Columbus Crew vs New York Red Bulls Major League Soccer prediction & result
Final score: Columbus Crew 0-1 New York Red Bulls.
Before kick-off the model made it 42% Columbus Crew, 30% draw, 28% New York Red Bulls — fair odds of 2.38, 3.33 and 3.57. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Columbus Crew at 42% here. Across 2477 settled matches, 1116 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Columbus Crew vs New York Red Bulls
Columbus Crew
- L1-2away to DC United9 September 2026
- W3-0Colorado Rapids5 September 2026
- L1-3New England Revolution30 August 2026
- L2-3away to Nashville SC23 August 2026
- L1-2CF Montreal19 August 2026
New York Red Bulls
- L0-2away to Los Angeles FC10 September 2026
- D0-0away to Seattle Sounders6 September 2026
- L1-3Philadelphia Union29 August 2026
- D1-1Chicago Fire22 August 2026
- L0-1Nashville SC19 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Head-to-head: Columbus Crew vs New York Red Bulls
- 13 May 2026New York Red Bulls 3–2 Columbus CrewMajor League Soccer
- 18 October 2025Columbus Crew 3–1 New York Red BullsMajor League Soccer
- 30 August 2025New York Red Bulls 0–0 Columbus CrewMajor League Soccer
- 3 November 2024New York Red Bulls 2–2 Columbus CrewMajor League Soccer
- 29 October 2024Columbus Crew 0–1 New York Red BullsMajor League Soccer