League Tables

Eredivisie

PSV Eindhoven lead on 26 points, 1 ahead of Feyenoord. The model's chances of finishing first in the regular season: PSV Eindhoven 53%, Twente 15.6% and Feyenoord 15.3%, from 10,000 simulations of the 198 matches left. The table as it stands, and where the model expects it to finish. Across all 108 settled predictions in this competition, it has called 50% of results. Projections are final positions, not qualification or relegation. How the model works. Upcoming predictions →

  1. PSV Eindhoven — 26 points from 12 played (8 won, 2 drawn, 2 lost), 40 scored, 15 conceded, goal difference +25. Form, oldest first: W L D W W.
  2. Feyenoord — 25 points from 12 played (7 won, 4 drawn, 1 lost), 36 scored, 17 conceded, goal difference +19. Form, oldest first: W W D D L.
  3. Ajax — 25 points from 12 played (7 won, 4 drawn, 1 lost), 32 scored, 15 conceded, goal difference +17. Form, oldest first: D W W W D.
  4. Twente — 24 points from 12 played (7 won, 3 drawn, 2 lost), 30 scored, 12 conceded, goal difference +18. Form, oldest first: D L W W D.
  5. AZ Alkmaar — 23 points from 12 played (7 won, 2 drawn, 3 lost), 24 scored, 16 conceded, goal difference +8. Form, oldest first: L D L L W.
  6. Heerenveen — 21 points from 12 played (6 won, 3 drawn, 3 lost), 24 scored, 16 conceded, goal difference +8. Form, oldest first: L W W W W.
  7. Fortuna Sittard — 20 points from 12 played (5 won, 5 drawn, 2 lost), 20 scored, 20 conceded, goal difference 0. Form, oldest first: D D W D D.
  8. GO Ahead Eagles — 17 points from 12 played (4 won, 5 drawn, 3 lost), 24 scored, 27 conceded, goal difference -3. Form, oldest first: D L W L W.
  9. Groningen — 15 points from 12 played (4 won, 3 drawn, 5 lost), 29 scored, 28 conceded, goal difference +1. Form, oldest first: W L D L L.
  10. Cambuur — 15 points from 12 played (4 won, 3 drawn, 5 lost), 25 scored, 27 conceded, goal difference -2. Form, oldest first: W D W W L.
  11. NEC Nijmegen — 14 points from 12 played (3 won, 5 drawn, 4 lost), 20 scored, 21 conceded, goal difference -1. Form, oldest first: D D D L W.
  12. Sparta Rotterdam — 12 points from 12 played (3 won, 3 drawn, 6 lost), 21 scored, 29 conceded, goal difference -8. Form, oldest first: D W L W L.
  13. PEC Zwolle — 12 points from 12 played (3 won, 3 drawn, 6 lost), 13 scored, 24 conceded, goal difference -11. Form, oldest first: L W D W D.
  14. Utrecht — 12 points from 12 played (3 won, 3 drawn, 6 lost), 21 scored, 34 conceded, goal difference -13. Form, oldest first: W W D L L.
  15. Excelsior — 11 points from 12 played (3 won, 2 drawn, 7 lost), 16 scored, 29 conceded, goal difference -13. Form, oldest first: L L L L L.
  16. Telstar — 10 points from 12 played (2 won, 4 drawn, 6 lost), 18 scored, 25 conceded, goal difference -7. Form, oldest first: D L L W D.
  17. ADO Den Haag — 9 points from 12 played (2 won, 3 drawn, 7 lost), 16 scored, 25 conceded, goal difference -9. Form, oldest first: D W L L W.
  18. Willem II — 3 points from 12 played (0 won, 3 drawn, 9 lost), 11 scored, 40 conceded, goal difference -29. Form, oldest first: L L L L D.

What moved

Measured against 2026-11-11, the last update whose numbers changed — not against the last time the page was built, because an unchanged projection is carried forward rather than restamped. 10 clubs moved in all; the rest are in the projection below.

  • Excelsior — bottom-three risk down 0.8, to 49.7%.
  • Utrecht — bottom-three risk up 0.2, to 20.5%.
  • ADO Den Haag — bottom-three risk up 0.1, to 22.6%.
  • Ajax — chance of finishing top up 0.1, to 13.7%.
  • GO Ahead Eagles — bottom-three risk up 0.1, to 9.9%.

Season projection

Every one of the 198 matches this phase has left, played out 10,000 times by the same model that makes our match predictions — but rating each side on its whole season rather than its last six games, since one hot run should not decide a title race. The figures are final positions, not qualification or relegation: those depend on each country's rules and playoffs. A statistical estimate, not betting advice. These figures cover the regular season only. The regular season is not the end of the competition: Semi-finals, Final follow it, and no projection here covers them. Movement is measured against 2026-11-11, the last update whose numbers changed.

