1. Lig

1. Bursaspor — 32 points from 14 played (10 won, 2 drawn, 2 lost), 30 scored, 12 conceded, goal difference +18. Form, oldest first: W W W W D.
2. Kayserispor — 30 points from 14 played (9 won, 3 drawn, 2 lost), 33 scored, 11 conceded, goal difference +22. Form, oldest first: W D D W L.
3. Iğdır FK — 28 points from 14 played (8 won, 4 drawn, 2 lost), 19 scored, 11 conceded, goal difference +8. Form, oldest first: D W W D D.
4. Mardin 1969 — 25 points from 14 played (7 won, 4 drawn, 3 lost), 19 scored, 13 conceded, goal difference +6. Form, oldest first: W L W W D.
5. Batman Petrolspor — 24 points from 14 played (7 won, 3 drawn, 4 lost), 27 scored, 24 conceded, goal difference +3. Form, oldest first: W D W L D.
6. Keçiörengücü — 23 points from 14 played (6 won, 5 drawn, 3 lost), 26 scored, 18 conceded, goal difference +8. Form, oldest first: D W L L W.
7. Bodrum FK — 21 points from 14 played (5 won, 6 drawn, 3 lost), 18 scored, 13 conceded, goal difference +5. Form, oldest first: W W W D W.
8. Antalyaspor — 20 points from 14 played (6 won, 2 drawn, 6 lost), 20 scored, 21 conceded, goal difference -1. Form, oldest first: L W L D D.
9. Fatih Karagümrük — 19 points from 14 played (5 won, 4 drawn, 5 lost), 20 scored, 16 conceded, goal difference +4. Form, oldest first: L L W L W.
10. Esenler Erokspor — 18 points from 14 played (4 won, 6 drawn, 4 lost), 20 scored, 18 conceded, goal difference +2. Form, oldest first: D W L W W.
11. Muğlaspor — 18 points from 14 played (4 won, 6 drawn, 4 lost), 18 scored, 25 conceded, goal difference -7. Form, oldest first: L W W L L.
12. Ümraniyespor — 17 points from 13 played (4 won, 5 drawn, 4 lost), 16 scored, 12 conceded, goal difference +4. Form, oldest first: D W W D W.
13. Sarıyer — 17 points from 14 played (4 won, 5 drawn, 5 lost), 15 scored, 19 conceded, goal difference -4. Form, oldest first: L D L L D.
14. Vanspor FK — 16 points from 14 played (5 won, 3 drawn, 6 lost), 17 scored, 23 conceded, goal difference -6. Form, oldest first: W L W W W.
15. Bandırmaspor — 14 points from 14 played (3 won, 5 drawn, 6 lost), 17 scored, 17 conceded, goal difference 0. Form, oldest first: D L L L L.
16. Pendikspor — 14 points from 14 played (3 won, 5 drawn, 6 lost), 15 scored, 25 conceded, goal difference -10. Form, oldest first: L L D W L.
17. Manisa F.K. — 13 points from 14 played (3 won, 4 drawn, 7 lost), 21 scored, 24 conceded, goal difference -3. Form, oldest first: D L L W L.
18. Sivasspor — 13 points from 14 played (2 won, 7 drawn, 5 lost), 17 scored, 23 conceded, goal difference -6. Form, oldest first: D D L L L.
19. İstanbulspor — 8 points from 14 played (2 won, 2 drawn, 10 lost), 12 scored, 33 conceded, goal difference -21. Form, oldest first: L L L L W.
20. Boluspor — 4 points from 13 played (1 won, 1 drawn, 11 lost), 6 scored, 28 conceded, goal difference -22. Form, oldest first: L L L W L.

What moved

Measured against 2026-11-14, the last update whose numbers changed — not against the last time the page was built, because an unchanged projection is carried forward rather than restamped. 7 clubs moved in all; the rest are in the projection below.

• Vanspor FK — bottom-three risk up 0.2, to 20.5%.
• Antalyaspor — bottom-three risk down 0.1, to 2%.
• Boluspor — bottom-three risk down 0.1, to 96.9%.
• İstanbulspor — bottom-three risk up 0.1, to 65.8%.
• Keçiörengücü — bottom-three risk up 0.1, to 0.1%.

Season projection

Every one of the 241 matches this phase has left, played out 10,000 times by the same model that makes our match predictions — but rating each side on its whole season rather than its last six games, since one hot run should not decide a title race. The figures are final positions, not qualification or relegation: those depend on each country's rules and playoffs. A statistical estimate, not betting advice. These figures cover the regular season only. The regular season is not the end of the competition: Quarter-finals, Semi-finals, Final follow it, and no projection here covers them. Movement is measured against 2026-11-14, the last update whose numbers changed.

