20 September 2026, 16:00 UTC

Viborg vs FC Nordsjaelland Superliga prediction & result

Energi Viborg Arena, Viborg
Full time4 – 1

Final score: Viborg 4-1 FC Nordsjaelland.

Before kick-off the model made it 38% Viborg, 29% draw, 33% FC Nordsjaelland — fair odds of 2.63, 3.45 and 3.03.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Viborg at 38%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Viborg99%Draw1%FC Nordsjaelland0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

8'
Victor Nelsson
⚽Mads Søndergaard Clausen
16'
26'
⚽Alexander Lindassist: Mark Brink
27'
Alexander Lind
⚽Dorian Hanzaassist: Asker Beck
33'
⚽Charly Ngos Nouck Hornemanassist: Sami Jalal Karchoud
41'
45'
🔁Alexander Lindout: Ibrahim Adel
45'
🔁Prince Amoako Juniorout: Villum Berthelsen
🔁Charly Ngos Nouck Hornemanout: Lasso Coulibaly
66'
🔁Mads Søndergaard Clausenout: Philip Keller
70'
🔁Dorian Hanzaout: Ruben Kristensen Alte
70'
🔁Hjalte Bidstrupout: Adam Kleis-Kristoffersen
70'
77'
🔁Juho Lähteenmäkiout: Ola Solbakken
77'
🔁Hjalte Rasmussenout: Lamine Sadio
⚽Adam Kleis-Kristoffersenassist: Philip Keller
81'
🔁Sami Jalal Karchoudout: Emil Monrad
90'

Match stats — Viborg vs FC Nordsjaelland

48%Possession52%
20Shots14
6On target2
4Corners5

Line-ups

Viborg 4-3-3
  • 20K. KiilerichG
  • 26Hjalte BidstrupD
  • 4L. KirkegaardD
  • 24D. AnyembeD
  • 23O. BundgaardD
  • 8A. BeckM
  • 13J. GrønningM
  • 6M. SøndergaardM
  • 10S. JalalF
  • 19Dorian HanzaF
  • 11C. NouckF
Substitutes
  • 18R. AlteM
  • 28L. CoulibalyM
  • 33Frederik DamkjerM
  • 36Adam Kleis-KristoffersenF
  • 1L. LundG
  • 38E. MonradD
  • 25GiulioF
  • 34Philip KellerM
Coach: Nickolai Lund
FC Nordsjaelland 3-4-3
  • 13A. HansenG
  • 2P. AnkersenD
  • 25V. NelssonD
  • 4Noah MarkmannD
  • 5J. LähteenmäkiM
  • 18Justin JanssenM
  • 6M. BrinkM
  • 23R. NorheimM
  • 40H. Boe RasmussenF
  • 11A. LindF
  • 10P. AmoakoF
Substitutes
  • 47M. HeydeM
  • 37Lamine SadioM
  • 9O. SolbakkenF
  • 42M. TukaD
  • 28M. WalkerD
  • 22C. ErikssonG
  • 29V. BerthelsenM
  • 14Ibrahim AdelF
  • 15S. AcquahD
Coach: J. Olsen

Form going into Viborg vs FC Nordsjaelland

Viborg

All competitions we cover

  • D1-1away to Silkeborg13 September 2026
  • L0-2Lyngby4 September 2026
  • W3-2away to AC Horsens28 August 2026
  • W4-0FC Copenhagen23 August 2026
  • W2-1Aarhus14 August 2026

FC Nordsjaelland

All competitions we cover

  • W2-0Aarhus13 September 2026
  • D2-2away to FC Midtjylland7 September 2026
  • L0-2away to FC Copenhagen3 September 2026
  • W3-1Brondby30 August 2026
  • W3-2away to FC St. Gallen27 August 2026

What these results say

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Superliga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
3Viborg148242213+926
4FC Nordsjaelland146532618+823

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Viborg vs FC Nordsjaelland

  • 26 April 2026Viborg 1–0 FC NordsjaellandSuperliga
  • 19 April 2026FC Nordsjaelland 2–1 ViborgSuperliga
  • 1 March 2026Viborg 2–1 FC NordsjaellandSuperliga
  • 25 August 2025FC Nordsjaelland 1–0 ViborgSuperliga
  • 3 November 2024FC Nordsjaelland 2–1 ViborgSuperliga

Leading scorers: Viborg and FC Nordsjaelland

Viborg

GoalsAssists

  • Dorian Hanza61
  • M. Søndergaard43
  • C. Nouck33

FC Nordsjaelland

GoalsAssists

  • A. Lind63
  • Ibrahim Adel43
  • H. Boe Rasmussen42

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Viborg beat FC Nordsjaelland 4–1. The model had made a win for Viborg its most likely outcome, at 38%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Mads Søndergaard Clausen 16' for Viborg, Alexander Lind 26' for FC Nordsjaelland, Dorian Hanza 33' for Viborg, Charly Ngos Nouck Horneman 41' for Viborg, Adam Kleis-Kristoffersen 81' for Viborg.

How the call on Viborg v FC Nordsjaelland has moved

First published on 6 Sep at 40% / 28% / 32% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 8 updates, it read 38% / 29% / 33%: the biggest move is Viborg's chance of winning, down 2 points.

  1. Viborg win38%▼ −2
  2. Draw29%▲ +1
  3. FC Nordsjaelland win33%▲ +1

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.