Khorfakkan vs Baniyas SC Pro League prediction & result
Final score: Khorfakkan 0-0 Baniyas SC.
Before kick-off the model made it 40% Khorfakkan, 27% draw, 33% Baniyas SC — fair odds of 2.50, 3.70 and 3.03.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Khorfakkan at 40%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Khorfakkan vs Baniyas SC
Line-ups
- 1Ahmed Al HosaniG
- 11A. JashakD
- 3Kayque SoaresD
- 19L. HaquínD
- 6A. NakachD
- 12I. LagrimiD
- 91O. TraoréM
- 79J. N'GuessanM
- 21S. AmallahM
- 7J. FlemmingsM
- 10Aylton Boa MorteF
- 2Yousef Al AmeriD
- 8Abdalla Al NaqbiM
- 50Rashid AliG
- 17Sultan AlzaabiD
- 5A. CamaraM
- 90A. DialloF
- 77R. SarkiF
- 16P. PavlovD
- 95Rashid AbdallaG
- 55Fahad Al DhanhaniG
- 18S. Al NoobiD
- 26Khamis Al MansooriD
- 25N. ĐekovićD
- 23Khamis Al HammadiD
- 7Fawaz AwanaM
- 21Mackenzie HuntM
- 11Alhassan KoromaM
- 19R. MarcianoM
- 77S. GodwinM
- 12Y. NiakatéF
- 6J. AwouteM
- 28A. DialloM
- 70A. GʻaniyevM
- 72Mohamed Awad AllaF
- 27B. İnceF
- 1Mohammed KhalafG
- 4S. SosuM
- 10L. VerdeM
- 8Mater Salem AlhosaniF
Form going into Khorfakkan vs Baniyas SC
Khorfakkan
Pro League
- L2-5away to Al-Wasl FC4 September 2026
- W2-0Al-Dhafra29 August 2026
Baniyas SC
Pro League
- L0-1Hatta SC5 September 2026
- L1-2away to Al Wahda FC30 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
United Arab Emirates Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Khorfakkan | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 7 |
| 14 | Baniyas SC | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 2 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
The result against the call
Khorfakkan and Baniyas SC drew 0–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Khorfakkan at 40% and given a draw 27%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one.
How the call on Khorfakkan v Baniyas SC has moved
First published on 1 Sep at 35% / 26% / 39% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 3 updates, it read 40% / 27% / 33%: the biggest move is Baniyas SC's chance of winning, down 6 points.
- Khorfakkan win40%▲ +5
- Draw27%▲ +1
- Baniyas SC win33%▼ −6
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.