30 October 2026, 18:00 UTC

Bodo/Glimt vs Viking Eliteserien prediction & result

Aspmyra Stadion
Referee: Espen Eskas
Full time3 – 2

Final score: Bodo/Glimt 3-2 Viking.

Before kick-off the model made it 43% Bodo/Glimt, 26% draw, 31% Viking — fair odds of 2.33, 3.85 and 3.23.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published

Has the model earned this number?

Bodo/Glimt at 43%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽Henrik Falchener (OG)
4'
13'
Henrik Heggheim
⚽Andreas Helmersen
15'
32'
⚽Kristoffer Haugenassist: Zlatko Tripić
39'
⚽Erik Botheimassist: Kristoffer Haugen
⚽Jens Petter Haugeassist: Ulrik Saltnes
43'
45+4'
Morten Jensen
Kjetil Knutsen
45+4'
45+4'
Kristoffer Askildsen
52'
•Zlatko Tripić
66'
🔁Henrik Heggheimout: Simen Kvia Egeskog
66'
🔁Joe Bellout: Herman Haugen
67'
🔁Kristoffer Askildsenout: Tobias Moi
🔁Ulrik Saltnesout: Sondre Auklend
71'
75'
Tobias Moi
🔁Andreas Helmersenout: Ola Brynhildsen
78'
79'
Zlatko Tripić
🔁Jens Petter Haugeout: Haitam Aleesami
84'
🔁Fredrik Bjorkanout: Isak Dybvik Maatta
84'
90'
Herman Haugen
90+1'
🔁Henrik Bjørdalout: Viljar Helland Vevatne
90+5'
🔁Kristoffer Haugenout: Amin Cosic

Match stats — Bodo/Glimt vs Viking

40%Possession60%
12Shots18
3On target5
5Corners3
1.49xG2.07

Goals against chances

Bodo/Glimt3 from 1.49 xGmore than the chances were worth
Viking2 from 2.07 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Bodo/Glimt 4-4-2
  • 12N. HaikinG
  • 20F. SjøvoldD
  • 4O. BjørtuftD
  • 6J. GundersenD
  • 15F. BjørkanD
  • 19S. FetM
  • 7P. BergM
  • 14U. SaltnesM
  • 10J. HaugeM
  • 21A. HelmersenF
  • 11O. Didrik BlombergF
Substitutes
  • 5H. AleesamiD
  • 43M. L. AndersenG
  • 8S. AuklendM
  • 17O. BrynhildsenF
  • 16J. KitolanoM
  • 25I. MäättäD
  • 22J. MvukaM
  • 2V. NielsenD
  • 23M. RiisnæsM
Coach: K. Knutsen
Viking 4-3-3
  • 1A. ØstbøG
  • 5H. HeggheimD
  • 6G. StensnessD
  • 25H. FalchenerD
  • 28K. HaugenD
  • 16H. BjørdalM
  • 8J. BellM
  • 7K. AskildsenM
  • 20P. ChristiansenF
  • 22E. BotheimF
  • 10Z. TripićF
Substitutes
  • 3V. VevatneD
  • 29T. MoiM
  • 26S. Kvia-EgeskogM
  • 2H. HaugenD
  • 33J. HansenM
  • 27J. DalandD
  • 19A. CosicF
  • 30Ľ. BelkoG
  • 24Vetle AuklendD
Coach: B. Aarsheim

Form going into Bodo/Glimt vs Viking

Bodo/Glimt

Eliteserien

  • L0-1Valerenga24 October 2026
  • W2-0away to Ham-Kam17 October 2026
  • W3-1Kristiansund BK10 October 2026

Viking

Eliteserien

  • W3-1Tromso25 October 2026
  • W3-2Fredrikstad17 October 2026
  • W2-0away to Brann9 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Eliteserien table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
2Bodo/Glimt2620246323+4062
1Viking2620246927+4262

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Bodo/Glimt vs Viking

Bodo/Glimt and Viking have met 7 times in the records we hold, they have won 3 each, with 1 drawn.

The record

Bodo/Glimt won the last one 3–2 on 30 Oct 2026.

ClubWDLGFGA
Bodo/Glimt3131317
Viking3131713

Between them these 7 meetings produced 30 goals, an average of 4.29 a game.

Every meeting

Every recorded meeting, newest first.

  • 30 Oct 2026
    Eliteserien    Bodo/Glimt 3–2 Viking
  • 11 Apr 2026
    Eliteserien    Viking 5–0 Bodo/Glimt
  • 19 Jul 2025
    Eliteserien    Viking 2–4 Bodo/Glimt
  • 28 May 2025
    Eliteserien    Bodo/Glimt 2–4 Viking
  • 10 Aug 2024
    Eliteserien    Viking 1–1 Bodo/Glimt
  • 6 Apr 2024
    Eliteserien    Bodo/Glimt 1–0 Viking
  • 6 Aug 2023
    Eliteserien    Viking 3–2 Bodo/Glimt

How the model rates them now

On the current ratings, Viking's attack rates 9% above Bodo/Glimt's, and Bodo/Glimt concede 15% fewer than Viking. How the ratings are derived.

ClubAttackDefence
Bodo/Glimt1.020.82
Viking1.110.96

More head-to-heads on this week’s board →

Leading scorers: Bodo/Glimt and Viking

Bodo/Glimt

GoalsAssists

  • A. Helmersen132

Viking

GoalsAssists

  • P. Christiansen187
  • S. Kvia-Egeskog93
  • H. Heggheim73

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Bodo/Glimt beat Viking 3–2. The model had made a win for Bodo/Glimt its most likely outcome, at 43%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: Henrik Falchener (own goal) 4' for Bodo/Glimt, Andreas Helmersen 15' for Bodo/Glimt, Kristoffer Haugen 32' for Viking, Erik Botheim 39' for Viking, Jens Petter Hauge 43' for Bodo/Glimt. Sent off: Morten Jensen (Viking) 45+4', Kjetil Knutsen (Bodo/Glimt) 45+4'. On expected goals it finished 1.49–2.07.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Bodo/Glimt a 29.3% chance to finish top of the regular season: 46.5% after a win, 21.5% after a draw, 5.0% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 46.5%, 17.2 points higher than before the match.

For Viking the question was the chance to finish top of the regular season, 70.7% going in: 95.0% after a win, 78.5% after a draw, 53.5% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 53.5%, 17.2 points lower than before the match.

Read from our Eliteserien season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.