League Tables

Premijer Liga

Zrinjski lead on 34 points, 3 ahead of Borac Banja Luka. The model's chances of winning the title: Zrinjski 57.6%, Borac Banja Luka 42.2% and FK Sarajevo 0.2%, from 10,000 simulations of the 116 matches left. The table as it stands, and where the model expects it to finish. Projections are final positions, not qualification or relegation. How the model works. Upcoming predictions →

  1. Zrinjski — 34 points from 13 played (11 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost), 31 scored, 7 conceded, goal difference +24. Form, oldest first: W W W W D.
  2. Borac Banja Luka — 31 points from 12 played (10 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost), 27 scored, 10 conceded, goal difference +17. Form, oldest first: W W W W W.
  3. FK Sarajevo — 20 points from 13 played (5 won, 5 drawn, 3 lost), 10 scored, 7 conceded, goal difference +3. Form, oldest first: D D W D D.
  4. Siroki Brijeg — 17 points from 13 played (4 won, 5 drawn, 4 lost), 13 scored, 14 conceded, goal difference -1. Form, oldest first: D W D L W.
  5. BSK Banja Luka — 16 points from 13 played (4 won, 4 drawn, 5 lost), 20 scored, 21 conceded, goal difference -1. Form, oldest first: L D W D W.
  6. Zeljeznicar Sarajevo — 13 points from 13 played (3 won, 4 drawn, 6 lost), 13 scored, 21 conceded, goal difference -8. Form, oldest first: L D L L L.
  7. Velež — 12 points from 12 played (3 won, 3 drawn, 6 lost), 10 scored, 18 conceded, goal difference -8. Form, oldest first: L D L W D.
  8. Čelik — 11 points from 13 played (2 won, 5 drawn, 6 lost), 14 scored, 20 conceded, goal difference -6. Form, oldest first: D L D L D.
  9. Radnik Bijeljina — 11 points from 13 played (2 won, 5 drawn, 6 lost), 19 scored, 26 conceded, goal difference -7. Form, oldest first: W D L W L.
  10. Sloga Doboj — 9 points from 13 played (2 won, 3 drawn, 8 lost), 8 scored, 21 conceded, goal difference -13. Form, oldest first: L L L L L.

What moved

Measured against 2026-11-14, the last update whose numbers changed — not against the last time the page was built, because an unchanged projection is carried forward rather than restamped.

Season projection

Every one of the 116 matches this competition has left, played out 10,000 times by the same model that makes our match predictions — but rating each side on its whole season rather than its last six games, since one hot run should not decide a title race. The figures are final positions, not qualification or relegation: those depend on each country's rules and playoffs. A statistical estimate, not betting advice. Movement is measured against 2026-11-14, the last update whose numbers changed.

  1. Zrinjski — projected to finish on 84 points, from 34 after 13 played. Wins it 57.6% (down 0.6), finishes top four 100%, bottom two 0%.
  2. Borac Banja Luka — projected to finish on 82.1 points, from 31 after 12 played. Wins it 42.2% (up 0.5), finishes top four 100%, bottom two 0%.
  3. FK Sarajevo — projected to finish on 59.7 points, from 20 after 13 played. Wins it 0.2%, finishes top four 93.6%, bottom two 0%.
  4. BSK Banja Luka — projected to finish on 44.8 points, from 16 after 13 played. Wins it 0%, finishes top four 31.3%, bottom two 9%.
  5. Siroki Brijeg — projected to finish on 43.8 points, from 17 after 13 played. Wins it 0%, finishes top four 24.3%, bottom two 8.4%.
  6. Zeljeznicar Sarajevo — projected to finish on 41 points, from 13 after 13 played. Wins it 0%, finishes top four 15.3%, bottom two 18.6%.
  7. Radnik Bijeljina — projected to finish on 39.3 points, from 11 after 13 played. Wins it 0%, finishes top four 13.8%, bottom two 25.4%.
  8. Čelik — projected to finish on 39.1 points, from 11 after 13 played. Wins it 0%, finishes top four 11.4%, bottom two 24.1%.
  9. Velež — projected to finish on 38.8 points, from 12 after 12 played. Wins it 0%, finishes top four 10.1%, bottom two 25.7%.
  10. Sloga Doboj — projected to finish on 26.1 points, from 9 after 13 played. Wins it 0%, finishes top four 0.2%, bottom two 88.6%.

Top scorers

  1. L. Juričić (Borac Banja Luka) — 6 goals, 2 assists.
  2. A. Ilic (Zrinjski) — 3 goals, 1 assist.
  3. N. Bilbija (Zrinjski) — 3 goals, 1 assist.
  4. D. Čavić (BSK Banja Luka) — 3 goals, 1 assist.
  5. A. Hrvanović (Čelik) — 2 goals, 2 assists.
  6. D. Teodorović (Radnik Bijeljina) — 2 goals, 1 assist.
  7. M. Husković (Zeljeznicar Sarajevo) — 2 goals.
  8. M. Ćuže (Zrinjski) — 2 goals.
  9. A. Roguljić (Borac Banja Luka) — 2 goals.
  10. S. Marčetić (BSK Banja Luka) — 2 goals.
  11. V. Bradonjić (Radnik Bijeljina) — 2 goals.
  12. R. Caraballo (FK Sarajevo) — 2 goals.
  13. Rodrigo Piloto (Zeljeznicar Sarajevo) — 2 goals.
  14. A. Hiroš (Borac Banja Luka) — 1 goal, 2 assists.
  15. A. Pejić (Zeljeznicar Sarajevo) — 1 goal, 2 assists.
  16. Anes Mašić (Čelik) — 1 goal, 1 assist.
  17. N. Stojanović (Velež) — 1 goal, 1 assist.
  18. M. Matić (Siroki Brijeg) — 1 goal, 1 assist.
  19. M. Ghorzi (Radnik Bijeljina) — 1 goal, 1 assist.
  20. D. Dizdarevic (BSK Banja Luka) — 1 goal, 1 assist.

Premijer Liga: how many points to win the title?

Chance by final points total · 15 November 2026

80 points has been enough in half of the simulations, 86 in nine out of ten.

Only first place wins the title.

fulltimestats.comBased on 10,000 simulations · 15 November 2026

Premijer Liga: how many points for the top four?

Chance by final points total · 15 November 2026

47 points has been enough in half of the simulations, 51 in nine out of ten.

Final positions, not qualification: that depends on the competition's rules.

fulltimestats.comBased on 10,000 simulations · 15 November 2026

Premijer Liga: how many points to stay up?

Chance by final points total · 15 November 2026

32 points has been enough in half of the simulations, 37 in nine out of ten.

The bottom two are in the relegation zone.

fulltimestats.comBased on 10,000 simulations · 15 November 2026

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