Premier League (Ukraine)

1. Shakhtar Donetsk — 29 points from 12 played (9 won, 2 drawn, 1 lost), 22 scored, 5 conceded, goal difference +17. Form, oldest first: W W D W D.
2. Polessya — 28 points from 11 played (9 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost), 25 scored, 8 conceded, goal difference +17. Form, oldest first: W D W W W.
3. Dynamo Kyiv — 23 points from 11 played (7 won, 2 drawn, 2 lost), 16 scored, 9 conceded, goal difference +7. Form, oldest first: W L W W D.
4. FC Kharkiv — 21 points from 9 played (7 won, 0 drawn, 2 lost), 18 scored, 7 conceded, goal difference +11. Form, oldest first: W W W W W.
5. Karpaty — 19 points from 11 played (5 won, 4 drawn, 2 lost), 22 scored, 8 conceded, goal difference +14. Form, oldest first: D L D D W.
6. LNZ Cherkasy — 18 points from 11 played (5 won, 3 drawn, 3 lost), 12 scored, 10 conceded, goal difference +2. Form, oldest first: L W W D W.
7. Zorya Luhansk — 18 points from 12 played (5 won, 3 drawn, 4 lost), 14 scored, 15 conceded, goal difference -1. Form, oldest first: W W D W L.
8. Bukovyna — 13 points from 12 played (2 won, 7 drawn, 3 lost), 11 scored, 13 conceded, goal difference -2. Form, oldest first: D L D D W.
9. Kolos Kovalivka — 12 points from 10 played (3 won, 3 drawn, 4 lost), 13 scored, 14 conceded, goal difference -1. Form, oldest first: W W L W D.
10. Epitsentr Dunayivtsi — 10 points from 12 played (2 won, 4 drawn, 6 lost), 11 scored, 16 conceded, goal difference -5. Form, oldest first: L D L L D.
11. Chornomorets — 9 points from 11 played (2 won, 3 drawn, 6 lost), 8 scored, 13 conceded, goal difference -5. Form, oldest first: L L D W L.
12. Livyi Bereh — 9 points from 11 played (1 won, 6 drawn, 4 lost), 7 scored, 12 conceded, goal difference -5. Form, oldest first: L L D D L.
13. Veres Rivne — 9 points from 12 played (2 won, 3 drawn, 7 lost), 7 scored, 18 conceded, goal difference -11. Form, oldest first: L L L L L.
14. Obolon'-Brovar — 8 points from 11 played (1 won, 5 drawn, 5 lost), 5 scored, 18 conceded, goal difference -13. Form, oldest first: D W L L D.
15. Kudrivka — 8 points from 12 played (2 won, 2 drawn, 8 lost), 12 scored, 29 conceded, goal difference -17. Form, oldest first: L W L L W.
16. Kryvbas KR — 7 points from 10 played (1 won, 4 drawn, 5 lost), 8 scored, 16 conceded, goal difference -8. Form, oldest first: L L D L D.

What moved

Measured against 2026-11-14, the last update whose numbers changed — not against the last time the page was built, because an unchanged projection is carried forward rather than restamped.

• Polessya — chance of finishing top up 0.2, to 22.2%.
• Shakhtar Donetsk — chance of finishing top down 0.1, to 67.9%.

Season projection

Every one of the 149 matches this phase has left, played out 10,000 times by the same model that makes our match predictions — but rating each side on its whole season rather than its last six games, since one hot run should not decide a title race. The figures are final positions, not qualification or relegation: those depend on each country's rules and playoffs. A statistical estimate, not betting advice. These figures cover the regular season only. The regular season is not the end of the competition: Final follow it, and no projection here covers them. Movement is measured against 2026-11-14, the last update whose numbers changed.

1. Shakhtar Donetsk — projected to finish on 70 points, from 29 after 12 played. Finishes top of the regular season 67.9% (down 0.1), finishes top four 99.7%, bottom four 0%.
2. Polessya — projected to finish on 64.4 points, from 28 after 11 played. Finishes top of the regular season 22.2% (up 0.2), finishes top four 94.1%, bottom four 0%.
3. Dynamo Kyiv — projected to finish on 59.1 points, from 23 after 11 played. Finishes top of the regular season 5.2%, finishes top four 80%, bottom four 0%.
4. FC Kharkiv — projected to finish on 56.8 points, from 21 after 9 played. Finishes top of the regular season 4.1%, finishes top four 67.5%, bottom four 0%.
5. Karpaty — projected to finish on 50.9 points, from 19 after 11 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0.5%, finishes top four 33.1%, bottom four 0.1%.
6. LNZ Cherkasy — projected to finish on 49.1 points, from 18 after 11 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0.2%, finishes top four 19.2%, bottom four 0.1%.
7. Zorya Luhansk — projected to finish on 42.9 points, from 18 after 12 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 4.2%, bottom four 0.8%.
8. Kolos Kovalivka — projected to finish on 39.4 points, from 12 after 10 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 1.9%, bottom four 4%.
9. Bukovyna — projected to finish on 34.8 points, from 13 after 12 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 0.3%, bottom four 11.9%.
10. Chornomorets — projected to finish on 30.8 points, from 9 after 11 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 0.1%, bottom four 30.5%.
11. Kryvbas KR — projected to finish on 30.3 points, from 7 after 10 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 0%, bottom four 33.9%.
12. Epitsentr Dunayivtsi — projected to finish on 28.6 points, from 10 after 12 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 0%, bottom four 44.6%.
13. Livyi Bereh — projected to finish on 27.6 points, from 9 after 11 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 0%, bottom four 51.4%.
14. Veres Rivne — projected to finish on 25.5 points, from 9 after 12 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 0%, bottom four 66.4%.
15. Kudrivka — projected to finish on 23.5 points, from 8 after 12 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 0%, bottom four 77.4%.
16. Obolon'-Brovar — projected to finish on 23.3 points, from 8 after 11 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 0%, bottom four 79.1%.

Top scorers

1. I. Krasnopir (Polessya) — 8 goals, 1 assist.
2. B. Zabërgja (FC Kharkiv) — 6 goals, 2 assists.
3. M. Ponomarenko (Dynamo Kyiv) — 6 goals.
4. Y. Kostenko (Karpaty) — 5 goals.
5. D. Ndukwe (Kolos Kovalivka) — 4 goals.
6. P. Itodo (FC Kharkiv) — 4 goals, 1 assist.
7. V. Veleten (Polessya) — 4 goals, 1 assist.
8. P. Yade (LNZ Cherkasy) — 4 goals.
9. A. Kozak (Epitsentr Dunayivtsi) — 3 goals, 3 assists.
10. Alisson Santana (Shakhtar Donetsk) — 3 goals, 2 assists.
11. O. Demchenko (Kolos Kovalivka) — 3 goals, 1 assist.
12. R. Gadzhiev (FC Kharkiv) — 3 goals, 1 assist.
13. Y. Smyrnyi (Kudrivka) — 3 goals.
14. V. Sydun (Epitsentr Dunayivtsi) — 3 goals.
15. C. Paraco (FC Kharkiv) — 3 goals.
16. Kauã Elias (Shakhtar Donetsk) — 3 goals.
17. Xeber Alkain (Karpaty) — 2 goals, 2 assists.
18. D. Svityukha (Kudrivka) — 2 goals, 2 assists.
19. André Gonçalves (Veres Rivne) — 2 goals, 2 assists.
20. R. Owusu (Kudrivka) — 2 goals, 1 assist.