1. Bursaspor — projected to finish on 82.4 points, from 32 after 14 played. Finishes top of the regular season 57.9%, finishes top two 89.4%, bottom four 0%.
2. Kayserispor — projected to finish on 79.3 points, from 30 after 14 played. Finishes top of the regular season 37.4%, finishes top two 80.4%, bottom four 0%.
3. Mardin 1969 — projected to finish on 63.4 points, from 25 after 14 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0.9%, finishes top two 6.3%, bottom four 0.1%.
4. Iğdır FK — projected to finish on 63.2 points, from 28 after 14 played. Finishes top of the regular season 1%, finishes top two 6%, bottom four 0%.
5. Keçiörengücü — projected to finish on 62.2 points, from 23 after 14 played. Finishes top of the regular season 1%, finishes top two 5.8%, bottom four 0.2%.
6. Batman Petrolspor — projected to finish on 60.5 points, from 24 after 14 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0.8%, finishes top two 4.1%, bottom four 0.6%.
7. Esenler Erokspor — projected to finish on 59.3 points, from 18 after 14 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0.3%, finishes top two 3%, bottom four 0.4%.
8. Bodrum FK — projected to finish on 58.6 points, from 21 after 14 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0.3%, finishes top two 2.1%, bottom four 0.5%.
9. Fatih Karagümrük — projected to finish on 57.8 points, from 19 after 14 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0.2%, finishes top two 1.7%, bottom four 0.6%.
10. Ümraniyespor — projected to finish on 53.7 points, from 17 after 13 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0.1%, finishes top two 0.7%, bottom four 2.8%.
11. Antalyaspor — projected to finish on 51.3 points, from 20 after 14 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0.1%, finishes top two 0.4%, bottom four 4.9%.
12. Muğlaspor — projected to finish on 44.1 points, from 18 after 14 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top two 0%, bottom four 24.5%.
13. Bandırmaspor — projected to finish on 43.8 points, from 14 after 14 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top two 0.1%, bottom four 20.9%.
14. Sarıyer — projected to finish on 43.4 points, from 17 after 14 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top two 0%, bottom four 26.9%.
15. Manisa F.K. — projected to finish on 43.3 points, from 13 after 14 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top two 0%, bottom four 26.1%.
16. Vanspor FK — projected to finish on 41.7 points, from 16 after 14 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top two 0%, bottom four 33.1%.
17. Pendikspor — projected to finish on 41.6 points, from 14 after 14 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top two 0%, bottom four 34.7%.
18. Sivasspor — projected to finish on 38.8 points, from 13 after 14 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top two 0%, bottom four 47.6%.
19. İstanbulspor — projected to finish on 32.8 points, from 8 after 14 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top two 0%, bottom four 77.5%.
20. Boluspor — projected to finish on 22.3 points, from 4 after 13 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top two 0%, bottom four 98.8%.

Top scorers

1. K. Ịheanachọ (Bursaspor) — 17 goals, 3 assists.
2. T. Seferi (Kayserispor) — 10 goals, 2 assists.
3. D. Moreno (Kayserispor) — 10 goals, 1 assist.
4. R. Manaj (Sivasspor) — 10 goals, 2 assists.
5. M. Diouf (Keçiörengücü) — 8 goals, 2 assists.
6. J. Anziani (Manisa F.K.) — 8 goals, 1 assist.
7. C. Sylla (Manisa F.K.) — 7 goals, 2 assists.
8. O. Kayode (Mardin 1969) — 5 goals, 2 assists.
9. A. Pešić (Fatih Karagümrük) — 5 goals, 2 assists.
10. G. Bruno (Bandırmaspor) — 5 goals.
11. V. Aboubakar (Bodrum FK) — 5 goals.
12. G. Kanga (Esenler Erokspor) — 5 goals, 1 assist.
13. Pedrinho (Batman Petrolspor) — 5 goals.
14. F. Hasani (Kayserispor) — 5 goals.
15. M. Biron (Batman Petrolspor) — 4 goals, 2 assists.
16. S. van de Streek (Antalyaspor) — 4 goals, 2 assists.
17. Alieu Cham (İstanbulspor) — 4 goals, 1 assist.
18. M. Diarra (Muğlaspor) — 4 goals, 1 assist.
19. E. Bilsel (Bodrum FK) — 4 goals, 1 assist.
20. Y. Uzunoglu (Muğlaspor) — 4 goals, 1 assist.