US Biskra
vs
Khenchela
Ligue 1 postponed match
This fixture has been postponed and is not being played on this date. A replayed tie is listed by our data provider as a new fixture, with its own page, so the call below has no result to be judged against.
Before the match was called off the model made it 33% US Biskra, 29% draw, 38% Khenchela — fair odds of 3.03, 3.45 and 2.63.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
Expected goals: US Biskra 1.16, Khenchela 1.31.
Both teams to score: 51%. Over 2.5 goals: 45%, under 2.5: 55%.
Model confidence: Low.
Edge to Khenchela: the better side on the model's ratings, but not by much. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 54%, 26% were drawn and the underdog won 21%.
Published · updated
More Ligue 1 (Algeria) predictions
Model insights: US Biskra vs Khenchela
Has the model earned this number?
Khenchela at 38%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into US Biskra vs Khenchela
US Biskra
Ligue 1
- D0-0ASO Chlef8 November 2026
- D1-1away to Témouchent2 November 2026
- L0-1MC Alger27 October 2026
- L1-4away to JS Kabylie18 October 2026
- L0-1MC Oran13 October 2026
Khenchela
Ligue 1
- D1-1away to JS Saoura13 November 2026
- D1-1Témouchent8 November 2026
- L0-2away to MC Alger31 October 2026
- L0-3JS Kabylie24 October 2026
- L0-1away to MC Oran17 October 2026
What these results say
- US Biskra did not win any of these 5 matches.
- US Biskra conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for US Biskra had two goals or fewer.
- Khenchela did not win any of these 5 matches.
- Khenchela conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Khenchela had two goals or fewer.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Algeria Ligue 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | US Biskra | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 14 | -10 | 4 |
| 12 | Khenchela | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 7 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: US Biskra vs Khenchela
- 16 June 2025US Biskra 1–2 KhenchelaLigue 1
- 20 December 2024Khenchela 0–0 US BiskraLigue 1
- 16 March 2024US Biskra 2–1 KhenchelaLigue 1
- 11 November 2023Khenchela 0–1 US BiskraLigue 1
- 1 July 2023US Biskra 1–0 KhenchelaLigue 1
- 12 November 2022Khenchela 1–0 US BiskraLigue 1
Team comparison
Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Khenchela the highest probability at 38%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.16 expected goals for US Biskra against 1.31 for Khenchela. US Biskra's attack/defence rating is 0.37/2.22 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.49/1.93 for Khenchela.
How the model reaches 38% for Khenchela to win
Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 36% for Khenchela to win. Then home advantage takes away 7 points, the level of the two sides takes away 1 point, US Biskra's ratings add 5 points and Khenchela's ratings add 5 points, which lands on the published 38%.
- Two average sides, neutral ground36%
- Home advantage29%−7
- Both sides at this match's level28%−1
- US Biskra's ratings33%+5
- Khenchela's ratings38%+5
Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.