League Tables

Ligue 2

Saint Etienne lead on 28 points, 3 ahead of Nancy. The model's chances of finishing first in the regular season: Saint Etienne 51.1%, Montpellier 23.3% and Reims 11.8%, from 10,000 simulations of the 198 matches left. The table as it stands, and where the model expects it to finish. Across all 108 settled predictions in this competition, it has called 34% of results. Projections are final positions, not qualification or relegation. How the model works. Upcoming predictions →

  1. Saint Etienne — 28 points from 12 played (9 won, 1 drawn, 2 lost), 25 scored, 11 conceded, goal difference +14. Form, oldest first: W W W L W.
  2. Nancy — 25 points from 12 played (8 won, 1 drawn, 3 lost), 17 scored, 9 conceded, goal difference +8. Form, oldest first: W W W W W.
  3. Montpellier — 24 points from 12 played (7 won, 3 drawn, 2 lost), 18 scored, 9 conceded, goal difference +9. Form, oldest first: W W W W L.
  4. Reims — 21 points from 12 played (5 won, 6 drawn, 1 lost), 24 scored, 15 conceded, goal difference +9. Form, oldest first: D W D W L.
  5. PAU — 20 points from 12 played (6 won, 2 drawn, 4 lost), 16 scored, 13 conceded, goal difference +3. Form, oldest first: W W W W L.
  6. Dijon — 18 points from 12 played (5 won, 3 drawn, 4 lost), 21 scored, 19 conceded, goal difference +2. Form, oldest first: W L L W W.
  7. Metz — 17 points from 12 played (4 won, 5 drawn, 3 lost), 20 scored, 19 conceded, goal difference +1. Form, oldest first: L W D L W.
  8. RED Star FC 93 — 17 points from 12 played (5 won, 2 drawn, 5 lost), 14 scored, 17 conceded, goal difference -3. Form, oldest first: W L L L L.
  9. Annecy — 16 points from 12 played (5 won, 1 drawn, 6 lost), 14 scored, 18 conceded, goal difference -4. Form, oldest first: W L W L L.
  10. Dunkerque — 15 points from 12 played (4 won, 3 drawn, 5 lost), 17 scored, 17 conceded, goal difference 0. Form, oldest first: L W D L W.
  11. Guingamp — 14 points from 12 played (4 won, 2 drawn, 6 lost), 16 scored, 18 conceded, goal difference -2. Form, oldest first: L L W W L.
  12. Boulogne — 13 points from 12 played (2 won, 7 drawn, 3 lost), 10 scored, 8 conceded, goal difference +2. Form, oldest first: D W D L W.
  13. Rodez — 13 points from 12 played (4 won, 1 drawn, 7 lost), 17 scored, 23 conceded, goal difference -6. Form, oldest first: L L W W L.
  14. Nantes — 12 points from 12 played (3 won, 3 drawn, 6 lost), 14 scored, 18 conceded, goal difference -4. Form, oldest first: D L L D W.
  15. Clermont Foot — 11 points from 12 played (1 won, 8 drawn, 3 lost), 11 scored, 15 conceded, goal difference -4. Form, oldest first: L D L D W.
  16. Sochaux — 11 points from 12 played (2 won, 5 drawn, 5 lost), 8 scored, 15 conceded, goal difference -7. Form, oldest first: D L L L L.
  17. Grenoble — 11 points from 12 played (3 won, 2 drawn, 7 lost), 13 scored, 22 conceded, goal difference -9. Form, oldest first: L L L L W.
  18. Laval — 9 points from 12 played (2 won, 3 drawn, 7 lost), 14 scored, 23 conceded, goal difference -9. Form, oldest first: L D L W L.

What moved

Measured against 2026-11-14, the last update whose numbers changed — not against the last time the page was built, because an unchanged projection is carried forward rather than restamped. 8 clubs moved in all; the rest are in the projection below.

  • Annecy — bottom-three risk down 0.2, to 8.7%.
  • Clermont Foot — bottom-three risk up 0.1, to 39.8%.
  • Laval — bottom-three risk up 0.1, to 66.1%.
  • Metz — bottom-three risk down 0.1, to 5.2%.
  • Nancy — chance of finishing top down 0.1, to 9.6%.

Season projection

Every one of the 198 matches this phase has left, played out 10,000 times by the same model that makes our match predictions — but rating each side on its whole season rather than its last six games, since one hot run should not decide a title race. The figures are final positions, not qualification or relegation: those depend on each country's rules and playoffs. A statistical estimate, not betting advice. These figures cover the regular season only. The regular season is not the end of the competition: Promotion - Playoffs, Final follow it, and no projection here covers them. Movement is measured against 2026-11-14, the last update whose numbers changed.

