Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Ettifaq Pro League prediction & result
Final score: Al-Qadisiyah FC 3-3 Al-Ettifaq.
Before kick-off the model made it 53% Al-Qadisiyah FC, 26% draw, 21% Al-Ettifaq — fair odds of 1.89, 3.85 and 4.76.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Saudi Pro League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Al-Qadisiyah FC at 53%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 6 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Ettifaq
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1K. CasteelsG
- 4J. ThakriD
- 6N. FernandezD
- 17G. AlvarezD
- 2M. Abu Al ShamatM
- 8N. NandezM
- 14T. ReijndersM
- 10M. Al JuwayrM
- 22C. Bonsu BaahM
- 33J. QuinonesF
- 32M. ReteguiF
- 28A. Al KassarG
- 12Y. Al ShahraniD
- 7T. Al AmmarM
- 15M. Al QahtaniF
- 18A. Al JaberM
- 27E. HoussaM
- 9A. Al SalemF
- 19H. AsiriF
- 46A. Al Aliwa
- 92T. Ba Al JawshG
- 61R. Al OtaibiD
- 4J. HendryD
- 70A. A. KhateebD
- 13M. Al AlaeliD
- 80R. MessiM
- 42A. KanteM
- 11O. DudaM
- 7K. Al GhannamM
- 58Y. Al ShammariF
- 43B. CelinaF
- 23Hawswi
- 78M. H. TambaktiD
- 3A. MaduD
- 33M. Al OlayanD
- 87M. Al SibyaniD
- 10A. MedranM
- 77A. HawsawiM
- 9M. DembeleF
- 17J. LarssonF
Form going into Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Ettifaq
Al-Qadisiyah FC
All competitions we cover
- W3-2Al-Ahli Jeddah8 September 2026
- W2-0away to Al Diriyah3 September 2026
- W3-1Al-Faisaly FC30 August 2026
Al-Ettifaq
All competitions we cover
- D0-0Al-Faisaly FC8 September 2026
- W1-0away to Abha4 September 2026
- L0-3Al Diriyah29 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Saudi Arabia Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Al-Qadisiyah FC | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 32 | 12 | +20 | 28 |
| 7 | Al-Ettifaq | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 17 | +1 | 19 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Al-Qadisiyah FC and Al-Ettifaq
Al-Qadisiyah FC
GoalsAssists
- T. Reijnders83
- M. Retegui72
- J. Quiñones65
Al-Ettifaq
No player in Pro League's leading scorers — 18 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Al-Qadisiyah FC and Al-Ettifaq drew 3–3. The model had leaned towards a win for Al-Qadisiyah FC at 53% and given a draw 26%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: J. Quinones 12' for Al-Qadisiyah FC, M. Retegui 15' for Al-Qadisiyah FC, B. Celina 26' for Al-Ettifaq, A. Medran 64' for Al-Ettifaq, M. Al Qahtani 81' for Al-Qadisiyah FC, J. Larsson 85' for Al-Ettifaq. On expected goals it finished 2.53–0.85.