29 August 2026, 17:00 UTC

Sampdoria vs Juve Stabia Serie B prediction & result

Stadio Luigi Ferraris, Genoa
Full time1 – 2

Final score: Sampdoria 1-2 Juve Stabia.

Before kick-off the model made it 49% Sampdoria, 26% draw, 25% Juve Stabia — fair odds of 2.04, 3.85 and 4.00.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Sampdoria at 49%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Sampdoria0%Draw5%Juve Stabia95%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Manuel Cicconi
13'
22'
Davide Bettella
🔁S. Espositoout: T. Begic
35'
🔁F. Depaoliout: Y. Verschaeren
45+2'
⚽G. Tutinoassist: Y. Verschaeren
45'
Antoine Makoumbou
49'
49'
Davide Buglio
65'
🔁D. Buglioout: F. Artioli
69'
🔁C. Pierobonout: T. Battistella
69'
🔁L. Candelloneout: A. Di Nardo
70'
🔁K. Piscopoout: S. Fernandes
73'
⚽M. Bellichassist: F. Artioli
81'
🔁N. Karicout: J. Kumi
82'
⚽A. Di Nardoassist: T. Battistella
🔁G. Tutinoout: L. Mezzotero
87'
🔁D. Sinaniout: L. Insigne
87'

Match stats — Sampdoria vs Juve Stabia

45%Possession55%
17Shots17
6On target5
2Corners7
1.42xG0.9

Goals against chances

Sampdoria1 from 1.42 xGabout what the chances were worth
Juve Stabia2 from 0.90 xGmore than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Sampdoria 4-3-3
  • 1P. VindahlG
  • 29A. Di PardoD
  • 3S. GartenmannD
  • 2M. VitiD
  • 7M. CicconiD
  • 45A. MakoumbouM
  • 94S. EspositoM
  • 6L. HendersonM
  • 20D. SinaniF
  • 99G. TutinoF
  • 23F. DepaoliF
Substitutes
  • 31S. GhidottiG
  • 12A. KrastevG
  • 25A. FerrariD
  • 4A. RiccioD
  • 14A. BellemoM
  • 28O. AbildgaardM
  • 16Y. VerschaerenM
  • 35L. RodellaM
  • 11T. BegicF
Coach: Bernardo Corradi
Juve Stabia 4-3-3
  • 23P. BoerG
  • 2M. RicciardiD
  • 87D. BettellaD
  • 6M. BellichD
  • 73G. ScuderiD
  • 17N. KaricM
  • 8D. BuglioM
  • 10C. PierobonM
  • 7N. PataneF
  • 27L. CandelloneF
  • 11K. PiscopoF
Substitutes
  • 1A. VukovicG
  • 25T. DouglasD
  • 96T. MaggioniD
  • 92F. GalleaD
  • 19N. PietrangeliD
  • 37F. MaistroM
  • 80F. ArtioliM
  • 5T. BattistellaM
  • 24J. KumiM
Coach: Pietro De Giorgio

Form going into Sampdoria vs Juve Stabia

Sampdoria

All competitions we cover

  • D1-1away to Cesena23 August 2026

Juve Stabia

All competitions we cover

  • L0-1away to Palermo23 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Serie B table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
15Sampdoria113261118-711
13Juve Stabia114431211+112

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Sampdoria vs Juve Stabia

  • 4 March 2026Juve Stabia 1–1 SampdoriaSerie B
  • 24 November 2025Sampdoria 1–0 Juve StabiaSerie B
  • 13 May 2025Juve Stabia 0–0 SampdoriaSerie B
  • 4 October 2024Sampdoria 1–2 Juve StabiaSerie B

Leading scorers: Sampdoria and Juve Stabia

Sampdoria

No player in Serie B's leading scorers — 11 league goals as a side.

Juve Stabia

GoalsAssists

  • Antonio Di Nardo70

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Juve Stabia won 2–1 at Sampdoria. The model had leaned towards a win for Sampdoria at 49% and given a win for Juve Stabia 25%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: G. Tutino 45' for Sampdoria, M. Bellich 73' for Juve Stabia, A. Di Nardo 82' for Juve Stabia. On expected goals it finished 1.42–0.90.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.