Levski Sofia vs AEK Athens FC UEFA Champions League prediction & result
Final score: Levski Sofia 0-0 AEK Athens FC.
Before kick-off the model made it 42% Levski Sofia, 29% draw, 29% AEK Athens FC — fair odds of 2.38, 3.45 and 3.45. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Levski Sofia at 42% here. Across 2488 settled matches, 1123 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Levski Sofia vs AEK Athens FC
Levski Sofia
- W1-0away to Kairat Almaty11 August 2026
- W2-0Lokomotiv Plovdiv7 August 2026
- W1-0Kairat Almaty4 August 2026
- W3-0Septemvri Sofia1 August 2026
- D2-2away to Universitatea Craiova29 July 2026
AEK Athens FC
No earlier matches on record this season.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Leading scorers: Levski Sofia and AEK Athens FC
Levski Sofia
- Reinaldo3 goals
- A. Oko-Flex2 goals
AEK Athens FC
- B. Varga2 goals
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.