Eliteserien

1. Viking — 62 points from 26 played (20 won, 2 drawn, 4 lost), 69 scored, 27 conceded, goal difference +42. Form, oldest first: W W W L W.
2. Bodo/Glimt — 62 points from 26 played (20 won, 2 drawn, 4 lost), 63 scored, 23 conceded, goal difference +40. Form, oldest first: W W L W W.
3. Rosenborg — 46 points from 26 played (14 won, 4 drawn, 8 lost), 53 scored, 32 conceded, goal difference +21. Form, oldest first: D W W W W.
4. Lillestrom — 45 points from 26 played (14 won, 3 drawn, 9 lost), 39 scored, 35 conceded, goal difference +4. Form, oldest first: D W W W W.
5. Molde — 44 points from 26 played (13 won, 5 drawn, 8 lost), 64 scored, 44 conceded, goal difference +20. Form, oldest first: D W W L D.
6. Tromso — 40 points from 26 played (11 won, 7 drawn, 8 lost), 43 scored, 40 conceded, goal difference +3. Form, oldest first: D D L L L.
7. Brann — 33 points from 26 played (10 won, 3 drawn, 13 lost), 47 scored, 44 conceded, goal difference +3. Form, oldest first: L L L W D.
8. Valerenga — 32 points from 26 played (9 won, 5 drawn, 12 lost), 43 scored, 47 conceded, goal difference -4. Form, oldest first: L W W W L.
9. Sarpsborg 08 FF — 31 points from 26 played (8 won, 7 drawn, 11 lost), 32 scored, 42 conceded, goal difference -10. Form, oldest first: W L W L L.
10. KFUM Oslo — 31 points from 26 played (8 won, 7 drawn, 11 lost), 33 scored, 46 conceded, goal difference -13. Form, oldest first: W D D D L.
11. Ham-Kam — 30 points from 26 played (8 won, 6 drawn, 12 lost), 38 scored, 53 conceded, goal difference -15. Form, oldest first: W L L D W.
12. Fredrikstad — 30 points from 26 played (8 won, 6 drawn, 12 lost), 31 scored, 46 conceded, goal difference -15. Form, oldest first: D L L L D.
13. Sandefjord — 28 points from 26 played (7 won, 7 drawn, 12 lost), 31 scored, 39 conceded, goal difference -8. Form, oldest first: D L L W D.
14. Kristiansund BK — 26 points from 26 played (7 won, 5 drawn, 14 lost), 30 scored, 51 conceded, goal difference -21. Form, oldest first: L L D W W.
15. Aalesund — 24 points from 26 played (5 won, 9 drawn, 12 lost), 45 scored, 60 conceded, goal difference -15. Form, oldest first: L W L L L.
16. Start — 19 points from 26 played (5 won, 4 drawn, 17 lost), 27 scored, 59 conceded, goal difference -32. Form, oldest first: L L W L L.

What moved

Measured against 2026-11-14, the last update whose numbers changed — not against the last time the page was built, because an unchanged projection is carried forward rather than restamped.

• Bodo/Glimt — chance of finishing top up 0.6, to 49.9%.
• Viking — chance of finishing top down 0.6, to 50.1%.
• Ham-Kam — bottom-three risk down 0.1, to 10.9%.
• Sandefjord — bottom-three risk up 0.1, to 13.3%.

Season projection

Every one of the 32 matches this phase has left, played out 10,000 times by the same model that makes our match predictions — but rating each side on its whole season rather than its last six games, since one hot run should not decide a title race. The figures are final positions, not qualification or relegation: those depend on each country's rules and playoffs. A statistical estimate, not betting advice. These figures cover the regular season only. The regular season is not the end of the competition: Final follow it, and no projection here covers them. Movement is measured against 2026-11-14, the last update whose numbers changed.

1. Bodo/Glimt — projected to finish on 70.7 points, from 62 after 26 played. Finishes top of the regular season 49.9% (up 0.6), finishes top two 100%, bottom three 0%.
2. Viking — projected to finish on 70.4 points, from 62 after 26 played. Finishes top of the regular season 50.1% (down 0.6), finishes top two 100%, bottom three 0%.
3. Rosenborg — projected to finish on 53.7 points, from 46 after 26 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top two 0%, bottom three 0%.
4. Lillestrom — projected to finish on 51.8 points, from 45 after 26 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top two 0%, bottom three 0%.
5. Molde — projected to finish on 48.9 points, from 44 after 26 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top two 0%, bottom three 0%.
6. Tromso — projected to finish on 45.2 points, from 40 after 26 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top two 0%, bottom three 0%.
7. Brann — projected to finish on 40.2 points, from 33 after 26 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top two 0%, bottom three 0.1%.
8. Valerenga — projected to finish on 37 points, from 32 after 26 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top two 0%, bottom three 0.4%.
9. Sarpsborg 08 FF — projected to finish on 35.4 points, from 31 after 26 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top two 0%, bottom three 2.6%.
10. Fredrikstad — projected to finish on 35 points, from 30 after 26 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top two 0%, bottom three 8.9%.
11. KFUM Oslo — projected to finish on 34.9 points, from 31 after 26 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top two 0%, bottom three 5.3%.
12. Ham-Kam — projected to finish on 34.2 points, from 30 after 26 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top two 0%, bottom three 10.9%.
13. Sandefjord — projected to finish on 34 points, from 28 after 26 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top two 0%, bottom three 13.3%.
14. Kristiansund BK — projected to finish on 30.4 points, from 26 after 26 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top two 0%, bottom three 68%.
15. Aalesund — projected to finish on 27.6 points, from 24 after 26 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top two 0%, bottom three 90.6%.
16. Start — projected to finish on 23.1 points, from 19 after 26 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top two 0%, bottom three 99.9%.

Top scorers

1. P. Christiansen (Viking) — 18 goals, 7 assists.
2. Amin Chiakha (Rosenborg) — 18 goals, 4 assists.
3. K. Lonebu (Molde) — 15 goals, 2 assists.
4. A. Helmersen (Bodo/Glimt) — 13 goals, 2 assists.
5. L. Alvheim (Kristiansund BK) — 12 goals.
6. L. Haren (Valerenga) — 11 goals, 2 assists.
7. M. Christensen (Aalesund) — 11 goals, 6 assists.
8. E. Breivik (Molde) — 10 goals, 10 assists.
9. H. Larsen (Tromso) — 10 goals, 4 assists.
10. S. Kvia-Egeskog (Viking) — 9 goals, 3 assists.
11. Vá (Lillestrom) — 8 goals, 5 assists.
12. N. Holm (Brann) — 8 goals, 3 assists.
13. K. Ingason (Brann) — 8 goals, 3 assists.
14. H. M. Reed (Aalesund) — 8 goals, 3 assists.
15. E. Patoulidis (Sandefjord) — 8 goals, 3 assists.
16. B. Njie (KFUM Oslo) — 8 goals, 3 assists.
17. E. Hestad (Molde) — 8 goals, 2 assists.
18. S. Kilen (Molde) — 7 goals, 4 assists.
19. H. Heggheim (Viking) — 7 goals, 3 assists.
20. J. Hjertø-Dahl (Tromso) — 7 goals, 2 assists.