Comerciantes Unidos vs Juan Pablo II College Primera División prediction & result
Final score: Comerciantes Unidos 1-1 Juan Pablo II College.
Before kick-off the model made it 41% Comerciantes Unidos, 28% draw, 31% Juan Pablo II College — fair odds of 2.44, 3.57 and 3.23.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
Published · updated
All Primera División (Peru) predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Comerciantes Unidos at 41%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Comerciantes Unidos vs Juan Pablo II College
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 99José Pablo Alejandro Charún ValdezG
- 32J. SánchezD
- 66Paolo Gessu Fuentes VarcárcelD
- 6J. RodriguezD
- 19D. LinoD
- 4A. Martín AriasM
- 20J. ParodiM
- 54Y. GameroM
- 10M. CarpioM
- 9M. SenF
- 13M. PérezF
- 15A. CossioD
- 8W. AyovíF
- 40F. AlcedoD
- 17Matías CordovaG
- 11J. HerreraM
- 50J. OlivaresF
- 28O. PintoM
- 14Thiago SalinasM
- 25Rodrigo Gary Vilca BetettaM
- 23M. VegaG
- 2H. AncajimaD
- 31J. ToledoD
- 60P. MíguezD
- 19P. ReynaD
- 3A. SánchezM
- 18E. RamírezM
- 37Á. RojasM
- 88J. TorresM
- 79J. GoicocheaM
- 89J. PósitoF
- 20H. BazánM
- 14J. CarhuallanquiM
- 28J. DuránM
- 8C. FloresM
- 7A. HendricksF
- 12I. QuispeG
- 15N. RamírezM
- 97M. RodrÃguezF
- 71C. VillanuevaM
Peru Primera División table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 33 | 8 | 13 | 12 | 44 | 47 | -3 | 37 |
| 12 | Juan Pablo II College | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 48 | 59 | -11 | 41 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Comerciantes Unidos vs Juan Pablo II College
- 27 June 2026Comerciantes Unidos 0–0 Juan Pablo II CollegeCopa De La Liga
- 18 April 2026Juan Pablo II College 2–2 Comerciantes UnidosPrimera División
- 24 October 2025Juan Pablo II College 0–1 Comerciantes UnidosPrimera División
- 22 June 2025Comerciantes Unidos 3–0 Juan Pablo II CollegePrimera División
Leading scorers: Comerciantes Unidos and Juan Pablo II College
Comerciantes Unidos
GoalsAssists
- M. Sen113
Juan Pablo II College
No player in Primera División's leading scorers — 48 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
What this result changed
Before kick-off the season simulation gave Comerciantes Unidos a 9.1% chance to finish in the bottom three: 3.1% after a win, 10.1% after a draw, 15.6% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 10.1%, 1 points higher than before the match.
Read from our Primera División season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.