League Tables
Stars League
Al-Rayyan SC and Al-Duhail SC are level at the top on 21 points. The model's chances of finishing first in the regular season: Al-Rayyan SC 54.8%, Al-Duhail SC 39.8% and Al Sadd 5.5%, from 10,000 simulations of the 12 matches left. The table as it stands, and where the model expects it to finish. Across all 42 settled predictions in this competition, it has called 52% of results. Projections are final positions, not qualification or relegation. How the model works. Upcoming predictions →
- Al-Rayyan SC — 21 points from 9 played (6 won, 3 drawn, 0 lost), 20 scored, 6 conceded, goal difference +14. Form, oldest first: W D W D W.
- Al-Duhail SC — 21 points from 9 played (6 won, 3 drawn, 0 lost), 20 scored, 8 conceded, goal difference +12. Form, oldest first: W W W W W.
- Al Sadd — 18 points from 9 played (6 won, 0 drawn, 3 lost), 34 scored, 18 conceded, goal difference +16. Form, oldest first: L L W W L.
- Al-Arabi SC — 14 points from 9 played (3 won, 5 drawn, 1 lost), 18 scored, 10 conceded, goal difference +8. Form, oldest first: W W L D D.
- Lusail City — 12 points from 9 played (3 won, 3 drawn, 3 lost), 13 scored, 11 conceded, goal difference +2. Form, oldest first: L D L W W.
- Al Shamal — 12 points from 9 played (3 won, 3 drawn, 3 lost), 18 scored, 17 conceded, goal difference +1. Form, oldest first: L D L L W.
- Al Ahli Doha — 12 points from 9 played (3 won, 3 drawn, 3 lost), 16 scored, 17 conceded, goal difference -1. Form, oldest first: W L D W D.
- Al Wakrah — 11 points from 9 played (3 won, 2 drawn, 4 lost), 14 scored, 19 conceded, goal difference -5. Form, oldest first: W W W L L.
- Al Shahaniya — 10 points from 9 played (3 won, 1 drawn, 5 lost), 12 scored, 21 conceded, goal difference -9. Form, oldest first: W L L L W.
- Al-Gharafa — 9 points from 9 played (2 won, 3 drawn, 4 lost), 11 scored, 15 conceded, goal difference -4. Form, oldest first: L D D W L.
- Qatar SC — 6 points from 9 played (1 won, 3 drawn, 5 lost), 11 scored, 21 conceded, goal difference -10. Form, oldest first: L D W L L.
- Al-Sailiya — 1 points from 9 played (0 won, 1 drawn, 8 lost), 9 scored, 33 conceded, goal difference -24. Form, oldest first: L D L L L.
What moved
Measured against 2026-11-13, the last update whose numbers changed —
not against the last time the page was built, because an unchanged projection is carried
forward rather than restamped.
- Al Wakrah — bottom-three risk down 0.1, to 9.5%.
- Al-Rayyan SC — chance of finishing top up 0.1, to 54.8%.
- Lusail City — bottom-three risk up 0.1, to 2.9%.
- Qatar SC — bottom-three risk down 0.1, to 96.4%.
Season projection
Every one of the 12 matches this phase has left,
played out 10,000 times by the same model that makes our match predictions — but rating each
side on its whole season rather than its last six games, since one hot run should not decide a
title race. The figures are final positions, not qualification or relegation: those
depend on each country's rules and playoffs. A statistical estimate, not betting advice. These figures cover the regular season only. The regular season is not the end of the competition: Final follow it, and no projection here covers them. Movement is measured against 2026-11-13, the last update whose numbers changed.
- Al-Rayyan SC — projected to finish on 25.1 points, from 21 after 9 played. Finishes top of the regular season 54.8% (up 0.1), finishes top four 100%, bottom two 0%.
- Al-Duhail SC — projected to finish on 25.1 points, from 21 after 9 played. Finishes top of the regular season 39.8%, finishes top four 100%, bottom two 0%.
- Al Sadd — projected to finish on 22 points, from 18 after 9 played. Finishes top of the regular season 5.5%, finishes top four 100%, bottom two 0%.
- Al-Arabi SC — projected to finish on 17.3 points, from 14 after 9 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 72.3%, bottom two 0%.
- Al Shamal — projected to finish on 14.3 points, from 12 after 9 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 6.9%, bottom two 0%.
- Al Ahli Doha — projected to finish on 14.2 points, from 12 after 9 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 5.8%, bottom two 0%.
- Lusail City — projected to finish on 14 points, from 12 after 9 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 11.5%, bottom two 0%.
- Al Wakrah — projected to finish on 13.9 points, from 11 after 9 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 3%, bottom two 0.1%.
- Al-Gharafa — projected to finish on 12.1 points, from 9 after 9 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 0.3%, bottom two 2.4%.
- Al Shahaniya — projected to finish on 12 points, from 10 after 9 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 0.4%, bottom two 10.1%.
- Qatar SC — projected to finish on 8.1 points, from 6 after 9 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 0%, bottom two 87.3%.
- Al-Sailiya — projected to finish on 2.4 points, from 1 after 9 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 0%, bottom two 100%.
Top scorers
- Akram Afif (Al Sadd) — 8 goals, 6 assists.
- Roberto Firmino (Al Sadd) — 8 goals, 4 assists.
- Róger Guedes (Al-Rayyan SC) — 6 goals, 2 assists.
- A. Zouhzouh (Al Shamal) — 6 goals, 1 assist.
- Pablo Sarabia (Al-Arabi SC) — 6 goals.
- Rodrigo (Lusail City) — 6 goals.
- Ahmed Alaa Eldin (Al-Rayyan SC) — 5 goals.
- Y. Brahimi (Al-Gharafa) — 5 goals, 1 assist.
- A. Traoré (Al Shahaniya) — 4 goals.
- B. Bounedjah (Al Wakrah) — 4 goals.
- João Pedro (Qatar SC) — 4 goals, 1 assist.
- Gabriel Pereira (Al-Rayyan SC) — 3 goals, 3 assists.
- O. Tannane (Al-Arabi SC) — 3 goals, 3 assists.
- Giovani (Al Sadd) — 3 goals, 3 assists.
- K. Piątek (Al-Duhail SC) — 3 goals, 3 assists.
- Y. Abdurisag (Al Sadd) — 3 goals, 2 assists.
- N. Sliti (Al Ahli Doha) — 3 goals, 2 assists.
- Erik Expósito (Al Ahli Doha) — 3 goals, 1 assist.
- Almoez Ali (Al-Duhail SC) — 3 goals.
- B. Soumaré (Al-Duhail SC) — 3 goals.
Stars League: how many points for the top four?
Chance by final points total · 15 November 2026
16 points has been enough in half of the simulations, 18 in nine out of ten.
19 pts~100%
18 pts95%
17 pts83%
16 pts61%
15 pts26%
050%100%
Final positions, not qualification: that depends on the competition's rules.
Stars League: how many points to stay up?
Chance by final points total · 15 November 2026
9 points has been enough in half of the simulations, 10 in nine out of ten.
11 pts99%
10 pts91%
9 pts68%
8 pts49%
7 pts35%
6 pts12%
050%100%
The bottom two are in the relegation zone.