League Tables

Premier League (Belarus)

ML Vitebsk lead on 62 points, 1 ahead of FC Isloch Minsk R.. The model's chances of finishing first in the regular season: ML Vitebsk 67.8%, Dinamo Minsk 16.9% and FC Isloch Minsk R. 15.3%, from 10,000 simulations of the 16 matches left. The table as it stands, and where the model expects it to finish. Across all 40 settled predictions in this competition, it has called 65% of results. Projections are final positions, not qualification or relegation. How the model works. Upcoming predictions →

  1. ML Vitebsk — 62 points from 28 played (18 won, 8 drawn, 2 lost), 61 scored, 19 conceded, goal difference +42. Form, oldest first: W W L W W.
  2. FC Isloch Minsk R. — 61 points from 28 played (18 won, 7 drawn, 3 lost), 54 scored, 23 conceded, goal difference +31. Form, oldest first: W W W W W.
  3. Dinamo Minsk — 61 points from 28 played (19 won, 4 drawn, 5 lost), 51 scored, 23 conceded, goal difference +28. Form, oldest first: W W W L W.
  4. Dinamo Brest — 51 points from 28 played (15 won, 6 drawn, 7 lost), 50 scored, 29 conceded, goal difference +21. Form, oldest first: W D W W D.
  5. Neman — 49 points from 28 played (15 won, 4 drawn, 9 lost), 35 scored, 26 conceded, goal difference +9. Form, oldest first: W L L W W.
  6. FC Gomel — 43 points from 28 played (12 won, 7 drawn, 9 lost), 40 scored, 29 conceded, goal difference +11. Form, oldest first: L D L L W.
  7. FC Vitebsk — 40 points from 28 played (11 won, 7 drawn, 10 lost), 30 scored, 27 conceded, goal difference +3. Form, oldest first: D W L L L.
  8. Torpedo Zhodino — 36 points from 28 played (10 won, 6 drawn, 12 lost), 35 scored, 36 conceded, goal difference -1. Form, oldest first: L W L W L.
  9. FC Minsk — 35 points from 28 played (10 won, 5 drawn, 13 lost), 35 scored, 42 conceded, goal difference -7. Form, oldest first: L L L L D.
  10. Slavia Mozyr — 34 points from 28 played (9 won, 7 drawn, 12 lost), 36 scored, 38 conceded, goal difference -2. Form, oldest first: L W W L W.
  11. Baranovichi — 31 points from 28 played (8 won, 7 drawn, 13 lost), 30 scored, 45 conceded, goal difference -15. Form, oldest first: L L W W L.
  12. Arsenal Dzerzhinsk — 27 points from 28 played (6 won, 9 drawn, 13 lost), 25 scored, 46 conceded, goal difference -21. Form, oldest first: L L D W L.
  13. Belshina — 24 points from 28 played (6 won, 6 drawn, 16 lost), 30 scored, 53 conceded, goal difference -23. Form, oldest first: L W L L L.
  14. Bate Borisov — 24 points from 28 played (5 won, 9 drawn, 14 lost), 20 scored, 34 conceded, goal difference -14. Form, oldest first: L L L L W.
  15. FC Dnepr Mogilev — 23 points from 28 played (4 won, 11 drawn, 13 lost), 27 scored, 43 conceded, goal difference -16. Form, oldest first: L W D W L.
  16. Naftan — 17 points from 28 played (4 won, 5 drawn, 19 lost), 24 scored, 70 conceded, goal difference -46. Form, oldest first: W L L L L.

What moved

Measured against 2026-11-14, the last update whose numbers changed — not against the last time the page was built, because an unchanged projection is carried forward rather than restamped.

Season projection

Every one of the 16 matches this phase has left, played out 10,000 times by the same model that makes our match predictions — but rating each side on its whole season rather than its last six games, since one hot run should not decide a title race. The figures are final positions, not qualification or relegation: those depend on each country's rules and playoffs. A statistical estimate, not betting advice. These figures cover the regular season only. The regular season is not the end of the competition: Final follow it, and no projection here covers them. Movement is measured against 2026-11-14, the last update whose numbers changed.

  1. ML Vitebsk — projected to finish on 66.9 points, from 62 after 28 played. Finishes top of the regular season 67.8%, finishes top four 100%, bottom three 0%.
  2. Dinamo Minsk — projected to finish on 65.9 points, from 61 after 28 played. Finishes top of the regular season 16.9%, finishes top four 100%, bottom three 0%.
  3. FC Isloch Minsk R. — projected to finish on 65.4 points, from 61 after 28 played. Finishes top of the regular season 15.3%, finishes top four 100%, bottom three 0%.
  4. Dinamo Brest — projected to finish on 55.3 points, from 51 after 28 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 90%, bottom three 0%.
  5. Neman — projected to finish on 52.2 points, from 49 after 28 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 10%, bottom three 0%.
  6. FC Gomel — projected to finish on 46.1 points, from 43 after 28 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 0%, bottom three 0%.
  7. FC Vitebsk — projected to finish on 43.2 points, from 40 after 28 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 0%, bottom three 0%.
  8. Torpedo Zhodino — projected to finish on 38.2 points, from 36 after 28 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 0%, bottom three 0%.
  9. FC Minsk — projected to finish on 37.3 points, from 35 after 28 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 0%, bottom three 0%.
  10. Slavia Mozyr — projected to finish on 35.7 points, from 34 after 28 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 0%, bottom three 0%.
  11. Baranovichi — projected to finish on 34 points, from 31 after 28 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 0%, bottom three 0%.
  12. Arsenal Dzerzhinsk — projected to finish on 29.1 points, from 27 after 28 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 0%, bottom three 4.5%.
  13. Bate Borisov — projected to finish on 25.5 points, from 24 after 28 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 0%, bottom three 58.4%.
  14. Belshina — projected to finish on 25.3 points, from 24 after 28 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 0%, bottom three 75.3%.
  15. FC Dnepr Mogilev — projected to finish on 25.3 points, from 23 after 28 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 0%, bottom three 61.8%.
  16. Naftan — projected to finish on 17.6 points, from 17 after 28 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 0%, bottom three 100%.

Top scorers

  1. V. Sotnikov (FC Gomel) — 2 goals, 2 assists.
  2. T. Lutsevich (Slavia Mozyr) — 2 goals, 1 assist.
  3. A. Sokol (FC Minsk) — 1 goal.
  4. Guilherme Guedes (Dinamo Brest) — 0 goals, 2 assists.
  5. P. Pavlyuchenko (ML Vitebsk) — 0 goals.
  6. S. Karpovich (Dinamo Minsk) — 0 goals.
  7. L. Đorđević (Bate Borisov) — 0 goals.

Premier League (Belarus): how many points for the top four?

Chance by final points total · 15 November 2026

53 points has been enough in half of the simulations, 55 in nine out of ten.

Final positions, not qualification: that depends on the competition's rules.

fulltimestats.comBased on 10,000 simulations · 15 November 2026

Premier League (Belarus): how many points to stay up?

Chance by final points total · 15 November 2026

25 points has been enough in half of the simulations, 28 in nine out of ten.

The bottom three are in the relegation zone.

fulltimestats.comBased on 10,000 simulations · 15 November 2026

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