.

Before the match was called off the model made it 31% Témouchent, 28% draw, 41% USM Alger — fair odds of 3.23, 3.57 and 2.44.

Most likely scoreline: 0-1.

Expected goals: Témouchent 1.18, USM Alger 1.43.

Both teams to score: 53%. Over 2.5 goals: 49%, under 2.5: 51%.

Model confidence: Medium.

Edge to USM Alger: the better side on the model's ratings, but not by much. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 54%, 26% were drawn and the underdog won 21%.

Published · updated

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Model insights: Témouchent vs USM Alger

53%
Both teams to score
49%
Over 2.5 goals
51%
Under 2.5 goals

Most likely scorelines

Témouchent win Draw USM Alger win
  1. 1–113%
  2. 0–110%
  3. 1–29%
  4. 1–08%
  5. 0–08%
  6. 0–28%
  7. 2–17%

Scores read Témouchent first; the other scorelines share the remaining 37%. How to read this.

Has the model earned this number?

USM Alger at 41%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

Form going into Témouchent vs USM Alger

Témouchent

Ligue 1

  • D1-1away to Khenchela8 November 2026
  • D1-1US Biskra2 November 2026
  • W2-1away to ES Setif24 October 2026
  • D1-1ASO Chlef18 October 2026
  • L0-2MB Rouisset14 October 2026

USM Alger

Ligue 1

  • W2-0away to CS Constantine31 October 2026
  • D2-2CR Belouizdad24 October 2026
  • W1-0JS Saoura13 October 2026
  • L0-1away to MB Rouisset8 October 2026
  • W3-2away to Olympique Akbou19 September 2026

What these results say

  • Témouchent conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
  • Témouchent failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Témouchent scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • USM Alger scored in 4 of these 5 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Algeria Ligue 1 table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
9Témouchent9243710-310
6USM Alger7421105+514

Where the two sides stand. Full table

Head-to-head: Témouchent vs USM Alger

  • 27 March 2025Témouchent 0–5 USM AlgerCoupe Nationale

The rest of the season

Across the rest of the season our simulation gives Témouchent a 0% chance of the title and USM Alger 5.9%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.

Team comparison

Témouchent USM Alger
0.46 Attack strength (vs league average) 0.64
1.86 Defence strength (vs league average, lower = stronger) 1.58
1.18 Model expected goals (this match) 1.43

Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.

Why the model favours this side

The model gives USM Alger the highest probability at 41%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.18 expected goals for Témouchent against 1.43 for USM Alger. Témouchent's attack/defence rating is 0.46/1.86 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.64/1.58 for USM Alger.

Témouchent carry a model rating of 6.15 against 6.4 for USM Alger.

How the model reaches 41% for USM Alger to win

Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 36% for USM Alger to win. Then home advantage takes away 7 points, Témouchent's ratings add 5 points and USM Alger's ratings add 7 points, which lands on the published 41%.

  1. Two average sides, neutral ground36%
  2. Home advantage29%−7
  3. Témouchent's ratings34%+5
  4. USM Alger's ratings41%+7

Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.