MC Oran
vs
CR Belouizdad
Ligue 1 postponed match
This fixture has been postponed and is not being played on this date. A replayed tie is listed by our data provider as a new fixture, with its own page, so the call below has no result to be judged against.
Before the match was called off the model made it 33% MC Oran, 30% draw, 37% CR Belouizdad — fair odds of 3.03, 3.33 and 2.70.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
Expected goals: MC Oran 1.12, CR Belouizdad 1.21.
Both teams to score: 48%. Over 2.5 goals: 41%, under 2.5: 59%.
Model confidence: Low.
Edge to CR Belouizdad: the better side on the model's ratings, but not by much. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 54%, 26% were drawn and the underdog won 21%.
Published · updated
More Ligue 1 (Algeria) predictions
Model insights: MC Oran vs CR Belouizdad
Has the model earned this number?
CR Belouizdad at 37%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into MC Oran vs CR Belouizdad
MC Oran
Ligue 1
- L0-2away to MC Alger4 November 2026
- D0-0Olympique Akbou30 October 2026
- D0-0away to JS El Biar23 October 2026
- W1-0Khenchela17 October 2026
- W1-0away to US Biskra13 October 2026
CR Belouizdad
Ligue 1
- W1-0away to Ben Aknoun8 November 2026
- W1-0JS Saoura2 November 2026
- D2-2away to USM Alger24 October 2026
- W3-2away to JS El Biar12 October 2026
- W1-0Khenchela7 October 2026
What these results say
- Every one of these 5 matches for MC Oran had two goals or fewer.
- MC Oran kept a clean sheet in 4 of these 5 matches.
- CR Belouizdad went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
- CR Belouizdad scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- CR Belouizdad won 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Algeria Ligue 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | MC Oran | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 2 | +3 | 15 |
| 1 | CR Belouizdad | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 7 | +6 | 20 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: MC Oran vs CR Belouizdad
- 20 May 2026CR Belouizdad 3–1 MC OranLigue 1
- 29 December 2025MC Oran 1–1 CR BelouizdadLigue 1
- 17 June 2025CR Belouizdad 2–0 MC OranLigue 1
- 3 February 2025MC Oran 1–2 CR BelouizdadLigue 1
- 28 April 2024MC Oran 1–0 CR BelouizdadLigue 1
- 30 January 2024CR Belouizdad 2–0 MC OranLigue 1
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives MC Oran a 2.1% chance of the title and CR Belouizdad 42.6%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.
Team comparison
Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives CR Belouizdad the highest probability at 37%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.12 expected goals for MC Oran against 1.21 for CR Belouizdad. MC Oran's attack/defence rating is 0.48/1.32 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.76/1.44 for CR Belouizdad.
How the model reaches 37% for CR Belouizdad to win
Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 36% for CR Belouizdad to win. Then home advantage takes away 7 points, the level of the two sides takes away 1 point, MC Oran's ratings add 4 points and CR Belouizdad's ratings add 5 points, which lands on the published 37%.
- Two average sides, neutral ground36%
- Home advantage29%−7
- Both sides at this match's level28%−1
- MC Oran's ratings32%+4
- CR Belouizdad's ratings37%+5
Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.