AEK Athens FC vs Levski Sofia UEFA Champions League prediction & result
Final score: AEK Athens FC 4-0 Levski Sofia.
Before kick-off the model made it 62% AEK Athens FC, 23% draw, 15% Levski Sofia — fair odds of 1.61, 4.35 and 6.67. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts AEK Athens FC at 62% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 635 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into AEK Athens FC vs Levski Sofia
AEK Athens FC
- D0-0away to Levski Sofia18 August 2026
Levski Sofia
- W6-0Spartak Varna22 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
AEK Athens FC and Levski Sofia in their domestic leagues
| # | Team | League | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | AEK Athens FC | UEFA Champions League | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 1 | Levski Sofia | First League | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 4 | +17 | 25 |
Each side's position in its own domestic league today, not on the day of this match — they meet here from different competitions. Full tables: UEFA Champions League · First League
Head-to-head: AEK Athens FC vs Levski Sofia
- 18 August 2026Levski Sofia 0–0 AEK Athens FCUEFA Champions League
Previous meetings on this site's own match record, which begins in July 2026 — any earlier meeting between these clubs is not listed here.
Leading scorers: AEK Athens FC and Levski Sofia
AEK Athens FC
- B. Varga2 goals
Levski Sofia
- Reinaldo3 goals
- A. Oko-Flex2 goals
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.