League Tables

3. Liga

FC Viktoria Köln and MSV Duisburg are level at the top on 29 points. The model's chances of winning the title: MSV Duisburg 41.1%, FC Viktoria Köln 33.9% and Rot-Weiß Essen 9.8%, from 10,000 simulations of the 250 matches left. The table as it stands, and where the model expects it to finish. Across all 60 settled predictions in this competition, it has called 47% of results. Projections are final positions, not qualification or relegation. How the model works. Upcoming predictions →

  1. FC Viktoria Köln — 29 points from 13 played (9 won, 2 drawn, 2 lost), 36 scored, 18 conceded, goal difference +18. Form, oldest first: D D W W W.
  2. MSV Duisburg — 29 points from 13 played (9 won, 2 drawn, 2 lost), 33 scored, 18 conceded, goal difference +15. Form, oldest first: W D L D W.
  3. Rot-Weiß Essen — 27 points from 13 played (8 won, 3 drawn, 2 lost), 21 scored, 13 conceded, goal difference +8. Form, oldest first: W L W W W.
  4. SV Wehen — 21 points from 13 played (6 won, 3 drawn, 4 lost), 26 scored, 17 conceded, goal difference +9. Form, oldest first: W D W W W.
  5. FC Ingolstadt 04 — 21 points from 13 played (6 won, 3 drawn, 4 lost), 19 scored, 19 conceded, goal difference 0. Form, oldest first: W W W D W.
  6. FC Saarbrücken — 20 points from 13 played (6 won, 2 drawn, 5 lost), 31 scored, 26 conceded, goal difference +5. Form, oldest first: L W L W L.
  7. Alemannia Aachen — 20 points from 13 played (6 won, 2 drawn, 5 lost), 19 scored, 19 conceded, goal difference 0. Form, oldest first: L W W W L.
  8. Waldhof Mannheim — 19 points from 13 played (6 won, 1 drawn, 6 lost), 23 scored, 20 conceded, goal difference +3. Form, oldest first: L L W L W.
  9. Hoffenheim II — 19 points from 13 played (6 won, 1 drawn, 6 lost), 22 scored, 20 conceded, goal difference +2. Form, oldest first: L W L L W.
  10. Hansa Rostock — 19 points from 13 played (5 won, 4 drawn, 4 lost), 22 scored, 22 conceded, goal difference 0. Form, oldest first: L L D L W.
  11. SV Meppen — 18 points from 13 played (5 won, 3 drawn, 5 lost), 18 scored, 18 conceded, goal difference 0. Form, oldest first: W D W D W.
  12. Stuttgart II — 18 points from 13 played (5 won, 3 drawn, 5 lost), 22 scored, 23 conceded, goal difference -1. Form, oldest first: W W L D W.
  13. Fortuna Düsseldorf — 16 points from 13 played (4 won, 4 drawn, 5 lost), 14 scored, 17 conceded, goal difference -3. Form, oldest first: W L D D L.
  14. Preußen Münster — 15 points from 13 played (4 won, 3 drawn, 6 lost), 21 scored, 25 conceded, goal difference -4. Form, oldest first: L L W L L.
  15. Würzburger Kickers — 14 points from 13 played (4 won, 2 drawn, 7 lost), 17 scored, 25 conceded, goal difference -8. Form, oldest first: D W L W L.
  16. SSV Jahn Regensburg — 13 points from 13 played (3 won, 4 drawn, 6 lost), 23 scored, 23 conceded, goal difference 0. Form, oldest first: D D L W L.
  17. Verl — 12 points from 13 played (3 won, 3 drawn, 7 lost), 17 scored, 27 conceded, goal difference -10. Form, oldest first: D L L L L.
  18. SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach — 12 points from 13 played (3 won, 3 drawn, 7 lost), 13 scored, 29 conceded, goal difference -16. Form, oldest first: D W L L L.
  19. Fortuna Köln — 10 points from 13 played (2 won, 4 drawn, 7 lost), 10 scored, 16 conceded, goal difference -6. Form, oldest first: L L L L L.
  20. Havelse — 10 points from 13 played (2 won, 4 drawn, 7 lost), 17 scored, 29 conceded, goal difference -12. Form, oldest first: D D W D L.

What moved

Measured against 2026-11-14, the last update whose numbers changed — not against the last time the page was built, because an unchanged projection is carried forward rather than restamped. 7 clubs moved in all; the rest are in the projection below.

Season projection

Every one of the 250 matches this competition has left, played out 10,000 times by the same model that makes our match predictions — but rating each side on its whole season rather than its last six games, since one hot run should not decide a title race. The figures are final positions, not qualification or relegation: those depend on each country's rules and playoffs. A statistical estimate, not betting advice. Movement is measured against 2026-11-14, the last update whose numbers changed.

