League Tables

Eredivisie

The table as it stands, and where the model expects it to finish. Projections are final positions, not qualification or relegation. How the model works.

  1. PSV Eindhoven — 16 points from 6 played (5 won, 1 drawn, 0 lost), 22 scored, 7 conceded, goal difference +15. Form, oldest first: W W W W W.
  2. AZ Alkmaar — 16 points from 6 played (5 won, 1 drawn, 0 lost), 17 scored, 6 conceded, goal difference +11. Form, oldest first: W W W W D.
  3. Feyenoord — 14 points from 6 played (4 won, 2 drawn, 0 lost), 20 scored, 7 conceded, goal difference +13. Form, oldest first: D W D W W.
  4. Ajax — 13 points from 6 played (4 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost), 19 scored, 7 conceded, goal difference +12. Form, oldest first: D W L W W.
  5. Twente — 13 points from 6 played (4 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost), 12 scored, 5 conceded, goal difference +7. Form, oldest first: W W D W W.
  6. Excelsior — 10 points from 6 played (3 won, 1 drawn, 2 lost), 13 scored, 7 conceded, goal difference +6. Form, oldest first: L W W D L.
  7. Fortuna Sittard — 10 points from 6 played (3 won, 1 drawn, 2 lost), 12 scored, 14 conceded, goal difference -2. Form, oldest first: W L W W L.
  8. GO Ahead Eagles — 9 points from 6 played (2 won, 3 drawn, 1 lost), 15 scored, 13 conceded, goal difference +2. Form, oldest first: D W L D D.
  9. Groningen — 8 points from 6 played (2 won, 2 drawn, 2 lost), 12 scored, 13 conceded, goal difference -1. Form, oldest first: W L L D D.
  10. NEC Nijmegen — 7 points from 6 played (2 won, 1 drawn, 3 lost), 11 scored, 12 conceded, goal difference -1. Form, oldest first: W W L D L.
  11. Heerenveen — 6 points from 6 played (1 won, 3 drawn, 2 lost), 7 scored, 9 conceded, goal difference -2. Form, oldest first: D L D L D.
  12. Sparta Rotterdam — 5 points from 6 played (1 won, 2 drawn, 3 lost), 10 scored, 13 conceded, goal difference -3. Form, oldest first: W D L D L.
  13. Telstar — 5 points from 6 played (1 won, 2 drawn, 3 lost), 5 scored, 11 conceded, goal difference -6. Form, oldest first: L L D L D.
  14. Utrecht — 5 points from 6 played (1 won, 2 drawn, 3 lost), 11 scored, 19 conceded, goal difference -8. Form, oldest first: L D L D W.
  15. Cambuur — 4 points from 6 played (1 won, 1 drawn, 4 lost), 9 scored, 18 conceded, goal difference -9. Form, oldest first: L L L D W.
  16. PEC Zwolle — 4 points from 6 played (1 won, 1 drawn, 4 lost), 6 scored, 17 conceded, goal difference -11. Form, oldest first: L W L D L.
  17. Willem II — 2 points from 6 played (0 won, 2 drawn, 4 lost), 6 scored, 19 conceded, goal difference -13. Form, oldest first: L D L D L.
  18. ADO Den Haag — 1 points from 6 played (0 won, 1 drawn, 5 lost), 6 scored, 16 conceded, goal difference -10. Form, oldest first: L L D L L.

What moved

Measured against 2026-09-15, the last update whose numbers changed — not against the last time the page was built, because an unchanged projection is carried forward rather than restamped. 13 clubs moved in all; the rest are in the projection below.

  • Ajax — chance of finishing top up 5.3, to 11.7%.
  • PSV Eindhoven — chance of finishing top down 3.2, to 61.6%.
  • AZ Alkmaar — chance of finishing top down 1.2, to 17.6%.
  • Willem II — bottom-three risk up 0.9, to 49.5%.
  • Feyenoord — chance of finishing top down 0.5, to 5.4%.

Season projection

Every one of the 252 matches this phase has left, played out 10,000 times by the same model that makes our match predictions — but rating each side on its whole season rather than its last six games, since one hot run should not decide a title race. The figures are final positions, not qualification or relegation: those depend on each country's rules and playoffs. A statistical estimate, not betting advice. These figures cover the regular season only. The regular season is not the end of the competition: Semi-finals, Final follow it, and no projection here covers them. Movement is measured against 2026-09-15, the last update whose numbers changed.

