MC Alger
vs
JS Saoura
Ligue 1 postponed match
This fixture has been postponed and is not being played on this date. A replayed tie is listed by our data provider as a new fixture, with its own page, so the call below has no result to be judged against.
Before the match was called off the model made it 53% MC Alger, 30% draw, 17% JS Saoura — fair odds of 1.89, 3.33 and 5.88.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0 (19%).
Expected goals: MC Alger 1.40, JS Saoura 0.58.
Both teams to score: 34%. Over 2.5 goals: 32%, under 2.5: 68%.
Model confidence: High.
Edge to MC Alger: the better side on the model's ratings, but not by much. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 54%, 26% were drawn and the underdog won 21%.
Published · updated
More Ligue 1 (Algeria) predictions
Model insights: MC Alger vs JS Saoura
Has the model earned this number?
MC Alger at 53%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into MC Alger vs JS Saoura
MC Alger
Ligue 1
- L0-1away to JS El Biar8 November 2026
- W2-0MC Oran4 November 2026
- W2-0Khenchela31 October 2026
- W1-0away to US Biskra27 October 2026
- D1-1away to ASO Chlef13 October 2026
JS Saoura
Ligue 1
- D1-1Khenchela13 November 2026
- W1-0CS Constantine8 November 2026
- L0-1away to CR Belouizdad2 November 2026
- D0-0Ben Aknoun24 October 2026
- L0-1away to MB Rouisset18 October 2026
What these results say
- Every one of these 5 matches for MC Alger had two goals or fewer.
- MC Alger scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Every one of these 5 matches for JS Saoura had two goals or fewer.
- JS Saoura failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Algeria Ligue 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | MC Alger | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 2 | +7 | 16 |
| 13 | JS Saoura | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 7 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: MC Alger vs JS Saoura
- 5 April 2026JS Saoura 2–1 MC AlgerLigue 1
- 3 November 2025MC Alger 1–0 JS SaouraLigue 1
- 27 May 2025JS Saoura 0–0 MC AlgerLigue 1
- 29 January 2025MC Alger 1–0 JS SaouraLigue 1
- 25 March 2024JS Saoura 0–1 MC AlgerLigue 1
- 17 November 2023MC Alger 4–0 JS SaouraLigue 1
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives MC Alger a 27.6% chance of the title and JS Saoura 0%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.
Team comparison
Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives MC Alger the highest probability at 53%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.40 expected goals for MC Alger against 0.58 for JS Saoura. MC Alger's attack/defence rating is 0.63/1.15 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.42/1.37 for JS Saoura.
How the model reaches 53% for MC Alger to win
Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 36% for MC Alger to win. Then home advantage adds 8 points, the level of the two sides takes away 5 points, MC Alger's ratings add 8 points and JS Saoura's ratings add 6 points, which lands on the published 53%.
- Two average sides, neutral ground36%
- Home advantage44%+8
- Both sides at this match's level39%−5
- MC Alger's ratings47%+8
- JS Saoura's ratings53%+6
Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.