Chornomorets sit 11th in the Premier League on 9 points from 11 matches, having scored 8 and conceded 13. On the model's scale they rate 0.49 in attack and 1.53 in defence (1.00 = an average top-flight side, lower defence is better), against Premier League averages of 0.65 and 1.51: below the division's average in attack, about average at the back. Across their last 5 league matches they have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats, most recently losing to Kudrivka 0-1 away. That is 0.82 points a match, scoring 0.73 and conceding 1.18 per game across 2 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats. That leaves them 20 points behind Shakhtar Donetsk at the top, in a table of 16. Among the 16 rated sides in the division that is the 13th-best attack and the 9th-best defence. They scored in 3 of those 5 and kept 1 clean sheet. Next they host Epitsentr Dunayivtsi in the Premier League on 23 November 2026, a match the model gives them 43%.
Model rating
One scale across every league we cover: 1.00 is an average top-flight side — how the ratings are built.
Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Last 5 | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 22:5 | +17 | WWDWD | 29 |
| 2 | Polessya | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 25:8 | +17 | WDWWW | 28 |
| 3 | Dynamo Kyiv | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 16:9 | +7 | WLWWD | 23 |
| 4 | FC Kharkiv | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 18:7 | +11 | WWWWW | 21 |
| 5 | Karpaty | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 22:8 | +14 | DLDDW | 19 |
| 6 | LNZ Cherkasy | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 12:10 | +2 | LWWDW | 18 |
| 7 | Zorya Luhansk | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 14:15 | -1 | WWDWL | 18 |
| 8 | Bukovyna | 12 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 11:13 | -2 | DLDDW | 13 |
| 9 | Kolos Kovalivka | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13:14 | -1 | WWLWD | 12 |
| 10 | Epitsentr Dunayivtsi | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 11:16 | -5 | LDLLD | 10 |
| 11 | Chornomorets | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 8:13 | -5 | LLDWL | 9 |
| 12 | Livyi Bereh | 11 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 7:12 | -5 | LLDDL | 9 |
| 13 | Veres Rivne | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 7:18 | -11 | LLLLL | 9 |
| 14 | Obolon'-Brovar | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 5:18 | -13 | DWLLD | 8 |
| 15 | Kudrivka | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 12:29 | -17 | LWLLW | 8 |
| 16 | Kryvbas KR | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 8:16 | -8 | LLDLD | 7 |
- Champions League
- Conference League qualifying
- Relegation
Chornomorets sit 11 of 16, as the table stands today. Every competition we cover.
Recent league form
- L0-1away to Kudrivka7 November 2026
- W3-1away to Veres Rivne31 October 2026
- D0-0Karpaty25 October 2026
- L1-2away to Zorya Luhansk17 October 2026
- L1-2FC Kharkiv10 October 2026
Last 5 league matches, most recent first.
Next match: Chornomorets vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Chornomorets host Epitsentr Dunayivtsi at Chornomorets Stadium, Odessa on 23 November 2026, 11:00 UTC. The model makes it 43% Chornomorets, 29% draw and 28% Epitsentr Dunayivtsi, with a most likely scoreline of 1-0. It projects 1.39 expected goals for Chornomorets against 1.01. Beyond the result it puts both teams to score at 49% and over 2.5 goals at 43%.
Full preview and model analysis for Chornomorets vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Other results that matter to Chornomorets
-
Shakhtar Donetsk v Livyi Bereh · 20 November 2026
Chornomorets fans want a draw: that leaves Chornomorets's risk of a bottom-four finish at 25.9%, against 30.8% if Livyi Bereh win (30.5% today).
Shakhtar Donetsk win30.6%+0.1Draw25.9%−4.6Livyi Bereh win30.8%+0.3 -
Kryvbas KR v Kudrivka · 21 November 2026
Chornomorets fans want Kryvbas KR to win: that leaves Chornomorets's risk of a bottom-four finish at 29.6%, against 33.3% if Kudrivka win (30.5% today).
Kryvbas KR win29.6%−0.9Draw30.1%−0.4Kudrivka win33.3%+2.8 -
Veres Rivne v Bukovyna · 22 November 2026
Chornomorets fans want a draw: that leaves Chornomorets's risk of a bottom-four finish at 29.2%, against 31.6% if Veres Rivne win (30.5% today).
Veres Rivne win31.6%+1.1Draw29.2%−1.3Bukovyna win30.2%−0.3
From our season simulation, reading only the runs in which each result happened. A match is listed when it moves Chornomorets's figure by 2 points or more and both halves of the runs agree on which result helps.