Ligue 1 (Tunisia)

1. US Ben Guerdane — 17 points from 7 played (5 won, 2 drawn, 0 lost), 12 scored, 6 conceded, goal difference +6. Form, oldest first: D W W W W.
2. ES Tunis — 16 points from 7 played (5 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost), 11 scored, 7 conceded, goal difference +4. Form, oldest first: W W W D W.
3. Stade Tunisien — 13 points from 7 played (4 won, 1 drawn, 2 lost), 10 scored, 7 conceded, goal difference +3. Form, oldest first: W W L W W.
4. Club Africain — 13 points from 7 played (4 won, 1 drawn, 2 lost), 8 scored, 6 conceded, goal difference +2. Form, oldest first: W L W L D.
5. US Monastirienne — 12 points from 7 played (3 won, 3 drawn, 1 lost), 8 scored, 6 conceded, goal difference +2. Form, oldest first: D W D W L.
6. Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer — 12 points from 7 played (3 won, 3 drawn, 1 lost), 5 scored, 2 conceded, goal difference +3. Form, oldest first: W D W L D.
7. CA Bizertin — 11 points from 7 played (3 won, 2 drawn, 2 lost), 8 scored, 7 conceded, goal difference +1. Form, oldest first: D L D W L.
8. CS Sfaxien — 10 points from 7 played (2 won, 4 drawn, 1 lost), 7 scored, 5 conceded, goal difference +2. Form, oldest first: D W L D D.
9. Jeunesse Sportive Omrane — 10 points from 7 played (2 won, 4 drawn, 1 lost), 6 scored, 5 conceded, goal difference +1. Form, oldest first: D W D D D.
10. ES Sahel — 8 points from 6 played (2 won, 2 drawn, 2 lost), 8 scored, 8 conceded, goal difference 0. Form, oldest first: D L L W D.
11. AS Marsa — 6 points from 6 played (1 won, 3 drawn, 2 lost), 5 scored, 4 conceded, goal difference +1. Form, oldest first: L W D W D.
12. ES Metlaoui — 6 points from 7 played (2 won, 0 drawn, 5 lost), 5 scored, 10 conceded, goal difference -5. Form, oldest first: W L L L W.
13. ES Zarzis — 6 points from 7 played (2 won, 0 drawn, 5 lost), 6 scored, 8 conceded, goal difference -2. Form, oldest first: L L W L L.
14. CS Hammam-Lif — 5 points from 7 played (1 won, 2 drawn, 4 lost), 3 scored, 6 conceded, goal difference -3. Form, oldest first: L L W D D.
15. Olympique Béja — 3 points from 7 played (0 won, 3 drawn, 4 lost), 5 scored, 10 conceded, goal difference -5. Form, oldest first: D D L L D.
16. ES Hammam-Sousse — 1 points from 7 played (0 won, 1 drawn, 6 lost), 2 scored, 12 conceded, goal difference -10. Form, oldest first: L L L L L.

What moved

Measured against 2026-11-13, the last update whose numbers changed — not against the last time the page was built, because an unchanged projection is carried forward rather than restamped. 16 clubs moved in all; the rest are in the projection below.

• ES Tunis — title chance up 4.8, to 41.1%.
• ES Zarzis — title chance up 0.1, to 0.1%; bottom-three risk up 2.3, to 20.9%.
• Stade Tunisien — title chance down 2, to 8.8%.
• CS Sfaxien — title chance down 1.2, to 5.5%.
• CA Bizertin — title chance down 0.2, to 0.2%; bottom-three risk up 1.1, to 5%.

Season projection

Every one of the 64 matches this competition has left, played out 10,000 times by the same model that makes our match predictions — but rating each side on its whole season rather than its last six games, since one hot run should not decide a title race. The figures are final positions, not qualification or relegation: those depend on each country's rules and playoffs. A statistical estimate, not betting advice. Movement is measured against 2026-11-13, the last update whose numbers changed.

1. ES Tunis — projected to finish on 30.8 points, from 16 after 7 played. Wins it 41.1% (up 4.8), finishes top two 61.9%, bottom three 0%.
2. US Ben Guerdane — projected to finish on 29.3 points, from 17 after 7 played. Wins it 26.1% (down 0.8), finishes top two 47.2%, bottom three 0%.
3. Club Africain — projected to finish on 26.8 points, from 13 after 7 played. Wins it 10.8% (down 0.7), finishes top two 25.1%, bottom three 0%.
4. Stade Tunisien — projected to finish on 26.6 points, from 13 after 7 played. Wins it 8.8% (down 2), finishes top two 22.5%, bottom three 0.1%.
5. CS Sfaxien — projected to finish on 26 points, from 10 after 7 played. Wins it 5.5% (down 1.2), finishes top two 19%, bottom three 0.1%.
6. US Monastirienne — projected to finish on 25.1 points, from 12 after 7 played. Wins it 4% (up 0.3), finishes top two 12.6%, bottom three 0.3%.
7. Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer — projected to finish on 24.2 points, from 12 after 7 played. Wins it 3.2% (down 0.4), finishes top two 9.5%, bottom three 0.4%.
8. CA Bizertin — projected to finish on 19.8 points, from 11 after 7 played. Wins it 0.2% (down 0.2), finishes top two 0.8%, bottom three 5%.
9. Jeunesse Sportive Omrane — projected to finish on 19.6 points, from 10 after 7 played. Wins it 0.1% (down 0.1), finishes top two 0.8%, bottom three 4.5%.
10. ES Sahel — projected to finish on 17.4 points, from 8 after 6 played. Wins it 0%, finishes top two 0.2%, bottom three 15.4%.
11. ES Zarzis — projected to finish on 16.5 points, from 6 after 7 played. Wins it 0.1% (up 0.1), finishes top two 0.2%, bottom three 20.9%.
12. AS Marsa — projected to finish on 16.3 points, from 6 after 6 played. Wins it 0%, finishes top two 0.1%, bottom three 20.1%.
13. CS Hammam-Lif — projected to finish on 15.7 points, from 5 after 7 played. Wins it 0%, finishes top two 0%, bottom three 25.8%.
14. ES Metlaoui — projected to finish on 14 points, from 6 after 7 played. Wins it 0%, finishes top two 0%, bottom three 47.1%.
15. Olympique Béja — projected to finish on 11.6 points, from 3 after 7 played. Wins it 0%, finishes top two 0%, bottom three 67%.
16. ES Hammam-Sousse — projected to finish on 7.6 points, from 1 after 7 played. Wins it 0%, finishes top two 0%, bottom three 93.5%.

Top scorers

1. Mohamed Bouzaabya (ES Metlaoui) — 1 goal.