Head-to-head records

The 14 pairings with a meeting coming up or just played, grouped by the competition both sides play in. Each page opens on the model's win-draw-win probabilities for that meeting, then the full record between the two clubs: every earlier meeting we hold. A pairing gets a page once the two sides have met at least 5 times; it is listed here while a meeting is coming up and for a few days after it is played, with whether the model's most likely outcome came in.

Serie A (Brazil) 1

  • Chapecoense vs Vasco da Gama played 14 Nov 2026, 0-2; the model had it 28% Chapecoense, 26% draw, 46% Vasco da Gama — called right · 7 earlier meetings

Primeira Liga (Portugal) 1

Premiership (Scotland) 1

Superliga (Denmark) 2

Bundesliga (Austria) 1

UEFA Nations League 8

  • Latvia vs Armenia 15 Nov 2026 · model: 27% Latvia, 31% draw, 42% Armenia · 5 earlier meetings
  • Belgium vs Italy 15 Nov 2026 · model: 35% Belgium, 29% draw, 36% Italy · 6 earlier meetings
  • Croatia vs Czech Republic 15 Nov 2026 · model: 56% Croatia, 24% draw, 20% Czech Republic · 5 earlier meetings
  • Faroe Islands vs Moldova 16 Nov 2026 · model: 47% Faroe Islands, 28% draw, 25% Moldova · 5 earlier meetings
  • Germany vs Netherlands 16 Nov 2026 · model: 48% Germany, 26% draw, 26% Netherlands · 7 earlier meetings
  • Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Romania 17 Nov 2026 · model: 41% Bosnia & Herzegovina, 29% draw, 30% Romania · 5 earlier meetings
  • England vs Croatia played 12 Nov 2026, 2-1; the model had it 54% England, 24% draw, 22% Croatia — called right · 7 earlier meetings
  • Italy vs France played 12 Nov 2026, 3-1; the model had it 35% Italy, 28% draw, 37% France — called wrong · 6 earlier meetings