  1. MSV Duisburg — projected to finish on 74.4 points, from 29 after 13 played. Wins it 41.1%, finishes top three 80.2%, bottom four 0%.
  2. FC Viktoria Köln — projected to finish on 73 points, from 29 after 13 played. Wins it 33.9%, finishes top three 75.6%, bottom four 0%.
  3. Rot-Weiß Essen — projected to finish on 66.3 points, from 27 after 13 played. Wins it 9.8%, finishes top three 40.6%, bottom four 0%.
  4. SV Wehen — projected to finish on 61.6 points, from 21 after 13 played. Wins it 5.1%, finishes top three 25%, bottom four 0.9%.
  5. Alemannia Aachen — projected to finish on 60.8 points, from 20 after 13 played. Wins it 3.3%, finishes top three 19.6%, bottom four 0.8%.
  6. Hansa Rostock — projected to finish on 59.7 points, from 19 after 13 played. Wins it 2.5%, finishes top three 16.8%, bottom four 0.9%.
  7. FC Ingolstadt 04 — projected to finish on 57.7 points, from 21 after 13 played. Wins it 1.3% (up 0.1), finishes top three 11.5%, bottom four 2.5%.
  8. FC Saarbrücken — projected to finish on 55.6 points, from 20 after 13 played. Wins it 1.1%, finishes top three 8.3%, bottom four 4.2%.
  9. Hoffenheim II — projected to finish on 53.6 points, from 19 after 13 played. Wins it 0.6%, finishes top three 5.2%, bottom four 5.6%.
  10. Stuttgart II — projected to finish on 52.8 points, from 18 after 13 played. Wins it 0.5%, finishes top three 4.2%, bottom four 7.9%.
  11. SV Meppen — projected to finish on 52.7 points, from 18 after 13 played. Wins it 0.2%, finishes top three 3.6%, bottom four 6.5%.
  12. Waldhof Mannheim — projected to finish on 52.1 points, from 19 after 13 played. Wins it 0.4%, finishes top three 4%, bottom four 8.4%.
  13. SSV Jahn Regensburg — projected to finish on 51 points, from 13 after 13 played. Wins it 0.2%, finishes top three 2.7%, bottom four 9.8%.
  14. Fortuna Düsseldorf — projected to finish on 49.7 points, from 16 after 13 played. Wins it 0.1%, finishes top three 1.4%, bottom four 11.8%.
  15. Verl — projected to finish on 46.8 points, from 12 after 13 played. Wins it 0%, finishes top three 0.7%, bottom four 21.5%.
  16. Preußen Münster — projected to finish on 45.1 points, from 15 after 13 played. Wins it 0%, finishes top three 0.6%, bottom four 30.4%.
  17. Würzburger Kickers — projected to finish on 41.9 points, from 14 after 13 played. Wins it 0%, finishes top three 0.3%, bottom four 45.9%.
  18. Fortuna Köln — projected to finish on 35.4 points, from 10 after 13 played. Wins it 0%, finishes top three 0%, bottom four 76.2%.
  19. Havelse — projected to finish on 34.4 points, from 10 after 13 played. Wins it 0%, finishes top three 0%, bottom four 79.6%.
  20. SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach — projected to finish on 32.8 points, from 12 after 13 played. Wins it 0%, finishes top three 0%, bottom four 87%.

Top scorers

  1. Y. B. Zor Muhammed (Hoffenheim II) — 8 goals, 3 assists.
  2. L. Hermes (SSV Jahn Regensburg) — 6 goals, 2 assists.
  3. D. Otto (FC Viktoria Köln) — 5 goals, 5 assists.
  4. N. Castelle (FC Viktoria Köln) — 5 goals, 2 assists.
  5. K. Brünker (FC Saarbrücken) — 5 goals, 1 assist.
  6. L. Lobinger (MSV Duisburg) — 4 goals, 4 assists.
  7. A. Voglsammer (Hansa Rostock) — 4 goals, 1 assist.
  8. F. Higl (Preußen Münster) — 4 goals, 1 assist.
  9. T. Boyd (Waldhof Mannheim) — 4 goals, 1 assist.
  10. P. Remmert (MSV Duisburg) — 4 goals.
  11. O. Ugondu (FC Ingolstadt 04) — 4 goals.
  12. J. Ulbricht (Waldhof Mannheim) — 4 goals, 2 assists.
  13. T. Bonga (Würzburger Kickers) — 4 goals, 1 assist.
  14. Montell Ndikom (Preußen Münster) — 4 goals.
  15. T. van der Leij (Stuttgart II) — 4 goals.
  16. F. Pick (FC Saarbrücken) — 3 goals, 4 assists.
  17. N. Boujellab (SSV Jahn Regensburg) — 3 goals, 4 assists.
  18. R. Massimo (SV Wehen) — 3 goals, 3 assists.
  19. K. Okyere Wriedt (Havelse) — 3 goals, 2 assists.
  20. R. Kalem (SV Wehen) — 3 goals, 2 assists.

3. Liga: how many points to win the title?

Chance by final points total · 15 November 2026

74 points has been enough in half of the simulations, 80 in nine out of ten.

Only first place wins the title.

fulltimestats.comBased on 10,000 simulations · 15 November 2026

3. Liga: how many points for the top three?

Chance by final points total · 15 November 2026

67 points has been enough in half of the simulations, 71 in nine out of ten.

The top three go into the Promotion to 2. Bundesliga zone.

fulltimestats.comBased on 10,000 simulations · 15 November 2026

3. Liga: how many points to stay up?

Chance by final points total · 15 November 2026

40 points has been enough in half of the simulations, 43 in nine out of ten.

The bottom four are in the relegation zone.

fulltimestats.comBased on 10,000 simulations · 15 November 2026

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