29 August 2026, 18:00 UTC

Al-Ettifaq vs Al Diriyah Pro League prediction & result

EGO Stadium, Dammam
Full time0 – 3

Final score: Al-Ettifaq 0-3 Al Diriyah.

Before kick-off the model made it 40% Al-Ettifaq, 29% draw, 31% Al Diriyah — fair odds of 2.50, 3.45 and 3.23.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Al-Ettifaq at 40%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Al-Ettifaq0%Draw1%Al Diriyah99%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

8'
⚽D. Nunezassist: O. Rodriguez
26'
Khalid Al-Asiri
🔁R. Al Otaibiout: M. Al Sibyani
27'
Meshal Ali Khayrallah
49'
53'
⚽A. Boulbinaassist: O. Rodriguez
🔁Y. Al Shammariout: K. Al Ghannam
54'
🔁J. Larssonout: R. Messi
54'
58'
🔁T. Wadiout: A. Al Faraj
59'
🔁K. Al Asiriout: M. Hameran
59'
🔁A. Boulbinaout: H. Bahebri
🔁M. Al Alaeliout: Abdullah Al Bishi
72'
🔁B. Celinaout: F. Al Ghamdi
72'
81'
⚽D. Nunezassist: C. Diandy
82'
🔁O. Rodriguezout: M. Al Nemer
89'
🔁D. Nunezout: A. Al Malki

Match stats — Al-Ettifaq vs Al Diriyah

54%Possession46%
17Shots16
7On target7
6Corners6
1.35xG2.33

Goals against chances

Al-Ettifaq0 from 1.35 xGless than the chances were worth
Al Diriyah3 from 2.33 xGmore than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Al-Ettifaq 4-1-4-1
  • 92T. Ba Al JawshG
  • 61R. Al OtaibiD
  • 4J. HendryD
  • 70A. A. KhateebD
  • 13M. Al AlaeliD
  • 11O. DudaM
  • 17J. LarssonM
  • 10A. MedranM
  • 58Y. Al ShammariM
  • 43B. CelinaM
  • 9M. DembeleF
Substitutes
  • 22Hawswi
  • 3A. MaduD
  • 87M. Al SibyaniD
  • 15Abdullah Al BishiF
  • 6F. Al GhamdiM
  • 7K. Al GhannamF
  • 71M. GluscevicF
  • 80R. MessiM
  • 88A. Al EssaF
Coach: Arthur Papas
Al Diriyah
  • 22N. VasiljG
  • 12T. Wadi
  • 99C. MbembaD
  • 87Q. LajamiD
  • 78K. Al AsiriD
  • 17C. DiandyM
  • 5I. GueyeM
  • 20E. MillotM
  • 10A. BoulbinaM
  • 14O. RodriguezF
  • 29D. NunezF
Substitutes
  • 33W. AbdullahG
  • 2A. Al FarajD
  • 21M. HameranD
  • 88A. Al MalkiM
  • 52H. Al QahtaniM
  • 6S. Al FarhanM
  • 11H. BahebriF
  • 75M. Al NemerF
  • 32A. Al ZaidF

Saudi Arabia Pro League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
7Al-Ettifaq125431817+119
8Al Diriyah124351013-315

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.