19 September 2026, 16:00 UTC

Odense vs FC Midtjylland Superliga prediction & result

Nature Energy Park, Odense
Full time1 – 1

Final score: Odense 1-1 FC Midtjylland.

Before kick-off the model made it 28% Odense, 28% draw, 44% FC Midtjylland — fair odds of 3.57, 3.57 and 2.27.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

FC Midtjylland at 44%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Odense5%Draw92%FC Midtjylland3%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

4'
🔁Magnus Jensenout: Abdou Aziz Ndiaye
10'
⚽Friday Etimassist: David Martínez
13'
Rasmus Kristensen
Marcus McCoy
21'
33'
Abdou Aziz Ndiaye
44'
Abdou Aziz Ndiaye
🔁Christian Gammelgaardout: Alexander Ahl Holmstrom
45'
🔁Marcus McCoyout: Adam Sorensen
45'
45'
🔁David Martínezout: Sofus Johannesen
45'
🔁Stanley Iheanachoout: Julius Emefile
🔁Julian Andreas Pauliout: Jann-Fiete Arp
59'
🔁Nikolaj Juul-Sandbergout: Fredrik Ulvestad
68'
73'
🔁Cho Gue-sungout: Mikael Uhre
⚽Noah Ganausassist: Alexander Ahl Holmstrom
75'
•Noah Ganaus
77'
80'
🔁Friday Etimout: Mileta Rajovic
🔁Rasmus Falk Jensenout: Anssi Suhonen
83'
Julius Berthel Askou Harvey
88'

Match stats — Odense vs FC Midtjylland

63%Possession37%
21Shots6
4On target3
9Corners2

Line-ups

Odense 3-5-2
  • 16V. MyhraG
  • 4Julian Andreas PauliD
  • 13J. Berthel AskouD
  • 29J. GomezD
  • 28Magnus Hvitfeldt AndersenM
  • 14C. GammelgaardM
  • 8R. FalkM
  • 19Nikolaj Juul-SandbergM
  • 15M. McCoyM
  • 9T. KeskinenF
  • 17N. GanausF
Substitutes
  • 6F. UlvestadM
  • 10A. SuhonenM
  • 3A. SørensenD
  • 24M. RaknebergD
  • 22I. OuédraogoM
  • 5U. Yttergård JenssenD
  • 18A. Ahl-HolmströmF
  • 1M. HansenG
  • 7J. ArpF
Coach: T. Thomasberg
FC Midtjylland 3-4-1-2
  • 1E. ÓlafssonG
  • 5R. KristensenD
  • 3M. JensenD
  • 55V. Bak JensenD
  • 8P. BillingM
  • 21D. CastilloM
  • 19P. BravoM
  • 98D. MartínezM
  • 10Cho Gue-SungM
  • 18S. IheanachoF
  • 90F. EtimF
Substitutes
  • 9M. RajovićF
  • 27S. JohannesenM
  • 33Alamara DjabiM
  • 17M. UhreF
  • 25N. BakkerG
  • 30O. EjeheriG
  • 38J. EmefileM
  • 34N. A. AzizD
Coach: M. Tullberg

Form going into Odense vs FC Midtjylland

Odense

All competitions we cover

  • W2-1away to Randers FC13 September 2026
  • L0-5FC Copenhagen6 September 2026
  • D1-1away to Lyngby30 August 2026
  • D2-2away to Aarhus23 August 2026
  • L1-2AC Horsens16 August 2026

FC Midtjylland

All competitions we cover

  • W4-1Brondby14 September 2026
  • D2-2FC Nordsjaelland7 September 2026
  • W2-0away to Aarhus2 September 2026
  • D1-1away to Silkeborg30 August 2026
  • W4-1away to HNK Rijeka27 August 2026

What these results say

  • Odense conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
  • Odense failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Odense scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • FC Midtjylland went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
  • FC Midtjylland scored in every one of these 5 matches.
  • FC Midtjylland conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Superliga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
6Odense144551619-317
2FC Midtjylland149502917+1232

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Odense vs FC Midtjylland

  • 17 July 2026FC Midtjylland 4–1 OdenseFriendlies Clubs
  • 15 February 2026Odense 1–4 FC MidtjyllandSuperliga
  • 20 July 2025FC Midtjylland 3–3 OdenseSuperliga
  • 23 October 2023Odense 1–2 FC MidtjyllandSuperliga
  • 24 September 2023FC Midtjylland 2–1 OdenseSuperliga

Leading scorers: Odense and FC Midtjylland

Odense

GoalsAssists

  • N. Ganaus40
  • J. Arp40

FC Midtjylland

GoalsAssists

  • F. Etim63

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Odense and FC Midtjylland drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for FC Midtjylland at 44% and given a draw 28%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: Friday Etim 10' for FC Midtjylland, Noah Ganaus 75' for Odense. Sent off: Abdou Aziz Ndiaye (FC Midtjylland) 44'.

How the call on Odense v FC Midtjylland has moved

First published on 5 Sep at 34% / 29% / 37% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 8 updates, it read 28% / 28% / 44%: the biggest move is FC Midtjylland's chance of winning, up 7 points.

  1. Odense win28%▼ −6
  2. Draw28%▼ −1
  3. FC Midtjylland win44%▲ +7

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.