Ajman vs Al-Ittihad Kalba Pro League prediction & result
Final score: Ajman 2-3 Al-Ittihad Kalba.
Before kick-off the model made it 42% Ajman, 28% draw, 30% Al-Ittihad Kalba — fair odds of 2.38, 3.57 and 3.33.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Ajman at 42%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Ajman vs Al-Ittihad Kalba
Line-ups
- 81A. Al HosaniG
- 12Mohamed NasserD
- 5G. ZajkovD
- 44Yuri MatiasD
- 31Y. JabriD
- 8Jobson Souza SantosM
- 48Saad El HadaniM
- 99Victor HenriqueM
- 18I. MoumenM
- 7LourencyM
- 9W. AzaroF
- 40Abdullah Al TamimiG
- 2Abdelrahman RakanD
- 10Mohammad JumaM
- 3Abdulla SalehD
- 11Abdulla AbdelazizM
- 33LithierryF
- 6Victor HugoM
- 4S. SulimanD
- 17S. GassamaM
- 33Sultan Al MantheriG
- 96Marwan FahadD
- 22K. GünterD
- 26I. CisséD
- 19Alejandro VergazD
- 8Caio EduardoM
- 5Ali SalminM
- 10A. NoorollahiM
- 99Carlos AlbertoM
- 7S. GhoddosF
- 30B. TettehF
- 6R. AlivodaM
- 77AdysonF
- 24Khalid Al DarmakiM
- 34Yousif Ali AlmheiriD
- 9BiroM
- 27Yaser Al BlooshiF
- 41NetoM
- 94JuninhoM
- 23Waleed Al MahreziD
Form going into Ajman vs Al-Ittihad Kalba
Ajman
Pro League
- W2-1away to Al Nasr6 September 2026
- L0-3away to Al-Jazira29 August 2026
Al-Ittihad Kalba
Pro League
- L0-2Al Ain4 September 2026
- L1-4away to Dubai United28 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
United Arab Emirates Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Ajman | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 10 |
| 9 | Al-Ittihad Kalba | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 8 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Ajman and Al-Ittihad Kalba
Ajman
GoalsAssists
- Victor Henrique31
Al-Ittihad Kalba
GoalsAssists
- B. Tetteh33
- A. Noorollahi20
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Al-Ittihad Kalba won 3–2 at Ajman. The model had leaned towards a win for Ajman at 42% and given a win for Al-Ittihad Kalba 30%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: Benjamin Tetteh 25' for Al-Ittihad Kalba, Carlos Alberto 42' for Al-Ittihad Kalba, Walid Azarou 45+2' for Ajman, Antônio Fialho de Carvalho Neto 67' for Al-Ittihad Kalba, Lithierry da Silva Neves 81' for Ajman.
How the call on Ajman v Al-Ittihad Kalba has moved
First published on 1 Sep at 39% / 29% / 32% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 4 updates, it read 42% / 28% / 30%: the biggest move is Ajman's chance of winning, up 3 points.
- Ajman win42%▲ +3
- Draw28%▼ −1
- Al-Ittihad Kalba win30%▼ −2
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.