ADT vs FC Cajamarca Primera División prediction & result
Final score: ADT 0-0 FC Cajamarca.
Before kick-off the model made it 40% ADT, 27% draw, 33% FC Cajamarca — fair odds of 2.50, 3.70 and 3.03.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
Published · updated
All Primera División (Peru) predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
ADT at 40%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — ADT vs FC Cajamarca
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 30J. ValenciaG
- 98A. RamosD
- 99J. PereyraD
- 44H. BenincasaD
- 59O. NúñezD
- 23J. NarváezM
- 16L. PérezM
- 77Juan David Lucumí CueroM
- 7J. RojasM
- 18Aylton MazzoM
- 24S. PeraltaF
- 32J. BaumanF
- 26Jhojan GarcilazoF
- 27A. HidalgoM
- 31J. NavarroD
- 6Á. OjedaM
- 50Omar Vidal Ramírez LozanoF
- 3L. RugelD
- 33C. SolísG
- 28J. SotoD
- 3J. MedinaG
- 44Carlos Daniel Gómez CcasaniD
- 21J. VegaD
- 95Y. VílchezD
- 31S. EncisoD
- 25P. GoyonecheM
- 18Jefferson Gabriel Orejuela IzquierdoM
- 20C. MezaM
- 11M. ArrascoM
- 17B. PalaciosM
- 9P. CejasF
- 8Valentino Ybrahin Sandoval SánchezF
- 5R. SuarezD
- 6M. RasmussenF
- 77J. LugoF
- 14A. GutiérrezD
- 13C. CorreaM
- 88H. CamachoM
- 12S. Aspajo CohenG
- 26H. TimanáD
Peru Primera División table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | ADT | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 31 |
| 17 | FC Cajamarca | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 46 | 65 | -19 | 29 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: ADT vs FC Cajamarca
- 18 April 2026FC Cajamarca 2–2 ADTPrimera División
- 18 January 2026FC Cajamarca 2–1 ADTFriendlies Clubs
Leading scorers: ADT and FC Cajamarca
ADT
No player in Primera División's leading scorers — 36 league goals as a side.
FC Cajamarca
GoalsAssists
- M. Arrasco85
- B. Palacios84
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
What this result changed
Before kick-off the season simulation gave ADT a 64.6% chance to finish in the bottom three: 48.2% after a win, 72.2% after a draw, 84.8% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 72.2%, 7.6 points higher than before the match.
For FC Cajamarca the question was the chance to finish in the bottom three, 33.6% going in: 12.3% after a win, 28.7% after a draw, 48.7% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 28.7%, 4.9 points lower than before the match.
Read from our Primera División season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.