  1. Saint Etienne — projected to finish on 68.1 points, from 28 after 12 played. Finishes top of the regular season 51.1%, finishes top two 74.4%, bottom three 0%.
  2. Montpellier — projected to finish on 63.5 points, from 24 after 12 played. Finishes top of the regular season 23.3%, finishes top two 52.4%, bottom three 0%.
  3. Nancy — projected to finish on 59 points, from 25 after 12 played. Finishes top of the regular season 9.6% (down 0.1), finishes top two 26.9%, bottom three 0.1%.
  4. Reims — projected to finish on 58.9 points, from 21 after 12 played. Finishes top of the regular season 11.8%, finishes top two 28.4%, bottom three 0%.
  5. Dijon — projected to finish on 50.8 points, from 18 after 12 played. Finishes top of the regular season 1.7%, finishes top two 6.6%, bottom three 3.5%.
  6. Metz — projected to finish on 47.9 points, from 17 after 12 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0.7%, finishes top two 2.8%, bottom three 5.2%.
  7. PAU — projected to finish on 47.8 points, from 20 after 12 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0.8%, finishes top two 2.9%, bottom three 4.2%.
  8. RED Star FC 93 — projected to finish on 46.6 points, from 17 after 12 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0.3%, finishes top two 1.6%, bottom three 7%.
  9. Dunkerque — projected to finish on 46.4 points, from 15 after 12 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0.2%, finishes top two 1.3%, bottom three 5.8%.
  10. Annecy — projected to finish on 46 points, from 16 after 12 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0.3%, finishes top two 1.4%, bottom three 8.7%.
  11. Rodez — projected to finish on 42.7 points, from 13 after 12 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0% (down 0.1), finishes top two 0.2%, bottom three 14.9%.
  12. Guingamp — projected to finish on 42.5 points, from 14 after 12 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0.1%, finishes top two 0.5%, bottom three 14.3%.
  13. Boulogne — projected to finish on 42.5 points, from 13 after 12 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top two 0.3%, bottom three 11.9%.
  14. Nantes — projected to finish on 39.2 points, from 12 after 12 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top two 0.1%, bottom three 27%.
  15. Grenoble — projected to finish on 36.7 points, from 11 after 12 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top two 0%, bottom three 40.7%.
  16. Clermont Foot — projected to finish on 36.5 points, from 11 after 12 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top two 0%, bottom three 39.8%.
  17. Sochaux — projected to finish on 34.7 points, from 11 after 12 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top two 0%, bottom three 50.8%.
  18. Laval — projected to finish on 31.6 points, from 9 after 12 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top two 0%, bottom three 66.1%.

Top scorers

  1. Y. Fofana (Reims) — 11 goals, 2 assists.
  2. P. Fall (Metz) — 8 goals, 1 assist.
  3. I. Cardona (Saint Etienne) — 6 goals, 5 assists.
  4. A. Boakye (Saint Etienne) — 6 goals, 3 assists.
  5. T. Ballo (Saint Etienne) — 5 goals, 2 assists.
  6. N. Pays (Montpellier) — 5 goals, 2 assists.
  7. D. Durand (RED Star FC 93) — 5 goals.
  8. M. Sahi (Annecy) — 5 goals.
  9. I. Baldé (Rodez) — 5 goals.
  10. Júlio Tavares (Dijon) — 5 goals, 1 assist.
  11. Lacine Megnan-Pave (Montpellier) — 4 goals, 2 assists.
  12. B. Leye (PAU) — 4 goals, 1 assist.
  13. M. Houdayer (Laval) — 4 goals.
  14. B. Bokangu (Guingamp) — 4 goals.
  15. Y. Barka (Dijon) — 4 goals.
  16. J. Ikanga A Ngele (RED Star FC 93) — 4 goals, 2 assists.
  17. F. Bianchini (Clermont Foot) — 4 goals, 1 assist.
  18. J. Breum (Saint Etienne) — 3 goals, 6 assists.
  19. J. Deminguet (Metz) — 3 goals, 3 assists.
  20. E. Prutsev (Dunkerque) — 3 goals, 2 assists.

Ligue 2: how many points for the top two?

Chance by final points total · 15 November 2026

62 points has been enough in half of the simulations, 66 in nine out of ten.

The top two go into the Promotion to Ligue 1 zone.

fulltimestats.comBased on 10,000 simulations · 15 November 2026

Ligue 2: how many points to stay up?

Chance by final points total · 15 November 2026

34 points has been enough in half of the simulations, 37 in nine out of ten.

The bottom three are in the relegation zone.

fulltimestats.comBased on 10,000 simulations · 15 November 2026

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