Deportivo Garcilaso vs Sport Huancayo Primera División prediction & result
Final score: Deportivo Garcilaso 0-1 Sport Huancayo.
Before kick-off the model made it 52% Deportivo Garcilaso, 27% draw, 21% Sport Huancayo — fair odds of 1.92, 3.70 and 4.76.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Deportivo Garcilaso at 52%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Deportivo Garcilaso vs Sport Huancayo
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1P. ZubczukG
- 55E. CanalesD
- 2A. SalazarD
- 19A. GómezD
- 23X. MorenoD
- 8A. GonzálezM
- 9F. CastelliM
- 10P. LabrinM
- 30L. da SilvaM
- 18C. RamosM
- 11F. ArancibiaF
- 27A. AscuesM
- 20A. RosellD
- 7L. RíosF
- 14C. TorrejónM
- 22J. PortalesD
- 88F. PachecoF
- 24C. OlivaresF
- 31J. BarbieriG
- 17S. RamírezF
- 12Á. ZamudioG
- 16J. FalconíD
- 26M. GaonaD
- 70J. ValoyesD
- 28J. RostaingD
- 7R. CampodónicoM
- 8D. CarabañoM
- 22R. SalcedoM
- 11Javier Andrés SanguinettiM
- 97D. PorozoF
- 10N. LujánF
- 29A. CcorahuaG
- 17J. GiménezF
- 19R. HuacchaF
- 23P. MagallanesM
- 9J. MartÃnezF
- 92Y. MurilloD
- 91A. QuiñónezM
- 4J. BarredaD
- 38E. VillarM
Peru Primera División table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 33 | 16 | 7 | 10 | 50 | 35 | +15 | 55 |
| 8 | Sport Huancayo | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 48 | 49 | -1 | 50 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Deportivo Garcilaso vs Sport Huancayo
- 18 April 2026Sport Huancayo 2–1 Deportivo GarcilasoPrimera División
- 23 August 2025Deportivo Garcilaso 1–1 Sport HuancayoPrimera División
- 5 April 2025Sport Huancayo 0–3 Deportivo GarcilasoPrimera División
- 19 July 2024Sport Huancayo 1–0 Deportivo GarcilasoPrimera División
- 5 February 2024Deportivo Garcilaso 0–2 Sport HuancayoPrimera División
Leading scorers: Deportivo Garcilaso and Sport Huancayo
Deportivo Garcilaso
GoalsAssists
- L. da Silva114
- C. Olivares102
Sport Huancayo
GoalsAssists
- Javier Andrés Sanguinetti105
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
What this result changed
Before kick-off the season simulation gave Deportivo Garcilaso a 87.7% chance to finish in the top four: 92.4% after a win, 82.3% after a draw, 76.3% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 76.3%, 11.4 points lower than before the match.
Read from our Primera División season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.