  1. PSV Eindhoven — projected to finish on 75.7 points, from 26 after 12 played. Finishes top of the regular season 53% (up 0.1), finishes top four 95.6%, bottom three 0%.
  2. Twente — projected to finish on 69.4 points, from 24 after 12 played. Finishes top of the regular season 15.6% (down 0.1), finishes top four 82.8%, bottom three 0%.
  3. Feyenoord — projected to finish on 69 points, from 25 after 12 played. Finishes top of the regular season 15.3%, finishes top four 79%, bottom three 0%.
  4. Ajax — projected to finish on 68.6 points, from 25 after 12 played. Finishes top of the regular season 13.7% (up 0.1), finishes top four 77.7%, bottom three 0%.
  5. AZ Alkmaar — projected to finish on 61.3 points, from 23 after 12 played. Finishes top of the regular season 1.8%, finishes top four 35.9%, bottom three 0%.
  6. Heerenveen — projected to finish on 57.5 points, from 21 after 12 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0.6%, finishes top four 20.9%, bottom three 0.1%.
  7. Fortuna Sittard — projected to finish on 48.5 points, from 20 after 12 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 2.8%, bottom three 1%.
  8. Groningen — projected to finish on 45.7 points, from 15 after 12 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 1.9%, bottom three 2.6%.
  9. Cambuur — projected to finish on 45.1 points, from 15 after 12 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 1.7%, bottom three 4%.
  10. NEC Nijmegen — projected to finish on 44.2 points, from 14 after 12 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 1%, bottom three 4.1%.
  11. GO Ahead Eagles — projected to finish on 40.6 points, from 17 after 12 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 0.2%, bottom three 9.9%.
  12. Telstar — projected to finish on 39.3 points, from 10 after 12 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 0.2%, bottom three 13.4%.
  13. Utrecht — projected to finish on 37.7 points, from 12 after 12 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 0.2%, bottom three 20.5%.
  14. ADO Den Haag — projected to finish on 36.1 points, from 9 after 12 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 0%, bottom three 22.6%.
  15. Sparta Rotterdam — projected to finish on 34.3 points, from 12 after 12 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 0%, bottom three 31.9%.
  16. PEC Zwolle — projected to finish on 33.2 points, from 12 after 12 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 0%, bottom three 41%.
  17. Excelsior — projected to finish on 31.7 points, from 11 after 12 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 0%, bottom three 49.7%.
  18. Willem II — projected to finish on 13.9 points, from 3 after 12 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 0%, bottom three 99.2%.

Top scorers

  1. S. Tengstedt (GO Ahead Eagles) — 9 goals, 2 assists.
  2. S. Mijnans (PSV Eindhoven) — 9 goals, 2 assists.
  3. B. Willumsson (Groningen) — 9 goals, 1 assist.
  4. W. Weghorst (Twente) — 9 goals, 2 assists.
  5. T. van Bergen (Groningen) — 8 goals, 3 assists.
  6. M. Zonneveld (Sparta Rotterdam) — 7 goals, 2 assists.
  7. A. Hadj-Moussa (Feyenoord) — 7 goals, 2 assists.
  8. G. Til (PSV Eindhoven) — 7 goals, 1 assist.
  9. T. Arokodare (Ajax) — 7 goals, 1 assist.
  10. J. Trenskow (Heerenveen) — 6 goals, 3 assists.
  11. R. El Arguioui (Cambuur) — 6 goals, 2 assists.
  12. J. Brandt (Ajax) — 6 goals, 2 assists.
  13. Nacho Ferri (Feyenoord) — 6 goals, 3 assists.
  14. M. Meerdink (AZ Alkmaar) — 6 goals, 3 assists.
  15. G. Zechiël (Feyenoord) — 5 goals, 4 assists.
  16. I. Hamache (Cambuur) — 5 goals, 3 assists.
  17. N. Binder (Cambuur) — 5 goals, 2 assists.
  18. R. Meerveld (Heerenveen) — 5 goals, 1 assist.
  19. R. Daal (AZ Alkmaar) — 5 goals, 1 assist.
  20. T. Owusu (Telstar) — 5 goals, 1 assist.

Eredivisie: how many points for the top four?

Chance by final points total · 15 November 2026

62 points has been enough in half of the simulations, 67 in nine out of ten.

Final positions, not qualification: that depends on the competition's rules.

fulltimestats.comBased on 10,000 simulations · 15 November 2026

Eredivisie: how many points to stay up?

Chance by final points total · 15 November 2026

30 points has been enough in half of the simulations, 34 in nine out of ten.

The bottom three are in the relegation zone.

fulltimestats.comBased on 10,000 simulations · 15 November 2026

Head-to-head records

Every recorded meeting between two Eredivisie clubs, won-drawn-lost from the first-named side. The 12 most-met of 122; each club's page lists the rest. All head-to-head records.

Other competitions

All 96 competitions we cover.