  1. PSV Eindhoven — projected to finish on 68.9 points, from 16 after 6 played. Finishes top of the regular season 61.6% (down 3.2), finishes top four 96.8%, bottom three 0%.
  2. AZ Alkmaar — projected to finish on 62.4 points, from 16 after 6 played. Finishes top of the regular season 17.6% (down 1.2), finishes top four 80.9%, bottom three 0%.
  3. Ajax — projected to finish on 60.5 points, from 13 after 6 played. Finishes top of the regular season 11.7% (up 5.3), finishes top four 74.6%, bottom three 0%.
  4. Feyenoord — projected to finish on 57.1 points, from 14 after 6 played. Finishes top of the regular season 5.4% (down 0.5), finishes top four 54.9%, bottom three 0.1%.
  5. Twente — projected to finish on 53.2 points, from 13 after 6 played. Finishes top of the regular season 1.9% (down 0.2), finishes top four 29.9%, bottom three 0.5%.
  6. Excelsior — projected to finish on 49.7 points, from 10 after 6 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0.6%, finishes top four 15.2%, bottom three 1.5%.
  7. GO Ahead Eagles — projected to finish on 49.2 points, from 9 after 6 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0.5%, finishes top four 13.9%, bottom three 2.2%.
  8. Fortuna Sittard — projected to finish on 48.9 points, from 10 after 6 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0.3%, finishes top four 11.6%, bottom three 2.4%.
  9. Groningen — projected to finish on 48.3 points, from 8 after 6 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0.3% (down 0.1), finishes top four 11%, bottom three 2.7%.
  10. Heerenveen — projected to finish on 44.6 points, from 6 after 6 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0.1%, finishes top four 4.4%, bottom three 8.1%.
  11. Utrecht — projected to finish on 44.4 points, from 5 after 6 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0.1%, finishes top four 3.6%, bottom three 8.2%.
  12. Sparta Rotterdam — projected to finish on 40.9 points, from 5 after 6 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 1.3%, bottom three 18.4%.
  13. NEC Nijmegen — projected to finish on 40.1 points, from 7 after 6 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 0.9%, bottom three 21.6%.
  14. Telstar — projected to finish on 38.1 points, from 5 after 6 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 0.5%, bottom three 31.5%.
  15. PEC Zwolle — projected to finish on 36.3 points, from 4 after 6 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 0.2%, bottom three 44.3%.
  16. ADO Den Haag — projected to finish on 35.8 points, from 1 after 6 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 0.2%, bottom three 45.4%.
  17. Willem II — projected to finish on 35.3 points, from 2 after 6 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 0.1%, bottom three 49.5%.
  18. Cambuur — projected to finish on 33.1 points, from 4 after 6 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 0.1%, bottom three 63.7%.

Top scorers

  1. G. Zechiël (Feyenoord) — 5 goals, 3 assists.
  2. S. Tengstedt (GO Ahead Eagles) — 5 goals, 2 assists.
  3. Artem Stepanov (Utrecht) — 5 goals.
  4. M. Zonneveld (Sparta Rotterdam) — 4 goals, 1 assist.
  5. S. Mijnans (PSV Eindhoven) — 4 goals, 1 assist.
  6. B. Willumsson (Groningen) — 4 goals.
  7. R. Daal (AZ Alkmaar) — 4 goals.
  8. R. El Arguioui (Cambuur) — 4 goals.
  9. M. Ihattaren (Fortuna Sittard) — 3 goals, 2 assists.
  10. V. Edvardsen (GO Ahead Eagles) — 3 goals, 2 assists.
  11. T. van Bergen (Groningen) — 3 goals, 2 assists.
  12. I. Hamache (Cambuur) — 3 goals, 1 assist.
  13. L. Zeefuik (Fortuna Sittard) — 3 goals, 1 assist.
  14. L. Valente (Feyenoord) — 3 goals, 1 assist.
  15. Nacho Ferri (Feyenoord) — 3 goals, 1 assist.
  16. A. Hadj-Moussa (Feyenoord) — 3 goals, 1 assist.
  17. J. Brandt (Ajax) — 3 goals.
  18. D. Klaassen (Ajax) — 3 goals.
  19. D. Haen (Willem II) — 3 goals.
  20. D. Garden (Excelsior) — 3 goals.

Other competitions

All 51 competitions we cover.